GOOS
Canada Goose Holdings Inc.
GOOS offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
NKE
NIKE, Inc.
NKE has the edge over GOOS overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
GOOS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Stable |
GOOS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
NKE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
GOOS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 22x | $8.28 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $8.92 | +7.8% |
| Fair | 32x | $12.21 | +48% |
| Expensive | 72x | $27.34 | +230% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GOOS's PE is 22x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
NKE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $37.76 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $47.70 | +26% |
| Forward | 30x | $37.76 | — |
| Fair | 33x | $68.16 | +80% |
| Expensive | 47x | $97.86 | +159% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NKE has the edge over GOOS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
GOOS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GOOS, with profitability holding steady.
NKE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
GOOS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0.38 | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.14 | -79% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.14 | -73% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.18 | -57% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.33 | -20% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.67 | +60% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.51 | +42% |
| Q3 2024 | $0.42 | +17% |
GOOS has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.27 | -39% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.09 | +7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.10 | -2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.51 | -50% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70 | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.95 | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.16 | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.01 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.24 | -5.3% |
NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.
GOOS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $83.6M | +10% |
| Q1 2026 | $319.5M | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $488.3M | +14% |
| Q3 2025 | $191.6M | +1.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $75.8M | +22% |
| Q1 2025 | $270.4M | +7.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $427.4M | -0.3% |
| Q3 2024 | $188.3M | -4.7% |
GOOS has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -89% | +59 points |
| Q1 2026 | 14% | 0 points |
| Q4 2025 | 29% | -4.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | -6.5% | -7.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | -147% | -37 points |
| Q1 2025 | 14% | +7.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 34% | +1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 0.6% | -0.2 points |
GOOS's operating margin was −89% last quarter, up 59 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NKE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.2B | -4.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.3B | +0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.4B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.7B | +1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.3B | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.4B | -7.7% |
NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.2% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +9.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.8% | -1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | -3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -2.9 points |
NKE has the edge over GOOS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
GOOS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$137.4M | -$36.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $45.8M | -52% |
| Q4 2025 | $225.3M | -5.2% |
| Q3 2025 | -$87.9M | +$14.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$101.3M | +$703K |
| Q1 2025 | $94.7M | +147% |
| Q4 2024 | $237.7M | +1.5% |
| Q3 2024 | -$102.1M | -$43.6M |
GOOS has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$64M | -527% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +313% |
| Q1 2026 | $284M | -83% |
| Q4 2025 | $386M | -58% |
| Q3 2025 | $15M | -95% |
| Q2 2025 | $363M | -85% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $920M | -65% |
NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.
GOOS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.9% | -1.9M shares |
| 1 year | -0.9% | -840K shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -6.4M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -13.2M shares |
| Available history | -12% | -13.5M shares |
GOOS has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
GOOS hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
NKE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +3.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +5.2M shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -59.1M shares |
| 5 years | -8.4% | -135M shares |
| Available history | -6.9% | -110M shares |
NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $20M |
| Q3 2025 | $126M |
| Q2 2025 | $199M |
| Q1 2025 | $506M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
NKE has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
GOOS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q3 2024 | 2.9x | Moderate |
GOOS's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
NKE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
NKE has the edge over GOOS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
GOOS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 47.3 | Neutral |
GOOS's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 47 (neutral).
NKE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.5 | Neutral |
NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
GOOS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | GOOS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22x | 18x | 21% above |
| PE % | 10 | 47 | 37 pts below |
GOOS is trading at 22x earnings, a 21% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NKE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 0.3% above |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
NKE has the edge over GOOS on valuation relative to its sector.
GOOS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $8.06 | 2.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $8.47 | 2.2% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.3 | 20% below |
| 100 week MA | $10.8 | 23% below |
| 200 week MA | $12.4 | 33% below |
GOOS has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 33% below its 200-week average.
NKE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.7 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $39.2 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $48.0 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $58.4 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $79.2 | 52% below |
NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.
GOOS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $37.6 | $30.9 | -18% |
| 2021 | $30.9 | $37.3 | +21% |
| 2022 | $37.3 | $17.3 | -54% |
| 2023 | $17.3 | $11.9 | -32% |
| 2024 | $11.9 | $9.98 | -16% |
| 2025 | $9.98 | $12.8 | +28% |
| 2026 YTD | $12.8 | $8.28 | -35% |
GOOS has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NKE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $101.6 | $141.6 | +39% |
| 2021 | $141.6 | $165.7 | +17% |
| 2022 | $165.7 | $116.3 | -30% |
| 2023 | $116.3 | $108.6 | -6.6% |
| 2024 | $108.6 | $76.4 | -30% |
| 2025 | $76.4 | $60.9 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.9 | $37.8 | -38% |
NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.