GOOS
Canada Goose Holdings Inc.
GOOS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO has a slight edge over GOOS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
GOOS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Stable |
GOOS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
GOOS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 22x | $8.28 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $8.92 | +7.8% |
| Fair | 32x | $12.21 | +48% |
| Expensive | 72x | $27.34 | +230% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GOOS's PE is 22x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
GOOS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GOOS, with profitability holding steady.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
NIO has the edge over GOOS on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
GOOS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0.38 | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.14 | -79% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.14 | -73% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.18 | -57% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.33 | -20% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.67 | +60% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.51 | +42% |
| Q3 2024 | $0.42 | +17% |
GOOS has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
GOOS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $83.6M | +10% |
| Q1 2026 | $319.5M | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $488.3M | +14% |
| Q3 2025 | $191.6M | +1.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $75.8M | +22% |
| Q1 2025 | $270.4M | +7.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $427.4M | -0.3% |
| Q3 2024 | $188.3M | -4.7% |
GOOS's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $84M last quarter, up 10% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -89% | +59 points |
| Q1 2026 | 14% | 0 points |
| Q4 2025 | 29% | -4.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | -6.5% | -7.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | -147% | -37 points |
| Q1 2025 | 14% | +7.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 34% | +1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 0.6% | -0.2 points |
GOOS's operating margin was −89% last quarter, up 59 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO has the edge over GOOS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO has the edge over GOOS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
GOOS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$137.4M | -$36.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $45.8M | -52% |
| Q4 2025 | $225.3M | -5.2% |
| Q3 2025 | -$87.9M | +$14.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$101.3M | +$703K |
| Q1 2025 | $94.7M | +147% |
| Q4 2024 | $237.7M | +1.5% |
| Q3 2024 | -$102.1M | -$43.6M |
GOOS has burned cash in most quarters: $46M over the past year, down 65% from the year before.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.
GOOS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.9% | -1.9M shares |
| 1 year | -0.9% | -840K shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -6.4M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -13.2M shares |
| Available history | -12% | -13.5M shares |
GOOS has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
GOOS hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
GOOS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q3 2024 | 2.9x | Moderate |
GOOS's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
GOOS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 47.3 | Neutral |
GOOS's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 47 (neutral).
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
GOOS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | GOOS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22x | 18x | 21% above |
| PE % | 10 | 47 | 37 pts below |
GOOS is trading at 22x earnings, a 21% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
GOOS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $8.06 | 2.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $8.47 | 2.2% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.3 | 20% below |
| 100 week MA | $10.8 | 23% below |
| 200 week MA | $12.4 | 33% below |
GOOS has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
GOOS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $37.6 | $30.9 | -18% |
| 2021 | $30.9 | $37.3 | +21% |
| 2022 | $37.3 | $17.3 | -54% |
| 2023 | $17.3 | $11.9 | -32% |
| 2024 | $11.9 | $9.98 | -16% |
| 2025 | $9.98 | $12.8 | +28% |
| 2026 YTD | $12.8 | $8.28 | -35% |
GOOS has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.