GOOS

Canada Goose Holdings Inc.

55
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

GOOS has the edge over LCID overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

GOOS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Under pressure
Stable

GOOS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

GOOS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x118x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x118x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$8.28—
Cheap23x$8.92+7.8%
Fair32x$12.21+48%
Expensive72x$27.34+230%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GOOS's PE is 22x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GOOS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GOOS, with profitability holding steady.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

GOOS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$10.78
Downside-23%$6.40

Calculated from the latest close: $8.28 on Nov 12.

GOOS trails LCID on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GOOS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GOOS Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.36Q4 2023: $0.36Q1 2024: $0.42Q2 2024: $0.41Q3 2024: $0.42Q4 2024: $0.51Q1 2025: $0.67Q2 2025: $0.33Q3 2025: $0.18Q4 2025: $0.14Q1 2026: $0.14Q2 2026: $0.38
Q3 2023: $0.36Q4 2023: $0.36Q1 2024: $0.42Q2 2024: $0.41Q3 2024: $0.42Q4 2024: $0.51Q1 2025: $0.67Q2 2025: $0.33Q3 2025: $0.18Q4 2025: $0.14Q1 2026: $0.14Q2 2026: $0.38
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$0.38+15%
Q1 2026$0.14-79%
Q4 2025$0.14-73%
Q3 2025$0.18-57%
Q2 2025$0.33-20%
Q1 2025$0.67+60%
Q4 2024$0.51+42%
Q3 2024$0.42+17%

GOOS has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

GOOS Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $198MQ4 2023: $429MQ1 2024: $252MQ2 2024: $62MQ3 2024: $188MQ4 2024: $427MQ1 2025: $270MQ2 2025: $76MQ3 2025: $192MQ4 2025: $488MQ1 2026: $320MQ2 2026: $84M
Q3 2023: $198MQ4 2023: $429MQ1 2024: $252MQ2 2024: $62MQ3 2024: $188MQ4 2024: $427MQ1 2025: $270MQ2 2025: $76MQ3 2025: $192MQ4 2025: $488MQ1 2026: $320MQ2 2026: $84M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$83.6M+10%
Q1 2026$319.5M+18%
Q4 2025$488.3M+14%
Q3 2025$191.6M+1.8%
Q2 2025$75.8M+22%
Q1 2025$270.4M+7.4%
Q4 2024$427.4M-0.3%
Q3 2024$188.3M-4.7%

GOOS's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $84M last quarter, up 10% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over GOOS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GOOS Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$58MQ4 2023: $234MQ1 2024: $38MQ2 2024: −$102MQ3 2024: −$102MQ4 2024: $238MQ1 2025: $95MQ2 2025: −$101MQ3 2025: −$88MQ4 2025: $225MQ1 2026: $46MQ2 2026: −$137M
Q3 2023: −$58MQ4 2023: $234MQ1 2024: $38MQ2 2024: −$102MQ3 2024: −$102MQ4 2024: $238MQ1 2025: $95MQ2 2025: −$101MQ3 2025: −$88MQ4 2025: $225MQ1 2026: $46MQ2 2026: −$137M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$137.4M-$36.1M
Q1 2026$45.8M-52%
Q4 2025$225.3M-5.2%
Q3 2025-$87.9M+$14.1M
Q2 2025-$101.3M+$703K
Q1 2025$94.7M+147%
Q4 2024$237.7M+1.5%
Q3 2024-$102.1M-$43.6M

GOOS has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

GOOS Total Shares

Q3 2023: 104MQ4 2023: 101MQ1 2024: 97MQ2 2024: 97MQ3 2024: 98MQ4 2024: 98MQ1 2025: 98MQ2 2025: 98MQ3 2025: 95MQ4 2025: 99MQ1 2026: 99MQ2 2026: 97M
Q3 2023: 104MQ4 2023: 101MQ1 2024: 97MQ2 2024: 97MQ3 2024: 98MQ4 2024: 98MQ1 2025: 98MQ2 2025: 98MQ3 2025: 95MQ4 2025: 99MQ1 2026: 99MQ2 2026: 97M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.9%-1.9M shares
1 year-0.9%-840K shares
3 years-6.2%-6.4M shares
5 years-12%-13.2M shares
Available history-12%-13.5M shares

GOOS has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

GOOS Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 3.5xQ4 2023: 2.1xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 2.8xQ3 2024: 2.9xQ4 2024: 3.2xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 2.3x
Q3 2023: 3.5xQ4 2023: 2.1xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 2.8xQ3 2024: 2.9xQ4 2024: 3.2xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20262.3xModerate
Q1 20261.7xHealthy
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 20252.6xModerate
Q2 20252.3xModerate
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20243.2xElevated
Q3 20242.9xModerate

GOOS's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

GOOS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.0Neutral
Stochastic47.3Neutral

GOOS's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 47 (neutral).

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

GOOS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricGOOSSector medianRelative
PE22x18x21% above
PE %104737 pts below

GOOS is trading at 22x earnings, a 21% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GOOS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.062.7% above
20 week MA$8.472.2% below
50 week MA$10.320% below
100 week MA$10.823% below
200 week MA$12.433% below

GOOS has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

GOOS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$37.6$30.9-18%
2021$30.9$37.3+21%
2022$37.3$17.3-54%
2023$17.3$11.9-32%
2024$11.9$9.98-16%
2025$9.98$12.8+28%
2026 YTD$12.8$8.28-35%

GOOS has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

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