GOOGL

Alphabet Inc.

66
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

GOOGL has the edge over ZG overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

ZG

Zillow Group, Inc. Class A

47
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

ZG's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

GOOGL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Under pressure
Healthy

GOOGL's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure.

ZG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Strong

ZG's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

GOOGL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current16x$299—
Cheap20x$378+27%
Forward22x$299—
Fair26x$497+66%
Expensive31x$586+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GOOGL's PE is in its cheap range at 16x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 22x.

ZG PE Valuation

ZG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GOOGL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for GOOGL, but weaker profitability.

ZG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ZG's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

GOOGL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$405.17
Downside-13%$260.15

Calculated from the latest close: $298.70 on Nov 12.

GOOGL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ZG, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ZG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$40.43
Downside-27%$21.12

Calculated from the latest close: $29.11 on Nov 12.

ZG trails GOOGL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GOOGL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.52Q2 2024: $6.97Q3 2024: $7.54Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.96Q2 2025: $9.38Q3 2025: $10.13Q4 2025: $10.81Q1 2026: $13.11Q2 2026: $19.91Q3 2026: $19.16Forward: $13.89
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.52Q2 2024: $6.97Q3 2024: $7.54Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.96Q2 2025: $9.38Q3 2025: $10.13Q4 2025: $10.81Q1 2026: $13.11Q2 2026: $19.91Q3 2026: $19.16Forward: $13.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.89-28%
Q3 2026$19.16+89%
Q2 2026$19.91+112%
Q1 2026$13.11+46%
Q4 2025$10.81+34%
Q3 2025$10.13+34%
Q2 2025$9.38+35%
Q1 2025$8.96+37%
Q4 2024$8.04+39%

GOOGL has the edge over ZG on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ZG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.68Q1 2024: $-0.69Q2 2024: $-0.61Q3 2024: $-0.57Q4 2024: $-0.48Q1 2025: $-0.35Q2 2025: $-0.27Q3 2025: $-0.15Q4 2025: $0.09Q1 2026: $0.25Q2 2026: $0.22Q3 2026: $-0.52Forward: $2.11
Q4 2023: $-0.68Q1 2024: $-0.69Q2 2024: $-0.61Q3 2024: $-0.57Q4 2024: $-0.48Q1 2025: $-0.35Q2 2025: $-0.27Q3 2025: $-0.15Q4 2025: $0.09Q1 2026: $0.25Q2 2026: $0.22Q3 2026: $-0.52Forward: $2.11
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.11—
Q3 2026-$0.52-$0.37
Q2 2026$0.22+$0.49
Q1 2026$0.25+$0.60
Q4 2025$0.09+$0.57
Q3 2025-$0.15+$0.42
Q2 2025-$0.27+$0.34
Q1 2025-$0.35+$0.34
Q4 2024-$0.48+$0.20

ZG is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.52 per share over the past year, against $2.26 at its worst in mid-2022.

GOOGL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $86.3BQ1 2024: $80.5BQ2 2024: $84.7BQ3 2024: $88.3BQ4 2024: $96.5BQ1 2025: $90.2BQ2 2025: $96.4BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $114BQ1 2026: $110BQ2 2026: $120BQ3 2026: $128B
Q4 2023: $86.3BQ1 2024: $80.5BQ2 2024: $84.7BQ3 2024: $88.3BQ4 2024: $96.5BQ1 2025: $90.2BQ2 2025: $96.4BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $114BQ1 2026: $110BQ2 2026: $120BQ3 2026: $128B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$127.6B+25%
Q2 2026$119.8B+24%
Q1 2026$109.9B+22%
Q4 2025$113.8B+18%
Q3 2025$102.3B+16%
Q2 2025$96.4B+14%
Q1 2025$90.2B+12%
Q4 2024$96.5B+12%

GOOGL has the edge over ZG on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

ZG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $474MQ1 2024: $529MQ2 2024: $572MQ3 2024: $581MQ4 2024: $554MQ1 2025: $598MQ2 2025: $655MQ3 2025: $676MQ4 2025: $654MQ1 2026: $708MQ2 2026: $772MQ3 2026: $724M
Q4 2023: $474MQ1 2024: $529MQ2 2024: $572MQ3 2024: $581MQ4 2024: $554MQ1 2025: $598MQ2 2025: $655MQ3 2025: $676MQ4 2025: $654MQ1 2026: $708MQ2 2026: $772MQ3 2026: $724M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$724M+7.1%
Q2 2026$772M+18%
Q1 2026$708M+18%
Q4 2025$654M+18%
Q3 2025$676M+16%
Q2 2025$655M+15%
Q1 2025$598M+13%
Q4 2024$554M+17%

ZG's revenue has grown year over year for 13 quarters in a row: $724M last quarter, up 7.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

GOOGL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $7.9BQ1 2024: $16.8BQ2 2024: $13.5BQ3 2024: $17.6BQ4 2024: $24.8BQ1 2025: $19BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $24.5BQ4 2025: $24.6BQ1 2026: $10.1BQ2 2026: −$5.9BQ3 2026: −$9.1B
Q4 2023: $7.9BQ1 2024: $16.8BQ2 2024: $13.5BQ3 2024: $17.6BQ4 2024: $24.8BQ1 2025: $19BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $24.5BQ4 2025: $24.6BQ1 2026: $10.1BQ2 2026: −$5.9BQ3 2026: −$9.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$9.1B-137%
Q2 2026-$5.9B-210%
Q1 2026$10.1B-47%
Q4 2025$24.6B-1.2%
Q3 2025$24.5B+39%
Q2 2025$5.3B-61%
Q1 2025$19B+13%
Q4 2024$24.8B+215%

GOOGL usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$9.1B, but it generated $19.7B over the past year.

ZG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $52MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $18MQ3 2024: $138MQ4 2024: $88MQ1 2025: $68MQ2 2025: $50MQ3 2025: $73MQ4 2025: $44MQ1 2026: $166MQ2 2026: −$25MQ3 2026: $128M
Q4 2023: $52MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $18MQ3 2024: $138MQ4 2024: $88MQ1 2025: $68MQ2 2025: $50MQ3 2025: $73MQ4 2025: $44MQ1 2026: $166MQ2 2026: −$25MQ3 2026: $128M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$128M+75%
Q2 2026-$25M-150%
Q1 2026$166M+144%
Q4 2025$44M-50%
Q3 2025$73M-47%
Q2 2025$50M+178%
Q1 2025$68M+66%
Q4 2024$88M+69%

ZG has the edge over GOOGL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GOOGL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 12.4BQ1 2024: 12.4BQ2 2024: 12.5BQ3 2024: 12.4BQ4 2024: 12.4BQ1 2025: 12.3BQ2 2025: 12.2BQ3 2025: 12.2BQ4 2025: 12.2BQ1 2026: 12.2BQ2 2026: 12.3BQ3 2026: 12.4B
Q4 2023: 12.4BQ1 2024: 12.4BQ2 2024: 12.5BQ3 2024: 12.4BQ4 2024: 12.4BQ1 2025: 12.3BQ2 2025: 12.2BQ3 2025: 12.2BQ4 2025: 12.2BQ1 2026: 12.2BQ2 2026: 12.3BQ3 2026: 12.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+59M shares
1 year+1.4%+165M shares
3 years-1.2%-148M shares
5 years-6.8%-907M shares
Available history-10%-1.4B shares

GOOGL has 12.4B diluted shares, up 1.4% from a year ago.

ZG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 234MQ1 2024: 235MQ2 2024: 233MQ3 2024: 233MQ4 2024: 234MQ1 2025: 256MQ2 2025: 252MQ3 2025: 256MQ4 2025: 254MQ1 2026: 240MQ2 2026: 228MQ3 2026: 225M
Q4 2023: 234MQ1 2024: 235MQ2 2024: 233MQ3 2024: 233MQ4 2024: 234MQ1 2025: 256MQ2 2025: 252MQ3 2025: 256MQ4 2025: 254MQ1 2026: 240MQ2 2026: 228MQ3 2026: 225M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.1%-2.6M shares
1 year-12%-30.9M shares
3 years-3.4%-8M shares
5 years-11%-28.8M shares
Available history+9.2%+18.9M shares

ZG has the edge over GOOGL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GOOGL Net Leverage

Q4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20250.0xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.1xNet Cash

GOOGL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

ZG Net Leverage

Q4 2024: -21.8xQ1 2025: -8.4xQ2 2025: -2.9xQ3 2025: -3.6xQ4 2025: -1.8xQ1 2026: -1.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -1.9x
Q4 2024: -21.8xQ1 2025: -8.4xQ2 2025: -2.9xQ3 2025: -3.6xQ4 2025: -1.8xQ1 2026: -1.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.9xNet Cash
Q1 2025-8.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-21.8xNet Cash

ZG has the edge over GOOGL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

GOOGL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.2Neutral
Stochastic11.7Oversold

GOOGL's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

ZG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.6Neutral
Stochastic28.6Neutral

ZG's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 29 (neutral).

GOOGL PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricGOOGLSector medianRelative
PE16x16x6% below
PE %12625 pts below

GOOGL has the edge over ZG on valuation relative to its sector.

ZG PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricZGSector medianRelative
PE127x16x673% above
PE %19267 pts below

ZG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GOOGL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$320.46.8% below
20 week MA$336.111% below
50 week MA$334.511% below
100 week MA$267.812% above
200 week MA$204.746% above

GOOGL has the edge over ZG on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ZG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$30.64.8% below
20 week MA$32.510% below
50 week MA$42.531% below
100 week MA$57.649% below
200 week MA$53.546% below

ZG is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 46% below its 200-week average.

GOOGL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$67.7$86.7+28%
2021$86.7$146.9+69%
2022$146.9$89.2-39%
2023$89.2$139.7+57%
2024$139.7$192.8+38%
2025$192.8$313.5+63%
2026 YTD$313.5$298.7-4.7%

GOOGL has the edge over ZG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ZG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$45.8$143.9+214%
2021$143.9$62.3-57%
2022$62.3$32.1-48%
2023$32.1$56.7+77%
2024$56.7$72.7+28%
2025$72.7$69.6-4.3%
2026 YTD$69.6$29.1-58%

ZG's yearly returns have swung widely, from +214% in 2020 to −57% in 2021. It's down 58% so far in 2026.

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