GOOGL

Alphabet Inc.

66
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

GOOGL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

ZETA

Zeta Global Holdings Corp.

73
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential36/ 100

ZETA has the edge over GOOGL overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

GOOGL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Under pressure
Healthy

GOOGL's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure.

ZETA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Healthy

ZETA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

GOOGL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current16x$299—
Cheap20x$378+27%
Forward22x$299—
Fair26x$497+66%
Expensive31x$586+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GOOGL's PE is in its cheap range at 16x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 22x.

ZETA PE Valuation

LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward29x$37.27—
Current248x$37.27—
CheapN/AN/AN/A
FairN/AN/AN/A
ExpensiveN/AN/AN/A

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ZETA has the edge over GOOGL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GOOGL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for GOOGL, but weaker profitability.

ZETA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

ZETA has the edge over GOOGL on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and profitability expectations.

GOOGL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$405.17
Downside-13%$260.15

Calculated from the latest close: $298.70 on Nov 12.

GOOGL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ZETA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ZETA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+60%$59.54
Downside-36%$23.87

Calculated from the latest close: $37.27 on Nov 12.

ZETA trails GOOGL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GOOGL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.52Q2 2024: $6.97Q3 2024: $7.54Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.96Q2 2025: $9.38Q3 2025: $10.13Q4 2025: $10.81Q1 2026: $13.11Q2 2026: $19.91Q3 2026: $19.16Forward: $13.89
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.52Q2 2024: $6.97Q3 2024: $7.54Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.96Q2 2025: $9.38Q3 2025: $10.13Q4 2025: $10.81Q1 2026: $13.11Q2 2026: $19.91Q3 2026: $19.16Forward: $13.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.89-28%
Q3 2026$19.16+89%
Q2 2026$19.91+112%
Q1 2026$13.11+46%
Q4 2025$10.81+34%
Q3 2025$10.13+34%
Q2 2025$9.38+35%
Q1 2025$8.96+37%
Q4 2024$8.04+39%

GOOGL's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $19.16 over the past year, up 89% from the year before, and higher year over year for 13 quarters in a row. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

ZETA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.20Q1 2024: $-1.05Q2 2024: $-0.87Q3 2024: $-0.69Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.25Q2 2025: $-0.15Q3 2025: $-0.08Q4 2025: $-0.14Q1 2026: $-0.10Q2 2026: $-0.01Q3 2026: $0.15Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $-1.20Q1 2024: $-1.05Q2 2024: $-0.87Q3 2024: $-0.69Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.25Q2 2025: $-0.15Q3 2025: $-0.08Q4 2025: $-0.14Q1 2026: $-0.10Q2 2026: $-0.01Q3 2026: $0.15Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27+748%
Q3 2026$0.15+$0.23
Q2 2026-$0.01+$0.14
Q1 2026-$0.10+$0.15
Q4 2025-$0.14+$0.24
Q3 2025-$0.08+$0.61
Q2 2025-$0.15+$0.72
Q1 2025-$0.25+$0.80
Q4 2024-$0.38+$0.82

ZETA has returned to profit: it earned $0.15 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

GOOGL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $86.3BQ1 2024: $80.5BQ2 2024: $84.7BQ3 2024: $88.3BQ4 2024: $96.5BQ1 2025: $90.2BQ2 2025: $96.4BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $114BQ1 2026: $110BQ2 2026: $120BQ3 2026: $128B
Q4 2023: $86.3BQ1 2024: $80.5BQ2 2024: $84.7BQ3 2024: $88.3BQ4 2024: $96.5BQ1 2025: $90.2BQ2 2025: $96.4BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $114BQ1 2026: $110BQ2 2026: $120BQ3 2026: $128B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$127.6B+25%
Q2 2026$119.8B+24%
Q1 2026$109.9B+22%
Q4 2025$113.8B+18%
Q3 2025$102.3B+16%
Q2 2025$96.4B+14%
Q1 2025$90.2B+12%
Q4 2024$96.5B+12%

GOOGL's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $128B last quarter, up 25% from the same quarter a year ago.

ZETA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $210MQ1 2024: $195MQ2 2024: $228MQ3 2024: $268MQ4 2024: $315MQ1 2025: $264MQ2 2025: $308MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $395MQ1 2026: $396MQ2 2026: $443MQ3 2026: $493M
Q4 2023: $210MQ1 2024: $195MQ2 2024: $228MQ3 2024: $268MQ4 2024: $315MQ1 2025: $264MQ2 2025: $308MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $395MQ1 2026: $396MQ2 2026: $443MQ3 2026: $493M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$492.7M+46%
Q2 2026$442.8M+44%
Q1 2026$396.3M+50%
Q4 2025$394.6M+25%
Q3 2025$337.2M+26%
Q2 2025$308.4M+35%
Q1 2025$264.4M+36%
Q4 2024$314.7M+50%

ZETA has the edge over GOOGL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

GOOGL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $7.9BQ1 2024: $16.8BQ2 2024: $13.5BQ3 2024: $17.6BQ4 2024: $24.8BQ1 2025: $19BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $24.5BQ4 2025: $24.6BQ1 2026: $10.1BQ2 2026: −$5.9BQ3 2026: −$9.1B
Q4 2023: $7.9BQ1 2024: $16.8BQ2 2024: $13.5BQ3 2024: $17.6BQ4 2024: $24.8BQ1 2025: $19BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $24.5BQ4 2025: $24.6BQ1 2026: $10.1BQ2 2026: −$5.9BQ3 2026: −$9.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$9.1B-137%
Q2 2026-$5.9B-210%
Q1 2026$10.1B-47%
Q4 2025$24.6B-1.2%
Q3 2025$24.5B+39%
Q2 2025$5.3B-61%
Q1 2025$19B+13%
Q4 2024$24.8B+215%

GOOGL usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$9.1B, but it generated $19.7B over the past year.

ZETA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $21MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $24MQ3 2024: $30MQ4 2024: $35MQ1 2025: $32MQ2 2025: $40MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $61MQ1 2026: $47MQ2 2026: $64MQ3 2026: $88M
Q4 2023: $21MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $24MQ3 2024: $30MQ4 2024: $35MQ1 2025: $32MQ2 2025: $40MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $61MQ1 2026: $47MQ2 2026: $64MQ3 2026: $88M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$88.3M+68%
Q2 2026$64.4M+62%
Q1 2026$46.7M+46%
Q4 2025$60.9M+72%
Q3 2025$52.4M+78%
Q2 2025$39.7M+63%
Q1 2025$32.1M+70%
Q4 2024$35.4M+66%

ZETA has the edge over GOOGL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GOOGL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 12.4BQ1 2024: 12.4BQ2 2024: 12.5BQ3 2024: 12.4BQ4 2024: 12.4BQ1 2025: 12.3BQ2 2025: 12.2BQ3 2025: 12.2BQ4 2025: 12.2BQ1 2026: 12.2BQ2 2026: 12.3BQ3 2026: 12.4B
Q4 2023: 12.4BQ1 2024: 12.4BQ2 2024: 12.5BQ3 2024: 12.4BQ4 2024: 12.4BQ1 2025: 12.3BQ2 2025: 12.2BQ3 2025: 12.2BQ4 2025: 12.2BQ1 2026: 12.2BQ2 2026: 12.3BQ3 2026: 12.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+59M shares
1 year+1.4%+165M shares
3 years-1.2%-148M shares
5 years-6.8%-907M shares
Available history-10%-1.4B shares

GOOGL has the edge over ZETA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ZETA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 157MQ1 2024: 171MQ2 2024: 178MQ3 2024: 188MQ4 2024: 186MQ1 2025: 213MQ2 2025: 217MQ3 2025: 222MQ4 2025: 221MQ1 2026: 239MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 265M
Q4 2023: 157MQ1 2024: 171MQ2 2024: 178MQ3 2024: 188MQ4 2024: 186MQ1 2025: 213MQ2 2025: 217MQ3 2025: 222MQ4 2025: 221MQ1 2026: 239MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 265M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.1%+8M shares
1 year+19%+42.2M shares
3 years+67%+107M shares
5 years+417%+213M shares
Available history+712%+232M shares

ZETA has 265M diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

GOOGL Net Leverage

Q4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20250.0xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.1xNet Cash

GOOGL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

ZETA Net Leverage

Q1 2025: -14.1xQ2 2025: -4.5xQ3 2025: -3.0xQ4 2025: -1.6xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -1.0xQ3 2026: -0.7x
Q1 2025: -14.1xQ2 2025: -4.5xQ3 2025: -3.0xQ4 2025: -1.6xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -1.0xQ3 2026: -0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-14.1xNet Cash

ZETA has the edge over GOOGL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

GOOGL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.2Neutral
Stochastic11.7Oversold

GOOGL's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

ZETA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI70.3Overbought
Stochastic75.8Neutral

ZETA's weekly RSI is 70 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 76 (neutral).

GOOGL PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricGOOGLSector medianRelative
PE16x16x6% below
PE %12625 pts below

GOOGL is trading at 16x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.

ZETA PE vs Technology Sector

GOOGL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$320.46.8% below
20 week MA$336.111% below
50 week MA$334.511% below
100 week MA$267.812% above
200 week MA$204.746% above

GOOGL has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 46% above its 200-week average.

ZETA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$32.615% above
20 week MA$28.630% above
50 week MA$22.665% above
100 week MA$19.789% above
200 week MA$16.7123% above

ZETA has the edge over GOOGL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GOOGL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$67.7$86.7+28%
2021$86.7$146.9+69%
2022$146.9$89.2-39%
2023$89.2$139.7+57%
2024$139.7$192.8+38%
2025$192.8$313.5+63%
2026 YTD$313.5$298.7-4.7%

GOOGL has finished higher in five of the last six years, three of them by more than 50%. It's down 4.7% so far in 2026.

ZETA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$8.27$8.40+1.6%
2022$8.40$8.21-2.3%
2023$8.21$8.82+7.4%
2024$8.82$17.7+100%
2025$17.7$20.7+17%
2026 YTD$20.7$37.3+80%

ZETA has the edge over GOOGL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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