GOOGL

Alphabet Inc.

66
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

GOOGL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

WLY

John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

66
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation75/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential25/ 100

WLY has a slight edge over GOOGL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

GOOGL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Under pressure
Healthy

GOOGL's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure.

WLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Under pressure

WLY's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

GOOGL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current16x$299—
Cheap20x$378+27%
Forward22x$299—
Fair26x$497+66%
Expensive31x$586+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GOOGL has the edge over WLY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

WLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x123x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x123x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current13x$49.44—
Cheap14x$53.29+7.8%
Fair20x$75.29+52%
Expensive26x$95.37+93%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

WLY's PE is in its cheap range at 13x.

GOOGL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for GOOGL, but weaker profitability.

WLY Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for WLY to show an outlook.

GOOGL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$405.17
Downside-13%$260.15

Calculated from the latest close: $298.70 on Nov 12.

GOOGL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than WLY, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

WLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$62.10
Downside-25%$36.98

Calculated from the latest close: $49.44 on Nov 12.

WLY trails GOOGL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

GOOGL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.52Q2 2024: $6.97Q3 2024: $7.54Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.96Q2 2025: $9.38Q3 2025: $10.13Q4 2025: $10.81Q1 2026: $13.11Q2 2026: $19.91Q3 2026: $19.16Forward: $13.89
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.52Q2 2024: $6.97Q3 2024: $7.54Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.96Q2 2025: $9.38Q3 2025: $10.13Q4 2025: $10.81Q1 2026: $13.11Q2 2026: $19.91Q3 2026: $19.16Forward: $13.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.89-28%
Q3 2026$19.16+89%
Q2 2026$19.91+112%
Q1 2026$13.11+46%
Q4 2025$10.81+34%
Q3 2025$10.13+34%
Q2 2025$9.38+35%
Q1 2025$8.96+37%
Q4 2024$8.04+39%

GOOGL's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $19.16 over the past year, up 89% from the year before, and higher year over year for 13 quarters in a row. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

WLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.07Q1 2024: $-2.86Q2 2024: $-3.65Q3 2024: $-2.01Q4 2024: $-0.92Q1 2025: $0.73Q2 2025: $1.53Q3 2025: $1.78Q4 2025: $1.88Q1 2026: $2.87Q2 2026: $4.16Q3 2026: $3.71
Q4 2023: $-2.07Q1 2024: $-2.86Q2 2024: $-3.65Q3 2024: $-2.01Q4 2024: $-0.92Q1 2025: $0.73Q2 2025: $1.53Q3 2025: $1.78Q4 2025: $1.88Q1 2026: $2.87Q2 2026: $4.16Q3 2026: $3.71
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$3.71+108%
Q2 2026$4.16+172%
Q1 2026$2.87+293%
Q4 2025$1.88+$2.80
Q3 2025$1.78+$3.79
Q2 2025$1.53+$5.18
Q1 2025$0.73+$3.59
Q4 2024-$0.92+$1.15

WLY's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $3.71 over the past year, up 108% from the year before, and higher year over year for eight quarters in a row.

GOOGL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $86.3BQ1 2024: $80.5BQ2 2024: $84.7BQ3 2024: $88.3BQ4 2024: $96.5BQ1 2025: $90.2BQ2 2025: $96.4BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $114BQ1 2026: $110BQ2 2026: $120BQ3 2026: $128B
Q4 2023: $86.3BQ1 2024: $80.5BQ2 2024: $84.7BQ3 2024: $88.3BQ4 2024: $96.5BQ1 2025: $90.2BQ2 2025: $96.4BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $114BQ1 2026: $110BQ2 2026: $120BQ3 2026: $128B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$127.6B+25%
Q2 2026$119.8B+24%
Q1 2026$109.9B+22%
Q4 2025$113.8B+18%
Q3 2025$102.3B+16%
Q2 2025$96.4B+14%
Q1 2025$90.2B+12%
Q4 2024$96.5B+12%

GOOGL has the edge over WLY on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

WLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $493MQ1 2024: $461MQ2 2024: $468MQ3 2024: $404MQ4 2024: $427MQ1 2025: $405MQ2 2025: $443MQ3 2025: $397MQ4 2025: $422MQ1 2026: $410MQ2 2026: $448MQ3 2026: $386M
Q4 2023: $493MQ1 2024: $461MQ2 2024: $468MQ3 2024: $404MQ4 2024: $427MQ1 2025: $405MQ2 2025: $443MQ3 2025: $397MQ4 2025: $422MQ1 2026: $410MQ2 2026: $448MQ3 2026: $386M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$386.4M-2.6%
Q2 2026$447.9M+1.2%
Q1 2026$410M+1.3%
Q4 2025$421.8M-1.1%
Q3 2025$396.8M-1.7%
Q2 2025$442.6M-5.5%
Q1 2025$404.6M-12%
Q4 2024$426.6M-13%

WLY's revenue fell from its 2022 peak and has held roughly level since: $386M last quarter, down 2.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

GOOGL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $7.9BQ1 2024: $16.8BQ2 2024: $13.5BQ3 2024: $17.6BQ4 2024: $24.8BQ1 2025: $19BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $24.5BQ4 2025: $24.6BQ1 2026: $10.1BQ2 2026: −$5.9BQ3 2026: −$9.1B
Q4 2023: $7.9BQ1 2024: $16.8BQ2 2024: $13.5BQ3 2024: $17.6BQ4 2024: $24.8BQ1 2025: $19BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $24.5BQ4 2025: $24.6BQ1 2026: $10.1BQ2 2026: −$5.9BQ3 2026: −$9.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$9.1B-137%
Q2 2026-$5.9B-210%
Q1 2026$10.1B-47%
Q4 2025$24.6B-1.2%
Q3 2025$24.5B+39%
Q2 2025$5.3B-61%
Q1 2025$19B+13%
Q4 2024$24.8B+215%

GOOGL usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$9.1B, but it generated $19.7B over the past year.

WLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$21MQ1 2024: $91MQ2 2024: $164MQ3 2024: −$103MQ4 2024: −$20MQ1 2025: $133MQ2 2025: $131MQ3 2025: −$97MQ4 2025: −$5MQ1 2026: $167MQ2 2026: $144MQ3 2026: −$66M
Q4 2023: −$21MQ1 2024: $91MQ2 2024: $164MQ3 2024: −$103MQ4 2024: −$20MQ1 2025: $133MQ2 2025: $131MQ3 2025: −$97MQ4 2025: −$5MQ1 2026: $167MQ2 2026: $144MQ3 2026: −$66M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$66.5M+$30.5M
Q2 2026$144M+9.8%
Q1 2026$167M+26%
Q4 2025-$4.6M+$15.2M
Q3 2025-$97M+$6.2M
Q2 2025$131.2M-20%
Q1 2025$132.9M+46%
Q4 2024-$19.8M+$1.6M

WLY has the edge over GOOGL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GOOGL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 12.4BQ1 2024: 12.4BQ2 2024: 12.5BQ3 2024: 12.4BQ4 2024: 12.4BQ1 2025: 12.3BQ2 2025: 12.2BQ3 2025: 12.2BQ4 2025: 12.2BQ1 2026: 12.2BQ2 2026: 12.3BQ3 2026: 12.4B
Q4 2023: 12.4BQ1 2024: 12.4BQ2 2024: 12.5BQ3 2024: 12.4BQ4 2024: 12.4BQ1 2025: 12.3BQ2 2025: 12.2BQ3 2025: 12.2BQ4 2025: 12.2BQ1 2026: 12.2BQ2 2026: 12.3BQ3 2026: 12.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+59M shares
1 year+1.4%+165M shares
3 years-1.2%-148M shares
5 years-6.8%-907M shares
Available history-10%-1.4B shares

GOOGL has 12.4B diluted shares, up 1.4% from a year ago.

WLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 55MQ1 2024: 55MQ2 2024: 55MQ3 2024: 54MQ4 2024: 55MQ1 2025: 54MQ2 2025: 55MQ3 2025: 54MQ4 2025: 54MQ1 2026: 53MQ2 2026: 53MQ3 2026: 51M
Q4 2023: 55MQ1 2024: 55MQ2 2024: 55MQ3 2024: 54MQ4 2024: 55MQ1 2025: 54MQ2 2025: 55MQ3 2025: 54MQ4 2025: 54MQ1 2026: 53MQ2 2026: 53MQ3 2026: 51M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-4.7%-2.5M shares
1 year-6%-3.2M shares
3 years-8.2%-4.5M shares
5 years-10%-5.8M shares
Available history-10%-5.9M shares

WLY has the edge over GOOGL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GOOGL Net Leverage

Q4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20250.0xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.1xNet Cash

GOOGL has the edge over WLY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

WLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.3xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 3.1xQ4 2024: 3.1xQ1 2025: 2.1xQ2 2025: 1.9xQ3 2025: 2.0xQ4 2025: 2.1xQ1 2026: 1.8xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 3.0x
Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.3xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 3.1xQ4 2024: 3.1xQ1 2025: 2.1xQ2 2025: 1.9xQ3 2025: 2.0xQ4 2025: 2.1xQ1 2026: 1.8xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.0xElevated
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.8xHealthy
Q4 20252.1xModerate
Q3 20252.0xModerate
Q2 20251.9xHealthy
Q1 20252.1xModerate
Q4 20243.1xElevated

WLY's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.0 years a year ago.

GOOGL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.2Neutral
Stochastic11.7Oversold

GOOGL's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

WLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.6Neutral
Stochastic43.6Neutral

WLY's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 44 (neutral).

GOOGL PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricGOOGLSector medianRelative
PE16x16x6% below
PE %12625 pts below

GOOGL is trading at 16x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.

WLY PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricWLYSector medianRelative
PE13x16x19% below
PE %92617 pts below

WLY has the edge over GOOGL on valuation relative to its sector.

GOOGL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$320.46.8% below
20 week MA$336.111% below
50 week MA$334.511% below
100 week MA$267.812% above
200 week MA$204.746% above

GOOGL has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 46% above its 200-week average.

WLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$50.31.7% below
20 week MA$50.52.1% below
50 week MA$42.217% above
100 week MA$41.519% above
200 week MA$40.323% above

WLY has the edge over GOOGL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GOOGL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$67.7$86.7+28%
2021$86.7$146.9+69%
2022$146.9$89.2-39%
2023$89.2$139.7+57%
2024$139.7$192.8+38%
2025$192.8$313.5+63%
2026 YTD$313.5$298.7-4.7%

GOOGL has finished higher in five of the last six years, three of them by more than 50%. It's down 4.7% so far in 2026.

WLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$48.4$45.3-6.6%
2021$45.3$55.4+22%
2022$55.4$39.4-29%
2023$39.4$31.7-19%
2024$31.7$44.5+40%
2025$44.5$31.1-30%
2026 YTD$31.1$49.4+59%

WLY has the edge over GOOGL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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