GOOGL
Alphabet Inc.
GOOGL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
TWLO
Twilio Inc.
TWLO has the edge over GOOGL overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
GOOGL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy |
GOOGL's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure.
TWLO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
TWLO's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
GOOGL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 16x | $299 | — |
| Cheap | 20x | $378 | +27% |
| Forward | 22x | $299 | — |
| Fair | 26x | $497 | +66% |
| Expensive | 31x | $586 | +96% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GOOGL's PE is in its cheap range at 16x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 22x.
TWLO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 27x | $212 | — |
| Forward | 32x | $212 | — |
| Cheap | 36x | $287 | +35% |
| Fair | 326x | $2,598 | +1124% |
| Expensive | 920x | $7,334 | +3356% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TWLO has the edge over GOOGL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
GOOGL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for GOOGL, but weaker profitability.
TWLO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
TWLO has the edge over GOOGL on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
GOOGL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.89 | -28% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.16 | +89% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.91 | +112% |
| Q1 2026 | $13.11 | +46% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.81 | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $10.13 | +34% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.38 | +35% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.96 | +37% |
| Q4 2024 | $8.04 | +39% |
GOOGL's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $19.16 over the past year, up 89% from the year before, and higher year over year for 13 quarters in a row. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.
TWLO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.60 | -17% |
| Q3 2026 | $7.97 | +1944% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.20 | +7100% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.66 | +$0.89 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.21 | +$0.87 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.39 | +$2.96 |
| Q2 2025 | $0.10 | +$3.39 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.23 | +$3.78 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.66 | +$4.88 |
TWLO's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $7.97 over the past year, more than ten times what it earned the year before, and higher year over year for 13 quarters in a row.
GOOGL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $127.6B | +25% |
| Q2 2026 | $119.8B | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $109.9B | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $113.8B | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $102.3B | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $96.4B | +14% |
| Q1 2025 | $90.2B | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $96.5B | +12% |
GOOGL has the edge over TWLO on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 32% | +1.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 34% | +1.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 36% | +2.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 31% | -1.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 32% | +0.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 34% | +2.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 32% | +4.6 points |
GOOGL has the edge over TWLO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TWLO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.6B | +20% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +22% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.4B | +14% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.2B | +11% |
TWLO's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $1.6B last quarter, up 20% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.5% | +6.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 5.6% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 7.7% | +5.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 4.2% | +3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1% | +3.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 3% | +4.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2% | +6.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 1.1% | +35 points |
TWLO's operating margin was 9.5% last quarter, up 6.4 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
GOOGL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$9.1B | -137% |
| Q2 2026 | -$5.9B | -210% |
| Q1 2026 | $10.1B | -47% |
| Q4 2025 | $24.6B | -1.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $24.5B | +39% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.3B | -61% |
| Q1 2025 | $19B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $24.8B | +215% |
GOOGL usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$9.1B, but it generated $19.7B over the past year.
TWLO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $389.2M | +48% |
| Q2 2026 | $372.4M | +34% |
| Q1 2026 | $153.2M | -20% |
| Q4 2025 | $271.6M | +150% |
| Q3 2025 | $263.6M | +29% |
| Q2 2025 | $277.1M | +30% |
| Q1 2025 | $191M | +0.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $108.4M | -51% |
TWLO has the edge over GOOGL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
GOOGL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +59M shares |
| 1 year | +1.4% | +165M shares |
| 3 years | -1.2% | -148M shares |
| 5 years | -6.8% | -907M shares |
| Available history | -10% | -1.4B shares |
GOOGL has the edge over TWLO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $5.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $11.5B |
| Q2 2025 | $13.6B |
| Q1 2025 | $15.1B |
| Q4 2024 | $15.6B |
GOOGL spent $5.5B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 90% from the year before.
TWLO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.3% | +2M shares |
| 1 year | +1.6% | +2.5M shares |
| 3 years | -11% | -20M shares |
| 5 years | -8.7% | -15.5M shares |
| Available history | +24% | +31.7M shares |
TWLO has 162M diluted shares, up 1.6% from a year ago, despite $647M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $125.2M |
| Q2 2026 | $70M |
| Q1 2026 | $253M |
| Q4 2025 | $198.5M |
| Q3 2025 | $347.2M |
| Q2 2025 | $197M |
| Q1 2025 | $126.3M |
| Q4 2024 | $420.1M |
TWLO spent $647M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 41% from the year before.
GOOGL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
GOOGL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
TWLO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 2.4x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 3.7x | Elevated |
TWLO has the edge over GOOGL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
GOOGL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.7 | Oversold |
GOOGL's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
TWLO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 48.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 20.6 | Neutral |
TWLO's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).
GOOGL PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | GOOGL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16x | 16x | 6% below |
| PE % | 1 | 26 | 25 pts below |
GOOGL has the edge over TWLO on valuation relative to its sector.
TWLO PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | TWLO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 16x | 61% above |
| PE % | 3 | 26 | 23 pts below |
TWLO is trading at 27x earnings, a 61% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.
GOOGL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $320.4 | 6.8% below |
| 20 week MA | $336.1 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $334.5 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $267.8 | 12% above |
| 200 week MA | $204.7 | 46% above |
GOOGL has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 46% above its 200-week average.
TWLO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $248.2 | 14% below |
| 20 week MA | $232.6 | 8.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $181.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $147.4 | 44% above |
| 200 week MA | $106.1 | 100% above |
TWLO has the edge over GOOGL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
GOOGL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $67.7 | $86.7 | +28% |
| 2021 | $86.7 | $146.9 | +69% |
| 2022 | $146.9 | $89.2 | -39% |
| 2023 | $89.2 | $139.7 | +57% |
| 2024 | $139.7 | $192.8 | +38% |
| 2025 | $192.8 | $313.5 | +63% |
| 2026 YTD | $313.5 | $298.7 | -4.7% |
GOOGL has finished higher in five of the last six years, three of them by more than 50%. It's down 4.7% so far in 2026.
TWLO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $100.4 | $362.9 | +261% |
| 2021 | $362.9 | $267.2 | -26% |
| 2022 | $267.2 | $44.8 | -83% |
| 2023 | $44.8 | $75.9 | +70% |
| 2024 | $75.9 | $109.3 | +44% |
| 2025 | $109.3 | $140.5 | +29% |
| 2026 YTD | $140.5 | $212.2 | +51% |
TWLO has the edge over GOOGL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.