GOOGL

Alphabet Inc.

66
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

GOOGL has the edge over TV overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

TV

Grupo Televisa, S.A.B.

52
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential24/ 100

TV's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

GOOGL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Under pressure
Healthy

GOOGL's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure.

TV Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Stable

TV's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently stable.

GOOGL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current16x$299—
Cheap20x$378+27%
Forward22x$299—
Fair26x$497+66%
Expensive31x$586+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GOOGL's PE is in its cheap range at 16x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 22x.

TV PE Valuation

TV has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GOOGL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for GOOGL, but weaker profitability.

TV Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect TV's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

GOOGL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$405.17
Downside-13%$260.15

Calculated from the latest close: $298.70 on Nov 12.

GOOGL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TV, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TV Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+32%$2.94
Downside-24%$1.69

Calculated from the latest close: $2.23 on Nov 12.

TV trails GOOGL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

GOOGL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.52Q2 2024: $6.97Q3 2024: $7.54Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.96Q2 2025: $9.38Q3 2025: $10.13Q4 2025: $10.81Q1 2026: $13.11Q2 2026: $19.91Q3 2026: $19.16Forward: $13.89
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.52Q2 2024: $6.97Q3 2024: $7.54Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.96Q2 2025: $9.38Q3 2025: $10.13Q4 2025: $10.81Q1 2026: $13.11Q2 2026: $19.91Q3 2026: $19.16Forward: $13.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.89-28%
Q3 2026$19.16+89%
Q2 2026$19.91+112%
Q1 2026$13.11+46%
Q4 2025$10.81+34%
Q3 2025$10.13+34%
Q2 2025$9.38+35%
Q1 2025$8.96+37%
Q4 2024$8.04+39%

GOOGL has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 89% for GOOGL versus TV down 312%.

TV Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.30Q4 2023: $-0.82Q1 2024: $-0.65Q2 2024: $-0.67Q3 2024: $-0.51Q4 2024: $-0.82Q1 2025: $-0.88Q2 2025: $-0.83Q3 2025: $-1.08
Q3 2023: $-1.30Q4 2023: $-0.82Q1 2024: $-0.65Q2 2024: $-0.67Q3 2024: $-0.51Q4 2024: $-0.82Q1 2025: $-0.88Q2 2025: $-0.83Q3 2025: $-1.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2025-$1.08-$0.57
Q2 2025-$0.83-$0.16
Q1 2025-$0.88-$0.23
Q4 2024-$0.82$0.00
Q3 2024-$0.51+$0.79
Q2 2024-$0.67+$0.44
Q1 2024-$0.65+$0.17
Q4 2023-$0.82-121%

TV is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $1.08 per share over the past year, against $1.30 at its worst in late 2023.

GOOGL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $86.3BQ1 2024: $80.5BQ2 2024: $84.7BQ3 2024: $88.3BQ4 2024: $96.5BQ1 2025: $90.2BQ2 2025: $96.4BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $114BQ1 2026: $110BQ2 2026: $120BQ3 2026: $128B
Q4 2023: $86.3BQ1 2024: $80.5BQ2 2024: $84.7BQ3 2024: $88.3BQ4 2024: $96.5BQ1 2025: $90.2BQ2 2025: $96.4BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $114BQ1 2026: $110BQ2 2026: $120BQ3 2026: $128B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$127.6B+25%
Q2 2026$119.8B+24%
Q1 2026$109.9B+22%
Q4 2025$113.8B+18%
Q3 2025$102.3B+16%
Q2 2025$96.4B+14%
Q1 2025$90.2B+12%
Q4 2024$96.5B+12%

GOOGL has the edge over TV on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TV Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $881MQ4 2023: $988MQ1 2024: $856MQ2 2024: $843MQ3 2024: $824MQ4 2024: $817MQ1 2025: $803MQ2 2025: $790MQ3 2025: $785MQ4 2025: $781MQ1 2026: $779MQ2 2026: $767M
Q3 2023: $881MQ4 2023: $988MQ1 2024: $856MQ2 2024: $843MQ3 2024: $824MQ4 2024: $817MQ1 2025: $803MQ2 2025: $790MQ3 2025: $785MQ4 2025: $781MQ1 2026: $779MQ2 2026: $767M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$766.7M-3%
Q1 2026$778.7M-3.1%
Q4 2025$780.6M-4.5%
Q3 2025$784.8M-4.8%
Q2 2025$790.3M-6.3%
Q1 2025$803.4M-6.1%
Q4 2024$817M-17%
Q3 2024$824.3M-6.4%

TV's revenue fell from its 2021 peak and has held roughly level since: $767M last quarter, down 3% from the same quarter a year ago.

GOOGL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $7.9BQ1 2024: $16.8BQ2 2024: $13.5BQ3 2024: $17.6BQ4 2024: $24.8BQ1 2025: $19BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $24.5BQ4 2025: $24.6BQ1 2026: $10.1BQ2 2026: −$5.9BQ3 2026: −$9.1B
Q4 2023: $7.9BQ1 2024: $16.8BQ2 2024: $13.5BQ3 2024: $17.6BQ4 2024: $24.8BQ1 2025: $19BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $24.5BQ4 2025: $24.6BQ1 2026: $10.1BQ2 2026: −$5.9BQ3 2026: −$9.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$9.1B-137%
Q2 2026-$5.9B-210%
Q1 2026$10.1B-47%
Q4 2025$24.6B-1.2%
Q3 2025$24.5B+39%
Q2 2025$5.3B-61%
Q1 2025$19B+13%
Q4 2024$24.8B+215%

GOOGL usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$9.1B, but it generated $19.7B over the past year.

TV Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $85MQ4 2023: $108MQ1 2024: $150MQ2 2024: $363MQ3 2024: $318MQ4 2024: $378MQ1 2025: $188MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: $61MQ4 2025: $29MQ1 2026: $24MQ2 2026: $59M
Q3 2023: $85MQ4 2023: $108MQ1 2024: $150MQ2 2024: $363MQ3 2024: $318MQ4 2024: $378MQ1 2025: $188MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: $61MQ4 2025: $29MQ1 2026: $24MQ2 2026: $59M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$58.7M+1085%
Q1 2026$23.7M-87%
Q4 2025$28.5M-92%
Q3 2025$60.8M-81%
Q2 2025$4.9M-99%
Q1 2025$187.7M+25%
Q4 2024$378.3M+249%
Q3 2024$318.2M+274%

TV still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2024 peak: $172M over the past year.

GOOGL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 12.4BQ1 2024: 12.4BQ2 2024: 12.5BQ3 2024: 12.4BQ4 2024: 12.4BQ1 2025: 12.3BQ2 2025: 12.2BQ3 2025: 12.2BQ4 2025: 12.2BQ1 2026: 12.2BQ2 2026: 12.3BQ3 2026: 12.4B
Q4 2023: 12.4BQ1 2024: 12.4BQ2 2024: 12.5BQ3 2024: 12.4BQ4 2024: 12.4BQ1 2025: 12.3BQ2 2025: 12.2BQ3 2025: 12.2BQ4 2025: 12.2BQ1 2026: 12.2BQ2 2026: 12.3BQ3 2026: 12.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+59M shares
1 year+1.4%+165M shares
3 years-1.2%-148M shares
5 years-6.8%-907M shares
Available history-10%-1.4B shares

GOOGL has 12.4B diluted shares, up 1.4% from a year ago.

TV Total Shares

Q3 2023: 557MQ4 2023: 554MQ1 2024: 552MQ2 2024: 545MQ3 2024: 545MQ4 2024: 544MQ1 2025: 544MQ2 2025: 544MQ3 2025: 544MQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 432M
Q3 2023: 557MQ4 2023: 554MQ1 2024: 552MQ2 2024: 545MQ3 2024: 545MQ4 2024: 544MQ1 2025: 544MQ2 2025: 544MQ3 2025: 544MQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 432M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-59%-633M shares
1 year-20%-111M shares
3 years-27%-160M shares
5 years-28%-170M shares
Available history-25%-144M shares

TV has the edge over GOOGL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GOOGL Net Leverage

Q4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20250.0xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.1xNet Cash

GOOGL has the edge over TV on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

TV Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 5.4xQ4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 2.6xQ3 2024: 2.5xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 3.0xQ2 2025: 2.8xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 2.5x
Q3 2023: 5.4xQ4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 2.6xQ3 2024: 2.5xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 3.0xQ2 2025: 2.8xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20262.5xModerate
Q1 20262.6xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20252.8xModerate
Q2 20252.8xModerate
Q1 20253.0xElevated
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 20242.5xModerate

TV's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.8 years a year ago.

GOOGL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.2Neutral
Stochastic11.7Oversold

GOOGL's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

TV Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.6Neutral
Stochastic20.8Neutral

TV's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).

GOOGL PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricGOOGLSector medianRelative
PE16x16x6% below
PE %12625 pts below

GOOGL is trading at 16x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.

TV PE vs Communication Services Sector

TV has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GOOGL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$320.46.8% below
20 week MA$336.111% below
50 week MA$334.511% below
100 week MA$267.812% above
200 week MA$204.746% above

GOOGL has the edge over TV on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

TV Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.303% below
20 week MA$2.5312% below
50 week MA$2.7920% below
100 week MA$2.5011% below
200 week MA$3.0026% below

TV is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 26% below its 200-week average.

GOOGL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$67.7$86.7+28%
2021$86.7$146.9+69%
2022$146.9$89.2-39%
2023$89.2$139.7+57%
2024$139.7$192.8+38%
2025$192.8$313.5+63%
2026 YTD$313.5$298.7-4.7%

GOOGL has the edge over TV on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TV Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.9$7.90-33%
2021$7.90$9.48+20%
2022$9.48$4.75-50%
2023$4.75$3.34-30%
2024$3.34$1.77-47%
2025$1.77$2.95+67%
2026 YTD$2.95$2.23-24%

TV has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 24% so far in 2026.

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