GOOGL

Alphabet Inc.

66
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

GOOGL has the edge over TDS overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

TDS

Telephone and Data Systems, Inc.

56
Fundamentals39/ 100
Valuation75/ 100
Upside potential38/ 100
Risk potential33/ 100

TDS offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

GOOGL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Under pressure
Healthy

GOOGL's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure.

TDS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Strong
Weak
Strong

TDS's profitability and balance sheet are currently strong, but its revenue and cash flow are under pressure.

GOOGL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current16x$299—
Cheap20x$378+27%
Forward22x$299—
Fair26x$497+66%
Expensive31x$586+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GOOGL's PE is in its cheap range at 16x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 22x.

TDS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x46x68x91x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x46x68x91x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current7.5x$30.73—
Cheap12x$48.62+58%
Fair17x$71.06+131%
Expensive23x$94.77+208%
Forward116x$30.73—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TDS has the edge over GOOGL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GOOGL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for GOOGL, but weaker profitability.

TDS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Returning to profit
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect TDS to return to profit, with revenue holding steady.

GOOGL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$405.17
Downside-13%$260.15

Calculated from the latest close: $298.70 on Nov 12.

GOOGL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TDS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TDS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$36.78
Downside-33%$20.72

Calculated from the latest close: $30.73 on Nov 12.

TDS trails GOOGL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

GOOGL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.52Q2 2024: $6.97Q3 2024: $7.54Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.96Q2 2025: $9.38Q3 2025: $10.13Q4 2025: $10.81Q1 2026: $13.11Q2 2026: $19.91Q3 2026: $19.16Forward: $13.89
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.52Q2 2024: $6.97Q3 2024: $7.54Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.96Q2 2025: $9.38Q3 2025: $10.13Q4 2025: $10.81Q1 2026: $13.11Q2 2026: $19.91Q3 2026: $19.16Forward: $13.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.89-28%
Q3 2026$19.16+89%
Q2 2026$19.91+112%
Q1 2026$13.11+46%
Q4 2025$10.81+34%
Q3 2025$10.13+34%
Q2 2025$9.38+35%
Q1 2025$8.96+37%
Q4 2024$8.04+39%

GOOGL's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $19.16 over the past year, up 89% from the year before, and higher year over year for 13 quarters in a row. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

TDS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.06Q1 2024: $-4.88Q2 2024: $-4.84Q3 2024: $-5.41Q4 2024: $-0.85Q1 2025: $-1.04Q2 2025: $-0.96Q3 2025: $-1.07Q4 2025: $-0.65Q1 2026: $0.53Q2 2026: $3.00Q3 2026: $4.09Forward: $0.26
Q4 2023: $-5.06Q1 2024: $-4.88Q2 2024: $-4.84Q3 2024: $-5.41Q4 2024: $-0.85Q1 2025: $-1.04Q2 2025: $-0.96Q3 2025: $-1.07Q4 2025: $-0.65Q1 2026: $0.53Q2 2026: $3.00Q3 2026: $4.09Forward: $0.26
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.26-94%
Q3 2026$4.09+$5.16
Q2 2026$3.00+$3.96
Q1 2026$0.53+$1.57
Q4 2025-$0.65+$0.20
Q3 2025-$1.07+$4.34
Q2 2025-$0.96+$3.88
Q1 2025-$1.04+$3.84
Q4 2024-$0.85+$4.21

TDS has returned to profit: it earned $4.09 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

GOOGL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $86.3BQ1 2024: $80.5BQ2 2024: $84.7BQ3 2024: $88.3BQ4 2024: $96.5BQ1 2025: $90.2BQ2 2025: $96.4BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $114BQ1 2026: $110BQ2 2026: $120BQ3 2026: $128B
Q4 2023: $86.3BQ1 2024: $80.5BQ2 2024: $84.7BQ3 2024: $88.3BQ4 2024: $96.5BQ1 2025: $90.2BQ2 2025: $96.4BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $114BQ1 2026: $110BQ2 2026: $120BQ3 2026: $128B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$127.6B+25%
Q2 2026$119.8B+24%
Q1 2026$109.9B+22%
Q4 2025$113.8B+18%
Q3 2025$102.3B+16%
Q2 2025$96.4B+14%
Q1 2025$90.2B+12%
Q4 2024$96.5B+12%

GOOGL has the edge over TDS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TDS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $309MQ4 2025: $331MQ1 2026: $309MQ2 2026: $309MQ3 2026: $307M
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $309MQ4 2025: $331MQ1 2026: $309MQ2 2026: $309MQ3 2026: $307M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$306.7M-0.6%
Q2 2026$309.3M-74%
Q1 2026$309.5M-73%
Q4 2025$330.7M-73%
Q3 2025$308.5M-75%
Q2 2025$1.2B-4.2%
Q1 2025$1.2B-8.6%
Q4 2024$1.2B-5.5%

TDS's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $307M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

GOOGL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $7.9BQ1 2024: $16.8BQ2 2024: $13.5BQ3 2024: $17.6BQ4 2024: $24.8BQ1 2025: $19BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $24.5BQ4 2025: $24.6BQ1 2026: $10.1BQ2 2026: −$5.9BQ3 2026: −$9.1B
Q4 2023: $7.9BQ1 2024: $16.8BQ2 2024: $13.5BQ3 2024: $17.6BQ4 2024: $24.8BQ1 2025: $19BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $24.5BQ4 2025: $24.6BQ1 2026: $10.1BQ2 2026: −$5.9BQ3 2026: −$9.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$9.1B-137%
Q2 2026-$5.9B-210%
Q1 2026$10.1B-47%
Q4 2025$24.6B-1.2%
Q3 2025$24.5B+39%
Q2 2025$5.3B-61%
Q1 2025$19B+13%
Q4 2024$24.8B+215%

GOOGL has the edge over TDS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

TDS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$86MQ1 2024: −$11MQ2 2024: $186MQ3 2024: $103MQ4 2024: −$17MQ1 2025: $57MQ2 2025: $264MQ3 2025: −$13MQ4 2025: −$109MQ1 2026: −$82MQ2 2026: −$113MQ3 2026: −$306M
Q4 2023: −$86MQ1 2024: −$11MQ2 2024: $186MQ3 2024: $103MQ4 2024: −$17MQ1 2025: $57MQ2 2025: $264MQ3 2025: −$13MQ4 2025: −$109MQ1 2026: −$82MQ2 2026: −$113MQ3 2026: −$306M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$305.5M-$292.8M
Q2 2026-$113.3M-143%
Q1 2026-$81.6M-243%
Q4 2025-$108.9M-$91.9M
Q3 2025-$12.7M-112%
Q2 2025$264M+42%
Q1 2025$57M+$68M
Q4 2024-$17M+$69M

TDS has burned cash in six of the last eight quarters: −$609M over the past year, against $291M the year before.

GOOGL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 12.4BQ1 2024: 12.4BQ2 2024: 12.5BQ3 2024: 12.4BQ4 2024: 12.4BQ1 2025: 12.3BQ2 2025: 12.2BQ3 2025: 12.2BQ4 2025: 12.2BQ1 2026: 12.2BQ2 2026: 12.3BQ3 2026: 12.4B
Q4 2023: 12.4BQ1 2024: 12.4BQ2 2024: 12.5BQ3 2024: 12.4BQ4 2024: 12.4BQ1 2025: 12.3BQ2 2025: 12.2BQ3 2025: 12.2BQ4 2025: 12.2BQ1 2026: 12.2BQ2 2026: 12.3BQ3 2026: 12.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+59M shares
1 year+1.4%+165M shares
3 years-1.2%-148M shares
5 years-6.8%-907M shares
Available history-10%-1.4B shares

GOOGL has 12.4B diluted shares, up 1.4% from a year ago.

TDS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 113MQ1 2024: 117MQ2 2024: 114MQ3 2024: 114MQ4 2024: 114MQ1 2025: 115MQ2 2025: 115MQ3 2025: 119MQ4 2025: 119MQ1 2026: 117MQ2 2026: 116MQ3 2026: 115M
Q4 2023: 113MQ1 2024: 117MQ2 2024: 114MQ3 2024: 114MQ4 2024: 114MQ1 2025: 115MQ2 2025: 115MQ3 2025: 119MQ4 2025: 119MQ1 2026: 117MQ2 2026: 116MQ3 2026: 115M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.1%-1.3M shares
1 year-3.2%-3.8M shares
3 years+1.8%+2M shares
5 years-0.9%-1M shares
Available history-0.9%-1M shares

TDS has the edge over GOOGL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GOOGL Net Leverage

Q4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20250.0xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.1xNet Cash

GOOGL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

TDS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 7.7xQ1 2024: 7.3xQ2 2024: 6.9xQ3 2024: 8.3xQ4 2024: 3.7xQ1 2025: 3.8xQ2 2025: 3.6xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -1.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: 7.7xQ1 2024: 7.3xQ2 2024: 6.9xQ3 2024: 8.3xQ4 2024: 3.7xQ1 2025: 3.8xQ2 2025: 3.6xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -1.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 20253.6xElevated
Q1 20253.8xElevated
Q4 20243.7xElevated

TDS has the edge over GOOGL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

GOOGL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.2Neutral
Stochastic11.7Oversold

GOOGL's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

TDS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.6Neutral
Stochastic25.1Neutral

TDS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 25 (neutral).

GOOGL PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricGOOGLSector medianRelative
PE16x16x6% below
PE %12625 pts below

GOOGL is trading at 16x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.

TDS PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricTDSSector medianRelative
PE7.5x16x54% below
PE %02626 pts below

TDS has the edge over GOOGL on valuation relative to its sector.

GOOGL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$320.46.8% below
20 week MA$336.111% below
50 week MA$334.511% below
100 week MA$267.812% above
200 week MA$204.746% above

GOOGL has the edge over TDS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

TDS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$34.09.6% below
20 week MA$34.611% below
50 week MA$39.422% below
100 week MA$38.119% below
200 week MA$27.811% above

TDS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 11% above its 200-week average.

GOOGL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$67.7$86.7+28%
2021$86.7$146.9+69%
2022$146.9$89.2-39%
2023$89.2$139.7+57%
2024$139.7$192.8+38%
2025$192.8$313.5+63%
2026 YTD$313.5$298.7-4.7%

GOOGL has the edge over TDS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TDS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$24.9$18.3-27%
2021$18.3$20.6+13%
2022$20.6$10.6-49%
2023$10.6$18.4+74%
2024$18.4$34.8+90%
2025$34.8$40.3+16%
2026 YTD$40.3$30.7-24%

TDS has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 24% so far in 2026.

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