GOOGL

Alphabet Inc.

66
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

GOOGL has the edge over SMWB overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

SMWB

Similarweb Ltd.

60
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential40/ 100

SMWB offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

GOOGL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Under pressure
Healthy

GOOGL's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure.

SMWB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Strong

SMWB's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.

GOOGL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current16x$299—
Cheap20x$378+27%
Forward22x$299—
Fair26x$497+66%
Expensive31x$586+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GOOGL's PE is in its cheap range at 16x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 22x.

SMWB PE Valuation

SMWB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GOOGL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for GOOGL, but weaker profitability.

SMWB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

SMWB has the edge over GOOGL on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

GOOGL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$405.17
Downside-13%$260.15

Calculated from the latest close: $298.70 on Nov 12.

GOOGL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SMWB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SMWB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+68%$13.40
Downside-40%$4.79

Calculated from the latest close: $7.96 on Nov 12.

SMWB trails GOOGL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GOOGL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.52Q2 2024: $6.97Q3 2024: $7.54Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.96Q2 2025: $9.38Q3 2025: $10.13Q4 2025: $10.81Q1 2026: $13.11Q2 2026: $19.91Q3 2026: $19.16Forward: $13.89
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.52Q2 2024: $6.97Q3 2024: $7.54Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.96Q2 2025: $9.38Q3 2025: $10.13Q4 2025: $10.81Q1 2026: $13.11Q2 2026: $19.91Q3 2026: $19.16Forward: $13.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.89-28%
Q3 2026$19.16+89%
Q2 2026$19.91+112%
Q1 2026$13.11+46%
Q4 2025$10.81+34%
Q3 2025$10.13+34%
Q2 2025$9.38+35%
Q1 2025$8.96+37%
Q4 2024$8.04+39%

GOOGL has the edge over SMWB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

SMWB Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-0.53Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.26Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.12Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.22Q2 2025: $-0.35Q3 2025: $-0.37Q4 2025: $-0.39Q1 2026: $-0.35Q2 2026: $-0.25Forward: $0.29
Q3 2023: $-0.53Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.26Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.12Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.22Q2 2025: $-0.35Q3 2025: $-0.37Q4 2025: $-0.39Q1 2026: $-0.35Q2 2026: $-0.25Forward: $0.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.29—
Q2 2026-$0.25+$0.10
Q1 2026-$0.35-$0.13
Q4 2025-$0.39-$0.25
Q3 2025-$0.37-$0.25
Q2 2025-$0.35-$0.20
Q1 2025-$0.22+$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.14+$0.24
Q3 2024-$0.12+$0.41

SMWB is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.25 per share over the past year, against $1.23 at its worst in late 2022.

GOOGL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $86.3BQ1 2024: $80.5BQ2 2024: $84.7BQ3 2024: $88.3BQ4 2024: $96.5BQ1 2025: $90.2BQ2 2025: $96.4BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $114BQ1 2026: $110BQ2 2026: $120BQ3 2026: $128B
Q4 2023: $86.3BQ1 2024: $80.5BQ2 2024: $84.7BQ3 2024: $88.3BQ4 2024: $96.5BQ1 2025: $90.2BQ2 2025: $96.4BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $114BQ1 2026: $110BQ2 2026: $120BQ3 2026: $128B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$127.6B+25%
Q2 2026$119.8B+24%
Q1 2026$109.9B+22%
Q4 2025$113.8B+18%
Q3 2025$102.3B+16%
Q2 2025$96.4B+14%
Q1 2025$90.2B+12%
Q4 2024$96.5B+12%

GOOGL has the edge over SMWB on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

SMWB Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $55MQ4 2023: $57MQ1 2024: $59MQ2 2024: $61MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $66MQ1 2025: $67MQ2 2025: $71MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $73MQ1 2026: $74MQ2 2026: $77M
Q3 2023: $55MQ4 2023: $57MQ1 2024: $59MQ2 2024: $61MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $66MQ1 2025: $67MQ2 2025: $71MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $73MQ1 2026: $74MQ2 2026: $77M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$77.2M+8.8%
Q1 2026$73.9M+10%
Q4 2025$72.8M+11%
Q3 2025$71.8M+11%
Q2 2025$71M+17%
Q1 2025$67.1M+14%
Q4 2024$65.6M+16%
Q3 2024$64.7M+18%

SMWB's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $77M last quarter, up 8.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

GOOGL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $7.9BQ1 2024: $16.8BQ2 2024: $13.5BQ3 2024: $17.6BQ4 2024: $24.8BQ1 2025: $19BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $24.5BQ4 2025: $24.6BQ1 2026: $10.1BQ2 2026: −$5.9BQ3 2026: −$9.1B
Q4 2023: $7.9BQ1 2024: $16.8BQ2 2024: $13.5BQ3 2024: $17.6BQ4 2024: $24.8BQ1 2025: $19BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $24.5BQ4 2025: $24.6BQ1 2026: $10.1BQ2 2026: −$5.9BQ3 2026: −$9.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$9.1B-137%
Q2 2026-$5.9B-210%
Q1 2026$10.1B-47%
Q4 2025$24.6B-1.2%
Q3 2025$24.5B+39%
Q2 2025$5.3B-61%
Q1 2025$19B+13%
Q4 2024$24.8B+215%

GOOGL usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$9.1B, but it generated $19.7B over the past year.

SMWB Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$5MQ4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: $10MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: $3MQ1 2026: −$71,000Q2 2026: $9M
Q3 2023: −$5MQ4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: $10MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: $3MQ1 2026: −$71,000Q2 2026: $9M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$8.8M+232%
Q1 2026-$71K-102%
Q4 2025$3M+12%
Q3 2025$3M-66%
Q2 2025$2.7M-58%
Q1 2025$4.4M-55%
Q4 2024$2.7M-24%
Q3 2024$8.7M+$13.7M

SMWB still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2024 peak: $15M over the past year.

GOOGL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 12.4BQ1 2024: 12.4BQ2 2024: 12.5BQ3 2024: 12.4BQ4 2024: 12.4BQ1 2025: 12.3BQ2 2025: 12.2BQ3 2025: 12.2BQ4 2025: 12.2BQ1 2026: 12.2BQ2 2026: 12.3BQ3 2026: 12.4B
Q4 2023: 12.4BQ1 2024: 12.4BQ2 2024: 12.5BQ3 2024: 12.4BQ4 2024: 12.4BQ1 2025: 12.3BQ2 2025: 12.2BQ3 2025: 12.2BQ4 2025: 12.2BQ1 2026: 12.2BQ2 2026: 12.3BQ3 2026: 12.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+59M shares
1 year+1.4%+165M shares
3 years-1.2%-148M shares
5 years-6.8%-907M shares
Available history-10%-1.4B shares

GOOGL has the edge over SMWB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SMWB Total Shares

Q3 2023: 78MQ4 2023: 78MQ1 2024: 79MQ2 2024: 81MQ3 2024: 81MQ4 2024: 82MQ1 2025: 83MQ2 2025: 84MQ3 2025: 85MQ4 2025: 87MQ1 2026: 87MQ2 2026: 88M
Q3 2023: 78MQ4 2023: 78MQ1 2024: 79MQ2 2024: 81MQ3 2024: 81MQ4 2024: 82MQ1 2025: 83MQ2 2025: 84MQ3 2025: 85MQ4 2025: 87MQ1 2026: 87MQ2 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.7%+619K shares
1 year+4.6%+3.9M shares
3 years+13%+10.3M shares
5 years+18%+13.5M shares
Available history+33%+21.8M shares

SMWB has 88M diluted shares, up 4.6% from a year ago.

GOOGL Net Leverage

Q4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20250.0xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.1xNet Cash

GOOGL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

SMWB Net Leverage

Q2 2024: -11.6xQ3 2024: -4.3xQ4 2024: -42.9x
Q2 2024: -11.6xQ3 2024: -4.3xQ4 2024: -42.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2024-42.9xNet Cash
Q3 2024-4.3xNet Cash
Q2 2024-11.6xNet Cash

SMWB has more cash than debt.

GOOGL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.2Neutral
Stochastic11.7Oversold

GOOGL's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

SMWB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.9Neutral
Stochastic52.0Neutral

SMWB's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 52 (neutral).

GOOGL PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricGOOGLSector medianRelative
PE16x16x6% below
PE %12625 pts below

GOOGL is trading at 16x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.

SMWB PE vs Communication Services Sector

SMWB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GOOGL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$320.46.8% below
20 week MA$336.111% below
50 week MA$334.511% below
100 week MA$267.812% above
200 week MA$204.746% above

GOOGL has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 46% above its 200-week average.

SMWB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.344.6% below
20 week MA$7.940.3% above
50 week MA$5.8237% above
100 week MA$7.673.8% above
200 week MA$7.437.1% above

SMWB has the edge over GOOGL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GOOGL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$67.7$86.7+28%
2021$86.7$146.9+69%
2022$146.9$89.2-39%
2023$89.2$139.7+57%
2024$139.7$192.8+38%
2025$192.8$313.5+63%
2026 YTD$313.5$298.7-4.7%

GOOGL has finished higher in five of the last six years, three of them by more than 50%. It's down 4.7% so far in 2026.

SMWB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$21.3$18.3-14%
2022$18.3$5.30-71%
2023$5.30$5.33+0.6%
2024$5.33$14.4+170%
2025$14.4$7.14-50%
2026 YTD$7.14$7.96+11%

SMWB has the edge over GOOGL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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