GOOGL

Alphabet Inc.

66
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

GOOGL has the edge over OMC overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

OMC

Omnicom Group Inc.

43
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation5/ 100
Upside potential35/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

OMC's outlook is improving despite an expensive valuation.

GOOGL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Under pressure
Healthy

GOOGL's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure.

OMC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Healthy
Under pressure

OMC's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

GOOGL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current16x$299—
Cheap20x$378+27%
Forward22x$299—
Fair26x$497+66%
Expensive31x$586+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GOOGL has the edge over OMC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

OMC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE57x115x172x230x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE57x115x172x230x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward8x$86.84—
Cheap11x$11.07-87%
Fair12x$12.60-85%
Expensive14x$14.68-83%
Current84x$86.84—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OMC's PE is in its expensive range at 84x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.0x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

GOOGL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for GOOGL, but weaker profitability.

OMC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

OMC has the edge over GOOGL on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and profitability expectations.

GOOGL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$405.17
Downside-13%$260.15

Calculated from the latest close: $298.70 on Nov 12.

GOOGL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than OMC, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

OMC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+15%$99.54
Downside-27%$63.50

Calculated from the latest close: $86.84 on Nov 12.

OMC trails GOOGL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

GOOGL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.52Q2 2024: $6.97Q3 2024: $7.54Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.96Q2 2025: $9.38Q3 2025: $10.13Q4 2025: $10.81Q1 2026: $13.11Q2 2026: $19.91Q3 2026: $19.16Forward: $13.89
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.52Q2 2024: $6.97Q3 2024: $7.54Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.96Q2 2025: $9.38Q3 2025: $10.13Q4 2025: $10.81Q1 2026: $13.11Q2 2026: $19.91Q3 2026: $19.16Forward: $13.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.89-28%
Q3 2026$19.16+89%
Q2 2026$19.91+112%
Q1 2026$13.11+46%
Q4 2025$10.81+34%
Q3 2025$10.13+34%
Q2 2025$9.38+35%
Q1 2025$8.96+37%
Q4 2024$8.04+39%

GOOGL has the edge over OMC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OMC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.91Q1 2024: $7.39Q2 2024: $7.22Q3 2024: $7.31Q4 2024: $7.46Q1 2025: $7.32Q2 2025: $6.98Q3 2025: $6.78Q4 2025: $-0.27Q1 2026: $-0.37Q2 2026: $0.40Q3 2026: $1.03Forward: $10.88
Q4 2023: $6.91Q1 2024: $7.39Q2 2024: $7.22Q3 2024: $7.31Q4 2024: $7.46Q1 2025: $7.32Q2 2025: $6.98Q3 2025: $6.78Q4 2025: $-0.27Q1 2026: $-0.37Q2 2026: $0.40Q3 2026: $1.03Forward: $10.88
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$10.88+957%
Q3 2026$1.03-85%
Q2 2026$0.40-94%
Q1 2026-$0.37-105%
Q4 2025-$0.27-104%
Q3 2025$6.78-7.3%
Q2 2025$6.98-3.3%
Q1 2025$7.32-0.9%
Q4 2024$7.46+8%

OMC's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.03 over the past year, against $7.46 in late 2024.

GOOGL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $86.3BQ1 2024: $80.5BQ2 2024: $84.7BQ3 2024: $88.3BQ4 2024: $96.5BQ1 2025: $90.2BQ2 2025: $96.4BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $114BQ1 2026: $110BQ2 2026: $120BQ3 2026: $128B
Q4 2023: $86.3BQ1 2024: $80.5BQ2 2024: $84.7BQ3 2024: $88.3BQ4 2024: $96.5BQ1 2025: $90.2BQ2 2025: $96.4BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $114BQ1 2026: $110BQ2 2026: $120BQ3 2026: $128B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$127.6B+25%
Q2 2026$119.8B+24%
Q1 2026$109.9B+22%
Q4 2025$113.8B+18%
Q3 2025$102.3B+16%
Q2 2025$96.4B+14%
Q1 2025$90.2B+12%
Q4 2024$96.5B+12%

GOOGL's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $128B last quarter, up 25% from the same quarter a year ago.

OMC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.1BQ1 2024: $3.6BQ2 2024: $3.9BQ3 2024: $3.9BQ4 2024: $4.3BQ1 2025: $3.7BQ2 2025: $4BQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $5.5BQ1 2026: $6.2BQ2 2026: $6.6BQ3 2026: $6.4B
Q4 2023: $4.1BQ1 2024: $3.6BQ2 2024: $3.9BQ3 2024: $3.9BQ4 2024: $4.3BQ1 2025: $3.7BQ2 2025: $4BQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $5.5BQ1 2026: $6.2BQ2 2026: $6.6BQ3 2026: $6.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$6.4B+59%
Q2 2026$6.6B+63%
Q1 2026$6.2B+69%
Q4 2025$5.5B+28%
Q3 2025$4B+4%
Q2 2025$4B+4.2%
Q1 2025$3.7B+1.6%
Q4 2024$4.3B+6.4%

OMC has the edge over GOOGL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

GOOGL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $7.9BQ1 2024: $16.8BQ2 2024: $13.5BQ3 2024: $17.6BQ4 2024: $24.8BQ1 2025: $19BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $24.5BQ4 2025: $24.6BQ1 2026: $10.1BQ2 2026: −$5.9BQ3 2026: −$9.1B
Q4 2023: $7.9BQ1 2024: $16.8BQ2 2024: $13.5BQ3 2024: $17.6BQ4 2024: $24.8BQ1 2025: $19BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $24.5BQ4 2025: $24.6BQ1 2026: $10.1BQ2 2026: −$5.9BQ3 2026: −$9.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$9.1B-137%
Q2 2026-$5.9B-210%
Q1 2026$10.1B-47%
Q4 2025$24.6B-1.2%
Q3 2025$24.5B+39%
Q2 2025$5.3B-61%
Q1 2025$19B+13%
Q4 2024$24.8B+215%

GOOGL usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$9.1B, but it generated $19.7B over the past year.

OMC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.8BQ1 2024: −$642MQ2 2024: −$181MQ3 2024: $537MQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: −$816MQ2 2025: $168MQ3 2025: $438MQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: −$614MQ2 2026: −$433MQ3 2026: $913M
Q4 2023: $1.8BQ1 2024: −$642MQ2 2024: −$181MQ3 2024: $537MQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: −$816MQ2 2025: $168MQ3 2025: $438MQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: −$614MQ2 2026: −$433MQ3 2026: $913M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$912.5M+108%
Q2 2026-$433.1M-358%
Q1 2026-$614.4M+$201.9M
Q4 2025$3B+60%
Q3 2025$438.4M-18%
Q2 2025$168M+$348.9M
Q1 2025-$816.3M-$174.7M
Q4 2024$1.9B+5.1%

OMC has the edge over GOOGL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GOOGL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 12.4BQ1 2024: 12.4BQ2 2024: 12.5BQ3 2024: 12.4BQ4 2024: 12.4BQ1 2025: 12.3BQ2 2025: 12.2BQ3 2025: 12.2BQ4 2025: 12.2BQ1 2026: 12.2BQ2 2026: 12.3BQ3 2026: 12.4B
Q4 2023: 12.4BQ1 2024: 12.4BQ2 2024: 12.5BQ3 2024: 12.4BQ4 2024: 12.4BQ1 2025: 12.3BQ2 2025: 12.2BQ3 2025: 12.2BQ4 2025: 12.2BQ1 2026: 12.2BQ2 2026: 12.3BQ3 2026: 12.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+59M shares
1 year+1.4%+165M shares
3 years-1.2%-148M shares
5 years-6.8%-907M shares
Available history-10%-1.4B shares

GOOGL has the edge over OMC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OMC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 201MQ1 2024: 200MQ2 2024: 199MQ3 2024: 198MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 198MQ2 2025: 196MQ3 2025: 195MQ1 2026: 299MQ2 2026: 281MQ3 2026: 275M
Q4 2023: 201MQ1 2024: 200MQ2 2024: 199MQ3 2024: 198MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 198MQ2 2025: 196MQ3 2025: 195MQ1 2026: 299MQ2 2026: 281MQ3 2026: 275M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2%-5.6M shares
1 year+41%+79.4M shares
3 years+37%+73.8M shares
5 years+27%+58.3M shares
Available history+25%+54.5M shares

OMC has 275M diluted shares, up 41% from a year ago, despite $3.6B in buybacks over the past year.

GOOGL Net Leverage

Q4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20250.0xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.1xNet Cash

GOOGL has the edge over OMC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

OMC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.5xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 1.1xQ2 2025: 1.2xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 5.6xQ2 2026: 4.1xQ3 2026: 2.9x
Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.5xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 1.1xQ2 2025: 1.2xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 5.6xQ2 2026: 4.1xQ3 2026: 2.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.9xModerate
Q2 20264.1xHigh
Q1 20265.6xHigh
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20251.2xHealthy
Q2 20251.2xHealthy
Q1 20251.1xHealthy
Q4 20240.7xVery low

OMC's net debt is about 2.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.2 years a year ago.

GOOGL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.2Neutral
Stochastic11.7Oversold

GOOGL's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

OMC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.8Neutral
Stochastic70.2Neutral

OMC's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 70 (neutral).

GOOGL PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricGOOGLSector medianRelative
PE16x16x6% below
PE %12625 pts below

GOOGL has the edge over OMC on valuation relative to its sector.

OMC PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricOMCSector medianRelative
PE84x16x411% above
PE %972671 pts above

OMC is trading at 84x earnings, a 411% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

GOOGL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$320.46.8% below
20 week MA$336.111% below
50 week MA$334.511% below
100 week MA$267.812% above
200 week MA$204.746% above

GOOGL has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 46% above its 200-week average.

OMC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.67.8% above
20 week MA$81.66.4% above
50 week MA$78.710% above
100 week MA$78.111% above
200 week MA$84.23.2% above

OMC has the edge over GOOGL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GOOGL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$67.7$86.7+28%
2021$86.7$146.9+69%
2022$146.9$89.2-39%
2023$89.2$139.7+57%
2024$139.7$192.8+38%
2025$192.8$313.5+63%
2026 YTD$313.5$298.7-4.7%

GOOGL has finished higher in five of the last six years, three of them by more than 50%. It's down 4.7% so far in 2026.

OMC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$80.8$61.3-24%
2021$61.3$72.2+18%
2022$72.2$80.5+12%
2023$80.5$86.5+7.5%
2024$86.5$86.50%
2025$86.5$80.0-7.5%
2026 YTD$80.0$86.8+8.5%

OMC has the edge over GOOGL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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