GOOGL

Alphabet Inc.

66
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

GOOGL offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

NYT

The New York Times Company

69
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation64/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

NYT has the edge over GOOGL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

GOOGL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Under pressure
Healthy

GOOGL's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure.

NYT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Strong

NYT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

GOOGL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current16x$299—
Cheap20x$378+27%
Forward22x$299—
Fair26x$497+66%
Expensive31x$586+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GOOGL has the edge over NYT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

NYT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x44x67x89x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x44x67x89x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward23x$71.46—
Current29x$71.46—
Cheap30x$74.74+4.6%
Fair35x$86.99+22%
Expensive51x$127+78%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NYT's PE is in its cheap range at 29x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 23x next year's earnings.

GOOGL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for GOOGL, but weaker profitability.

NYT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

NYT has the edge over GOOGL on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and profitability expectations.

GOOGL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$405.17
Downside-13%$260.15

Calculated from the latest close: $298.70 on Nov 12.

GOOGL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NYT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NYT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$88.67
Downside-11%$63.85

Calculated from the latest close: $71.46 on Nov 12.

NYT trails GOOGL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GOOGL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.52Q2 2024: $6.97Q3 2024: $7.54Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.96Q2 2025: $9.38Q3 2025: $10.13Q4 2025: $10.81Q1 2026: $13.11Q2 2026: $19.91Q3 2026: $19.16Forward: $13.89
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.52Q2 2024: $6.97Q3 2024: $7.54Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.96Q2 2025: $9.38Q3 2025: $10.13Q4 2025: $10.81Q1 2026: $13.11Q2 2026: $19.91Q3 2026: $19.16Forward: $13.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.89-28%
Q3 2026$19.16+89%
Q2 2026$19.91+112%
Q1 2026$13.11+46%
Q4 2025$10.81+34%
Q3 2025$10.13+34%
Q2 2025$9.38+35%
Q1 2025$8.96+37%
Q4 2024$8.04+39%

GOOGL has the edge over NYT on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

NYT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.40Q1 2024: $1.51Q2 2024: $1.63Q3 2024: $1.70Q4 2024: $1.77Q1 2025: $1.83Q2 2025: $1.93Q3 2025: $2.04Q4 2025: $2.09Q1 2026: $2.33Q2 2026: $2.40Q3 2026: $2.50Forward: $3.12
Q4 2023: $1.40Q1 2024: $1.51Q2 2024: $1.63Q3 2024: $1.70Q4 2024: $1.77Q1 2025: $1.83Q2 2025: $1.93Q3 2025: $2.04Q4 2025: $2.09Q1 2026: $2.33Q2 2026: $2.40Q3 2026: $2.50Forward: $3.12
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.12+25%
Q3 2026$2.50+23%
Q2 2026$2.40+24%
Q1 2026$2.33+27%
Q4 2025$2.09+18%
Q3 2025$2.04+20%
Q2 2025$1.93+18%
Q1 2025$1.83+21%
Q4 2024$1.77+26%

NYT's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $2.50 over the past year, up 23% from the year before, and higher year over year for 13 quarters in a row.

GOOGL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $86.3BQ1 2024: $80.5BQ2 2024: $84.7BQ3 2024: $88.3BQ4 2024: $96.5BQ1 2025: $90.2BQ2 2025: $96.4BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $114BQ1 2026: $110BQ2 2026: $120BQ3 2026: $128B
Q4 2023: $86.3BQ1 2024: $80.5BQ2 2024: $84.7BQ3 2024: $88.3BQ4 2024: $96.5BQ1 2025: $90.2BQ2 2025: $96.4BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $114BQ1 2026: $110BQ2 2026: $120BQ3 2026: $128B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$127.6B+25%
Q2 2026$119.8B+24%
Q1 2026$109.9B+22%
Q4 2025$113.8B+18%
Q3 2025$102.3B+16%
Q2 2025$96.4B+14%
Q1 2025$90.2B+12%
Q4 2024$96.5B+12%

GOOGL has the edge over NYT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

NYT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $676MQ1 2024: $594MQ2 2024: $625MQ3 2024: $640MQ4 2024: $727MQ1 2025: $636MQ2 2025: $686MQ3 2025: $701MQ4 2025: $802MQ1 2026: $712MQ2 2026: $762MQ3 2026: $769M
Q4 2023: $676MQ1 2024: $594MQ2 2024: $625MQ3 2024: $640MQ4 2024: $727MQ1 2025: $636MQ2 2025: $686MQ3 2025: $701MQ4 2025: $802MQ1 2026: $712MQ2 2026: $762MQ3 2026: $769M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$768.5M+9.7%
Q2 2026$762.5M+11%
Q1 2026$712.2M+12%
Q4 2025$802.3M+10%
Q3 2025$700.8M+9.5%
Q2 2025$685.9M+9.7%
Q1 2025$635.9M+7.1%
Q4 2024$726.6M+7.5%

NYT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $769M last quarter, up 9.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

GOOGL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $7.9BQ1 2024: $16.8BQ2 2024: $13.5BQ3 2024: $17.6BQ4 2024: $24.8BQ1 2025: $19BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $24.5BQ4 2025: $24.6BQ1 2026: $10.1BQ2 2026: −$5.9BQ3 2026: −$9.1B
Q4 2023: $7.9BQ1 2024: $16.8BQ2 2024: $13.5BQ3 2024: $17.6BQ4 2024: $24.8BQ1 2025: $19BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $24.5BQ4 2025: $24.6BQ1 2026: $10.1BQ2 2026: −$5.9BQ3 2026: −$9.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$9.1B-137%
Q2 2026-$5.9B-210%
Q1 2026$10.1B-47%
Q4 2025$24.6B-1.2%
Q3 2025$24.5B+39%
Q2 2025$5.3B-61%
Q1 2025$19B+13%
Q4 2024$24.8B+215%

GOOGL usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$9.1B, but it generated $19.7B over the past year.

NYT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $130MQ1 2024: $47MQ2 2024: $73MQ3 2024: $118MQ4 2024: $144MQ1 2025: $90MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $200MQ4 2025: $158MQ1 2026: $82MQ2 2026: $184MQ3 2026: $170M
Q4 2023: $130MQ1 2024: $47MQ2 2024: $73MQ3 2024: $118MQ4 2024: $144MQ1 2025: $90MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $200MQ4 2025: $158MQ1 2026: $82MQ2 2026: $184MQ3 2026: $170M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$170.1M-15%
Q2 2026$184.2M+78%
Q1 2026$81.5M-9.3%
Q4 2025$157.6M+9.7%
Q3 2025$199.7M+69%
Q2 2025$103.3M+42%
Q1 2025$89.9M+93%
Q4 2024$143.6M+10%

NYT has the edge over GOOGL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GOOGL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 12.4BQ1 2024: 12.4BQ2 2024: 12.5BQ3 2024: 12.4BQ4 2024: 12.4BQ1 2025: 12.3BQ2 2025: 12.2BQ3 2025: 12.2BQ4 2025: 12.2BQ1 2026: 12.2BQ2 2026: 12.3BQ3 2026: 12.4B
Q4 2023: 12.4BQ1 2024: 12.4BQ2 2024: 12.5BQ3 2024: 12.4BQ4 2024: 12.4BQ1 2025: 12.3BQ2 2025: 12.2BQ3 2025: 12.2BQ4 2025: 12.2BQ1 2026: 12.2BQ2 2026: 12.3BQ3 2026: 12.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+59M shares
1 year+1.4%+165M shares
3 years-1.2%-148M shares
5 years-6.8%-907M shares
Available history-10%-1.4B shares

GOOGL has 12.4B diluted shares, up 1.4% from a year ago.

NYT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 166MQ1 2024: 166MQ2 2024: 166MQ3 2024: 166MQ4 2024: 166MQ1 2025: 165MQ2 2025: 164MQ3 2025: 164MQ4 2025: 165MQ1 2026: 164MQ2 2026: 163MQ3 2026: 162M
Q4 2023: 166MQ1 2024: 166MQ2 2024: 166MQ3 2024: 166MQ4 2024: 166MQ1 2025: 165MQ2 2025: 164MQ3 2025: 164MQ4 2025: 165MQ1 2026: 164MQ2 2026: 163MQ3 2026: 162M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-790K shares
1 year-1.3%-2.1M shares
3 years-1.9%-3.2M shares
5 years-3.7%-6.3M shares
Available history-3.3%-5.5M shares

NYT has the edge over GOOGL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GOOGL Net Leverage

Q4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20250.0xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.1xNet Cash

GOOGL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

NYT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.6xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.4xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.4x
Q4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.6xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.4xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.5xNet Cash

NYT has the edge over GOOGL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

GOOGL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.2Neutral
Stochastic11.7Oversold

GOOGL's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

NYT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.8Neutral
Stochastic65.4Neutral

NYT's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 65 (neutral).

GOOGL PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricGOOGLSector medianRelative
PE16x16x6% below
PE %12625 pts below

GOOGL has the edge over NYT on valuation relative to its sector.

NYT PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricNYTSector medianRelative
PE29x16x73% above
PE %112615 pts below

NYT is trading at 29x earnings, a 73% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

GOOGL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$320.46.8% below
20 week MA$336.111% below
50 week MA$334.511% below
100 week MA$267.812% above
200 week MA$204.746% above

GOOGL has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 46% above its 200-week average.

NYT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$67.55.8% above
20 week MA$68.93.7% above
50 week MA$72.71.7% below
100 week MA$63.612% above
200 week MA$54.531% above

NYT has the edge over GOOGL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GOOGL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$67.7$86.7+28%
2021$86.7$146.9+69%
2022$146.9$89.2-39%
2023$89.2$139.7+57%
2024$139.7$192.8+38%
2025$192.8$313.5+63%
2026 YTD$313.5$298.7-4.7%

GOOGL has finished higher in five of the last six years, three of them by more than 50%. It's down 4.7% so far in 2026.

NYT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.1$51.4+60%
2021$51.4$47.4-7.7%
2022$47.4$33.0-30%
2023$33.0$49.0+48%
2024$49.0$53.2+8.6%
2025$53.2$70.2+32%
2026 YTD$70.2$71.5+1.9%

NYT has the edge over GOOGL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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