GOOGL

Alphabet Inc.

66
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

GOOGL has the edge over NXST overall, supported by stronger valuation.

NXST

Nexstar Media Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation15/ 100
Upside potential76/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

NXST offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

GOOGL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Under pressure
Healthy

GOOGL's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure.

NXST Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Weak

NXST's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is weak.

GOOGL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current16x$299—
Cheap20x$378+27%
Forward22x$299—
Fair26x$497+66%
Expensive31x$586+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GOOGL has the edge over NXST in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

NXST PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x44x65x87x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x44x65x87x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.7x$84.87-59%
Forward7.9x$206—
Fair9.5x$105-49%
Expensive17x$182-11%
Current19x$206—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NXST's PE is in its expensive range at 19x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 7.9x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

GOOGL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for GOOGL, but weaker profitability.

NXST Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Limited
High

NXST has the edge over GOOGL on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

GOOGL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$405.17
Downside-13%$260.15

Calculated from the latest close: $298.70 on Nov 12.

GOOGL trails NXST on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NXST Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$290.19
Downside-13%$178.81

Calculated from the latest close: $205.97 on Nov 12.

NXST has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GOOGL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GOOGL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.52Q2 2024: $6.97Q3 2024: $7.54Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.96Q2 2025: $9.38Q3 2025: $10.13Q4 2025: $10.81Q1 2026: $13.11Q2 2026: $19.91Q3 2026: $19.16Forward: $13.89
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.52Q2 2024: $6.97Q3 2024: $7.54Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.96Q2 2025: $9.38Q3 2025: $10.13Q4 2025: $10.81Q1 2026: $13.11Q2 2026: $19.91Q3 2026: $19.16Forward: $13.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.89-28%
Q3 2026$19.16+89%
Q2 2026$19.91+112%
Q1 2026$13.11+46%
Q4 2025$10.81+34%
Q3 2025$10.13+34%
Q2 2025$9.38+35%
Q1 2025$8.96+37%
Q4 2024$8.04+39%

GOOGL has the edge over NXST on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NXST Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $9.64Q1 2024: $11.83Q2 2024: $12.73Q3 2024: $17.30Q4 2024: $21.41Q1 2025: $19.62Q2 2025: $19.14Q3 2025: $16.01Q4 2025: $3.00Q1 2026: $4.72Q2 2026: $5.27Q3 2026: $11.05Forward: $26.18
Q4 2023: $9.64Q1 2024: $11.83Q2 2024: $12.73Q3 2024: $17.30Q4 2024: $21.41Q1 2025: $19.62Q2 2025: $19.14Q3 2025: $16.01Q4 2025: $3.00Q1 2026: $4.72Q2 2026: $5.27Q3 2026: $11.05Forward: $26.18
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$26.18+137%
Q3 2026$11.05-31%
Q2 2026$5.27-72%
Q1 2026$4.72-76%
Q4 2025$3.00-86%
Q3 2025$16.01-7.5%
Q2 2025$19.14+50%
Q1 2025$19.62+66%
Q4 2024$21.41+122%

NXST's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $11.05 over the past year, against $25.00 in late 2022.

GOOGL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $86.3BQ1 2024: $80.5BQ2 2024: $84.7BQ3 2024: $88.3BQ4 2024: $96.5BQ1 2025: $90.2BQ2 2025: $96.4BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $114BQ1 2026: $110BQ2 2026: $120BQ3 2026: $128B
Q4 2023: $86.3BQ1 2024: $80.5BQ2 2024: $84.7BQ3 2024: $88.3BQ4 2024: $96.5BQ1 2025: $90.2BQ2 2025: $96.4BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $114BQ1 2026: $110BQ2 2026: $120BQ3 2026: $128B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$127.6B+25%
Q2 2026$119.8B+24%
Q1 2026$109.9B+22%
Q4 2025$113.8B+18%
Q3 2025$102.3B+16%
Q2 2025$96.4B+14%
Q1 2025$90.2B+12%
Q4 2024$96.5B+12%

GOOGL has the edge over NXST on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NXST Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2.1B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.1B+78%
Q2 2026$2B+62%
Q1 2026$1.4B+13%
Q4 2025$1.3B-13%
Q3 2025$1.2B-12%
Q2 2025$1.2B-3.2%
Q1 2025$1.2B-3.9%
Q4 2024$1.5B+14%

NXST's revenue has picked up after four years of holding roughly level: $2.1B last quarter, up 78% from the same quarter a year ago.

GOOGL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $7.9BQ1 2024: $16.8BQ2 2024: $13.5BQ3 2024: $17.6BQ4 2024: $24.8BQ1 2025: $19BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $24.5BQ4 2025: $24.6BQ1 2026: $10.1BQ2 2026: −$5.9BQ3 2026: −$9.1B
Q4 2023: $7.9BQ1 2024: $16.8BQ2 2024: $13.5BQ3 2024: $17.6BQ4 2024: $24.8BQ1 2025: $19BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $24.5BQ4 2025: $24.6BQ1 2026: $10.1BQ2 2026: −$5.9BQ3 2026: −$9.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$9.1B-137%
Q2 2026-$5.9B-210%
Q1 2026$10.1B-47%
Q4 2025$24.6B-1.2%
Q3 2025$24.5B+39%
Q2 2025$5.3B-61%
Q1 2025$19B+13%
Q4 2024$24.8B+215%

GOOGL usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$9.1B, but it generated $19.7B over the past year.

NXST Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $146MQ1 2024: $232MQ2 2024: $139MQ3 2024: $358MQ4 2024: $376MQ1 2025: $302MQ2 2025: $218MQ3 2025: $87MQ4 2025: $136MQ1 2026: $267MQ2 2026: $253MQ3 2026: $634M
Q4 2023: $146MQ1 2024: $232MQ2 2024: $139MQ3 2024: $358MQ4 2024: $376MQ1 2025: $302MQ2 2025: $218MQ3 2025: $87MQ4 2025: $136MQ1 2026: $267MQ2 2026: $253MQ3 2026: $634M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$634M+629%
Q2 2026$253M+16%
Q1 2026$267M-12%
Q4 2025$136M-64%
Q3 2025$87M-76%
Q2 2025$218M+57%
Q1 2025$302M+30%
Q4 2024$376M+158%

NXST has the edge over GOOGL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GOOGL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 12.4BQ1 2024: 12.4BQ2 2024: 12.5BQ3 2024: 12.4BQ4 2024: 12.4BQ1 2025: 12.3BQ2 2025: 12.2BQ3 2025: 12.2BQ4 2025: 12.2BQ1 2026: 12.2BQ2 2026: 12.3BQ3 2026: 12.4B
Q4 2023: 12.4BQ1 2024: 12.4BQ2 2024: 12.5BQ3 2024: 12.4BQ4 2024: 12.4BQ1 2025: 12.3BQ2 2025: 12.2BQ3 2025: 12.2BQ4 2025: 12.2BQ1 2026: 12.2BQ2 2026: 12.3BQ3 2026: 12.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+59M shares
1 year+1.4%+165M shares
3 years-1.2%-148M shares
5 years-6.8%-907M shares
Available history-10%-1.4B shares

GOOGL has 12.4B diluted shares, up 1.4% from a year ago.

NXST Total Shares

Q4 2023: 36MQ1 2024: 34MQ2 2024: 33MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 33MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 31MQ3 2025: 31MQ4 2025: 31MQ1 2026: 31MQ2 2026: 31MQ3 2026: 31M
Q4 2023: 36MQ1 2024: 34MQ2 2024: 33MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 33MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 31MQ3 2025: 31MQ4 2025: 31MQ1 2026: 31MQ2 2026: 31MQ3 2026: 31M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+105K shares
1 year+1.2%+364K shares
3 years-12%-4.4M shares
5 years-29%-12.5M shares
Available history-35%-16.9M shares

NXST has the edge over GOOGL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GOOGL Net Leverage

Q4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20250.0xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.1xNet Cash

GOOGL has the edge over NXST on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NXST Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.1xQ1 2024: 4.0xQ2 2024: 4.0xQ3 2024: 3.5xQ4 2024: 3.1xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 3.1xQ3 2025: 3.3xQ4 2025: 4.6xQ1 2026: 9.2xQ2 2026: 8.3xQ3 2026: 6.4x
Q4 2023: 4.1xQ1 2024: 4.0xQ2 2024: 4.0xQ3 2024: 3.5xQ4 2024: 3.1xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 3.1xQ3 2025: 3.3xQ4 2025: 4.6xQ1 2026: 9.2xQ2 2026: 8.3xQ3 2026: 6.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.4xHigh
Q2 20268.3xHigh
Q1 20269.2xHigh
Q4 20254.6xHigh
Q3 20253.3xElevated
Q2 20253.1xElevated
Q1 20253.1xElevated
Q4 20243.1xElevated

NXST's net debt is about 6.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.3 years a year ago.

GOOGL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.2Neutral
Stochastic11.7Oversold

GOOGL's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

NXST Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.8Neutral
Stochastic69.7Neutral

NXST's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 70 (neutral).

GOOGL PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricGOOGLSector medianRelative
PE16x16x6% below
PE %12625 pts below

GOOGL has the edge over NXST on valuation relative to its sector.

NXST PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricNXSTSector medianRelative
PE19x16x13% above
PE %862660 pts above

NXST is trading at 19x earnings, a 13% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

GOOGL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$320.46.8% below
20 week MA$336.111% below
50 week MA$334.511% below
100 week MA$267.812% above
200 week MA$204.746% above

GOOGL has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 46% above its 200-week average.

NXST Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$172.320% above
20 week MA$177.316% above
50 week MA$193.76.4% above
100 week MA$184.911% above
200 week MA$175.218% above

NXST has the edge over GOOGL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GOOGL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$67.7$86.7+28%
2021$86.7$146.9+69%
2022$146.9$89.2-39%
2023$89.2$139.7+57%
2024$139.7$192.8+38%
2025$192.8$313.5+63%
2026 YTD$313.5$298.7-4.7%

GOOGL has finished higher in five of the last six years, three of them by more than 50%. It's down 4.7% so far in 2026.

NXST Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$118.2$105.0-11%
2021$105.0$152.8+45%
2022$152.8$176.0+15%
2023$176.0$156.8-11%
2024$156.8$159.1+1.5%
2025$159.1$205.0+29%
2026 YTD$205.0$206.0+0.5%

NXST has the edge over GOOGL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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