GOOGL

Alphabet Inc.

66
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

GOOGL trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

MSGE

Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp.

71
Fundamentals86/ 100
Valuation63/ 100
Upside potential79/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MSGE has the edge over GOOGL overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

GOOGL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Under pressure
Healthy

GOOGL's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure.

MSGE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Healthy

MSGE's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

GOOGL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current16x$299—
Cheap20x$378+27%
Forward22x$299—
Fair26x$497+66%
Expensive31x$586+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GOOGL has the edge over MSGE in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MSGE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x45x68x91x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x45x68x91x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap13x$26.77-66%
Forward33x$78.80—
Current39x$78.80—
Fair52x$105+33%
Expensive69x$139+77%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSGE's PE is in its fair range at 39x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 33x next year's earnings.

GOOGL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for GOOGL, but weaker profitability.

MSGE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

MSGE has the edge over GOOGL on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and profitability expectations.

GOOGL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$405.17
Downside-13%$260.15

Calculated from the latest close: $298.70 on Nov 12.

GOOGL trails MSGE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MSGE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$111.12
Downside-11%$69.98

Calculated from the latest close: $78.80 on Nov 12.

MSGE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GOOGL, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GOOGL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.52Q2 2024: $6.97Q3 2024: $7.54Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.96Q2 2025: $9.38Q3 2025: $10.13Q4 2025: $10.81Q1 2026: $13.11Q2 2026: $19.91Q3 2026: $19.16Forward: $13.89
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.52Q2 2024: $6.97Q3 2024: $7.54Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.96Q2 2025: $9.38Q3 2025: $10.13Q4 2025: $10.81Q1 2026: $13.11Q2 2026: $19.91Q3 2026: $19.16Forward: $13.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.89-28%
Q3 2026$19.16+89%
Q2 2026$19.91+112%
Q1 2026$13.11+46%
Q4 2025$10.81+34%
Q3 2025$10.13+34%
Q2 2025$9.38+35%
Q1 2025$8.96+37%
Q4 2024$8.04+39%

GOOGL has the edge over MSGE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSGE Earnings Per Share

Q2 2024: $2.97Q3 2024: $3.57Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.65Q2 2025: $0.77Q3 2025: $0.71Q4 2025: $1.09Q1 2026: $1.03Q2 2026: $1.38Q3 2026: $2.03Forward: $2.40
Q2 2024: $2.97Q3 2024: $3.57Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.65Q2 2025: $0.77Q3 2025: $0.71Q4 2025: $1.09Q1 2026: $1.03Q2 2026: $1.38Q3 2026: $2.03Forward: $2.40
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.40+18%
Q3 2026$2.03+186%
Q2 2026$1.38+79%
Q1 2026$1.03-61%
Q4 2025$1.09-57%
Q3 2025$0.71-80%
Q2 2025$0.77-74%
Q3 2021-$15.88-$15.48
Q2 2021-$17.02-1873%

MSGE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.03 over the past year, against $3.57 in late 2024.

GOOGL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $86.3BQ1 2024: $80.5BQ2 2024: $84.7BQ3 2024: $88.3BQ4 2024: $96.5BQ1 2025: $90.2BQ2 2025: $96.4BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $114BQ1 2026: $110BQ2 2026: $120BQ3 2026: $128B
Q4 2023: $86.3BQ1 2024: $80.5BQ2 2024: $84.7BQ3 2024: $88.3BQ4 2024: $96.5BQ1 2025: $90.2BQ2 2025: $96.4BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $114BQ1 2026: $110BQ2 2026: $120BQ3 2026: $128B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$127.6B+25%
Q2 2026$119.8B+24%
Q1 2026$109.9B+22%
Q4 2025$113.8B+18%
Q3 2025$102.3B+16%
Q2 2025$96.4B+14%
Q1 2025$90.2B+12%
Q4 2024$96.5B+12%

GOOGL has the edge over MSGE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSGE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $403MQ1 2024: $228MQ2 2024: $186MQ3 2024: $139MQ4 2024: $407MQ1 2025: $242MQ2 2025: $154MQ3 2025: $158MQ4 2025: $460MQ1 2026: $246MQ2 2026: $271MQ3 2026: $217M
Q4 2023: $403MQ1 2024: $228MQ2 2024: $186MQ3 2024: $139MQ4 2024: $407MQ1 2025: $242MQ2 2025: $154MQ3 2025: $158MQ4 2025: $460MQ1 2026: $246MQ2 2026: $271MQ3 2026: $217M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$217.1M+37%
Q2 2026$271.1M+76%
Q1 2026$246.3M+1.6%
Q4 2025$459.9M+13%
Q3 2025$158.3M+14%
Q2 2025$154.1M-17%
Q1 2025$242.5M+6.2%
Q4 2024$407.4M+1.2%

MSGE's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $217M last quarter, up 37% from the same quarter a year ago.

GOOGL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $7.9BQ1 2024: $16.8BQ2 2024: $13.5BQ3 2024: $17.6BQ4 2024: $24.8BQ1 2025: $19BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $24.5BQ4 2025: $24.6BQ1 2026: $10.1BQ2 2026: −$5.9BQ3 2026: −$9.1B
Q4 2023: $7.9BQ1 2024: $16.8BQ2 2024: $13.5BQ3 2024: $17.6BQ4 2024: $24.8BQ1 2025: $19BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $24.5BQ4 2025: $24.6BQ1 2026: $10.1BQ2 2026: −$5.9BQ3 2026: −$9.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$9.1B-137%
Q2 2026-$5.9B-210%
Q1 2026$10.1B-47%
Q4 2025$24.6B-1.2%
Q3 2025$24.5B+39%
Q2 2025$5.3B-61%
Q1 2025$19B+13%
Q4 2024$24.8B+215%

GOOGL usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$9.1B, but it generated $19.7B over the past year.

MSGE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $104MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: $212,000Q3 2024: −$27MQ4 2024: $113MQ1 2025: $57MQ2 2025: −$27MQ3 2025: $20MQ4 2025: $164MQ1 2026: $184MQ2 2026: −$17MQ3 2026: −$26M
Q4 2023: $104MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: $212,000Q3 2024: −$27MQ4 2024: $113MQ1 2025: $57MQ2 2025: −$27MQ3 2025: $20MQ4 2025: $164MQ1 2026: $184MQ2 2026: −$17MQ3 2026: −$26M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$26.2M-232%
Q2 2026-$16.6M+$10.4M
Q1 2026$183.9M+224%
Q4 2025$164.4M+46%
Q3 2025$19.8M+$47.2M
Q2 2025-$27M-12841%
Q1 2025$56.8M+876%
Q4 2024$112.9M+8.7%

MSGE has the edge over GOOGL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GOOGL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 12.4BQ1 2024: 12.4BQ2 2024: 12.5BQ3 2024: 12.4BQ4 2024: 12.4BQ1 2025: 12.3BQ2 2025: 12.2BQ3 2025: 12.2BQ4 2025: 12.2BQ1 2026: 12.2BQ2 2026: 12.3BQ3 2026: 12.4B
Q4 2023: 12.4BQ1 2024: 12.4BQ2 2024: 12.5BQ3 2024: 12.4BQ4 2024: 12.4BQ1 2025: 12.3BQ2 2025: 12.2BQ3 2025: 12.2BQ4 2025: 12.2BQ1 2026: 12.2BQ2 2026: 12.3BQ3 2026: 12.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+59M shares
1 year+1.4%+165M shares
3 years-1.2%-148M shares
5 years-6.8%-907M shares
Available history-10%-1.4B shares

GOOGL has 12.4B diluted shares, up 1.4% from a year ago.

MSGE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 48MQ1 2024: 48MQ2 2024: 49MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 49MQ1 2025: 48MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 47MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 48MQ2 2026: 48MQ3 2026: 48M
Q4 2023: 48MQ1 2024: 48MQ2 2024: 49MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 49MQ1 2025: 48MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 47MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 48MQ2 2026: 48MQ3 2026: 48M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-3K shares
1 year+1.1%+517K shares
3 years-4.8%-2.4M shares
5 years+99%+23.9M shares
Available history+100%+24M shares

MSGE has the edge over GOOGL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GOOGL Net Leverage

Q4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20250.0xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.1xNet Cash

GOOGL has the edge over MSGE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MSGE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.4xQ1 2024: 3.9xQ2 2024: 3.5xQ3 2024: 3.5xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 2.7xQ2 2025: 3.1xQ3 2025: 3.5xQ4 2025: 2.2xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.4xQ3 2026: 1.6x
Q4 2023: 3.4xQ1 2024: 3.9xQ2 2024: 3.5xQ3 2024: 3.5xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 2.7xQ2 2025: 3.1xQ3 2025: 3.5xQ4 2025: 2.2xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.4xQ3 2026: 1.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.6xHealthy
Q2 20261.4xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20252.2xModerate
Q3 20253.5xElevated
Q2 20253.1xElevated
Q1 20252.7xModerate
Q4 20243.0xElevated

MSGE's net debt is about 1.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.5 years a year ago.

GOOGL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.2Neutral
Stochastic11.7Oversold

GOOGL's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

MSGE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.9Neutral
Stochastic27.7Neutral

MSGE's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

GOOGL PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricGOOGLSector medianRelative
PE16x16x6% below
PE %12625 pts below

GOOGL has the edge over MSGE on valuation relative to its sector.

MSGE PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricMSGESector medianRelative
PE39x16x135% above
PE %452520 pts above

MSGE is trading at 39x earnings, a 135% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

GOOGL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$320.46.8% below
20 week MA$336.111% below
50 week MA$334.511% below
100 week MA$267.812% above
200 week MA$204.746% above

MSGE has stronger trend alignment. GOOGL is above 2 of 5 weekly averages versus MSGE above 3 of 4.

MSGE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$79.00.2% below
20 week MA$78.40.5% above
50 week MA$68.815% above
100 week MA$53.647% above

MSGE's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 47% above its 100-week average.

GOOGL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$67.7$86.7+28%
2021$86.7$146.9+69%
2022$146.9$89.2-39%
2023$89.2$139.7+57%
2024$139.7$192.8+38%
2025$192.8$313.5+63%
2026 YTD$313.5$298.7-4.7%

GOOGL has finished higher in five of the last six years, three of them by more than 50%. It's down 4.7% so far in 2026.

MSGE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2023$59.0$31.8-46%
2024$31.8$33.3+4.6%
2025$33.3$54.0+62%
2026 YTD$54.0$78.8+46%

MSGE has the edge over GOOGL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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