GOOGL
Alphabet Inc.
GOOGL has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
LLY
Eli Lilly and Company
LLY has the edge over GOOGL overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
GOOGL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy |
GOOGL's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure.
LLY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy |
LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
GOOGL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 16x | $299 | — |
| Cheap | 20x | $378 | +27% |
| Forward | 22x | $299 | — |
| Fair | 26x | $497 | +66% |
| Expensive | 31x | $586 | +96% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GOOGL has the edge over LLY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
LLY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 27x | $845 | -41% |
| Forward | 30x | $1,427 | — |
| Current | 46x | $1,427 | — |
| Fair | 48x | $1,466 | +2.7% |
| Expensive | 85x | $2,612 | +83% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
GOOGL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for GOOGL, but weaker profitability.
LLY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
LLY has the edge over GOOGL on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and profitability expectations.
GOOGL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.89 | -28% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.16 | +89% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.91 | +112% |
| Q1 2026 | $13.11 | +46% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.81 | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $10.13 | +34% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.38 | +35% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.96 | +37% |
| Q4 2024 | $8.04 | +39% |
GOOGL's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $19.16 over the past year, up 89% from the year before, and higher year over year for 13 quarters in a row. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.
LLY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $46.82 | +52% |
| Q3 2026 | $30.81 | +51% |
| Q2 2026 | $29.80 | +95% |
| Q1 2026 | $28.15 | +129% |
| Q4 2025 | $22.95 | +96% |
| Q3 2025 | $20.44 | +121% |
| Q2 2025 | $15.30 | +88% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.29 | +81% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.71 | +102% |
LLY has the edge over GOOGL on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
GOOGL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $127.6B | +25% |
| Q2 2026 | $119.8B | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $109.9B | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $113.8B | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $102.3B | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $96.4B | +14% |
| Q1 2025 | $90.2B | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $96.5B | +12% |
GOOGL's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $128B last quarter, up 25% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 32% | +1.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 34% | +1.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 36% | +2.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 31% | -1.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 32% | +0.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 34% | +2.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 32% | +4.6 points |
GOOGL's operating margin was 32% last quarter, up 1.3 points from the same quarter a year ago.
LLY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $24.4B | +39% |
| Q2 2026 | $23B | +48% |
| Q1 2026 | $19.8B | +56% |
| Q4 2025 | $19.3B | +43% |
| Q3 2025 | $17.6B | +54% |
| Q2 2025 | $15.6B | +38% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.7B | +45% |
| Q4 2024 | $13.5B | +45% |
LLY has the edge over GOOGL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 34% | -6.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | 40% | -3.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 45% | +18 points |
| Q4 2025 | 43% | +5.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 41% | +27 points |
| Q2 2025 | 44% | +12 points |
| Q1 2025 | 27% | -1.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 37% | +10 points |
LLY has the edge over GOOGL on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
GOOGL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$9.1B | -137% |
| Q2 2026 | -$5.9B | -210% |
| Q1 2026 | $10.1B | -47% |
| Q4 2025 | $24.6B | -1.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $24.5B | +39% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.3B | -61% |
| Q1 2025 | $19B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $24.8B | +215% |
GOOGL usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$9.1B, but it generated $19.7B over the past year.
LLY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $8.2B | +22% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.8B | +458% |
| Q1 2026 | $3B | +1826% |
| Q4 2025 | $677.9M | -31% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.7B | +186% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.4B | +476% |
| Q1 2025 | $156.1M | -13% |
| Q4 2024 | $977.8M | +$2.4B |
LLY has the edge over GOOGL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
GOOGL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +59M shares |
| 1 year | +1.4% | +165M shares |
| 3 years | -1.2% | -148M shares |
| 5 years | -6.8% | -907M shares |
| Available history | -10% | -1.4B shares |
GOOGL has 12.4B diluted shares, up 1.4% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $5.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $11.5B |
| Q2 2025 | $13.6B |
| Q1 2025 | $15.1B |
| Q4 2024 | $15.6B |
GOOGL spent $5.5B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 90% from the year before.
LLY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -300K shares |
| 1 year | -0.6% | -5.4M shares |
| 3 years | -0.7% | -6.4M shares |
| 5 years | -1.9% | -17.4M shares |
| Available history | -4.5% | -42.3M shares |
LLY has the edge over GOOGL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $377M |
| Q2 2026 | $1.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $2.4B |
| Q4 2025 | $1.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $708.1M |
| Q2 2025 | $692.2M |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $2.1B |
LLY spent $5.8B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 26% from the year before.
GOOGL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
GOOGL has the edge over LLY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
LLY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.1x | Moderate |
LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
GOOGL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.7 | Oversold |
GOOGL's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
LLY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 68.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 84.1 | Overbought |
LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).
GOOGL PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | GOOGL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16x | 16x | 6% below |
| PE % | 1 | 26 | 25 pts below |
GOOGL has the edge over LLY on valuation relative to its sector.
LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector
| Metric | LLY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 46x | 26x | 79% above |
| PE % | 48 | 29 | 19 pts above |
LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.
GOOGL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $320.4 | 6.8% below |
| 20 week MA | $336.1 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $334.5 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $267.8 | 12% above |
| 200 week MA | $204.7 | 46% above |
GOOGL has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 46% above its 200-week average.
LLY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $1,279.4 | 12% above |
| 20 week MA | $1,218.8 | 17% above |
| 50 week MA | $1,102.2 | 29% above |
| 100 week MA | $954.1 | 50% above |
| 200 week MA | $797.5 | 79% above |
LLY has the edge over GOOGL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
GOOGL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $67.7 | $86.7 | +28% |
| 2021 | $86.7 | $146.9 | +69% |
| 2022 | $146.9 | $89.2 | -39% |
| 2023 | $89.2 | $139.7 | +57% |
| 2024 | $139.7 | $192.8 | +38% |
| 2025 | $192.8 | $313.5 | +63% |
| 2026 YTD | $313.5 | $298.7 | -4.7% |
GOOGL has finished higher in five of the last six years, three of them by more than 50%. It's down 4.7% so far in 2026.
LLY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $131.5 | $166.7 | +27% |
| 2021 | $166.7 | $273.1 | +64% |
| 2022 | $273.1 | $367.9 | +35% |
| 2023 | $367.9 | $582.9 | +58% |
| 2024 | $582.9 | $783.2 | +34% |
| 2025 | $783.2 | $1,077.8 | +38% |
| 2026 YTD | $1,077.8 | $1,427.3 | +32% |
LLY has the edge over GOOGL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.