GOOGL

Alphabet Inc.

66
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

GOOGL has the edge over IRDM overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

IRDM

Iridium Communications Inc.

44
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation43/ 100
Upside potential25/ 100
Risk potential53/ 100

IRDM trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

GOOGL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Under pressure
Healthy

GOOGL's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure.

IRDM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Weak

IRDM's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

GOOGL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current16x$299—
Cheap20x$378+27%
Forward22x$299—
Fair26x$497+66%
Expensive31x$586+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GOOGL has the edge over IRDM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

IRDM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE267x534x801x1068x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE267x534x801x1068x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap24x$36.38-21%
Current31x$46.12—
Fair40x$60.39+31%
Forward68x$46.12—
Expensive489x$738+1501%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

IRDM's PE is in its fair range at 31x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 68x next year's earnings.

GOOGL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

GOOGL has the edge over IRDM on the outlook, with more favorable earnings expectations.

IRDM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong decline
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect IRDM's revenue to grow, but its earnings and profitability to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

GOOGL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$405.17
Downside-13%$260.15

Calculated from the latest close: $298.70 on Nov 12.

GOOGL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than IRDM, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

IRDM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$54.52
Downside-53%$21.51

Calculated from the latest close: $46.12 on Nov 12.

IRDM trails GOOGL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

GOOGL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.52Q2 2024: $6.97Q3 2024: $7.54Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.96Q2 2025: $9.38Q3 2025: $10.13Q4 2025: $10.81Q1 2026: $13.11Q2 2026: $19.91Q3 2026: $19.16Forward: $13.89
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.52Q2 2024: $6.97Q3 2024: $7.54Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.96Q2 2025: $9.38Q3 2025: $10.13Q4 2025: $10.81Q1 2026: $13.11Q2 2026: $19.91Q3 2026: $19.16Forward: $13.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.89-28%
Q3 2026$19.16+89%
Q2 2026$19.91+112%
Q1 2026$13.11+46%
Q4 2025$10.81+34%
Q3 2025$10.13+34%
Q2 2025$9.38+35%
Q1 2025$8.96+37%
Q4 2024$8.04+39%

GOOGL has the edge over IRDM on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

IRDM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.12Q1 2024: $0.20Q2 2024: $0.71Q3 2024: $0.93Q4 2024: $0.94Q1 2025: $1.05Q2 2025: $0.98Q3 2025: $1.12Q4 2025: $1.06Q1 2026: $0.99Q2 2026: $0.88Q3 2026: $1.51Forward: $0.68
Q4 2023: $0.12Q1 2024: $0.20Q2 2024: $0.71Q3 2024: $0.93Q4 2024: $0.94Q1 2025: $1.05Q2 2025: $0.98Q3 2025: $1.12Q4 2025: $1.06Q1 2026: $0.99Q2 2026: $0.88Q3 2026: $1.51Forward: $0.68
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.68-55%
Q3 2026$1.51+35%
Q2 2026$0.88-10%
Q1 2026$0.99-5.7%
Q4 2025$1.06+13%
Q3 2025$1.12+20%
Q2 2025$0.98+38%
Q1 2025$1.05+425%
Q4 2024$0.94+683%

IRDM earned $1.51 per share over the past year, up 35% from the year before.

GOOGL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $86.3BQ1 2024: $80.5BQ2 2024: $84.7BQ3 2024: $88.3BQ4 2024: $96.5BQ1 2025: $90.2BQ2 2025: $96.4BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $114BQ1 2026: $110BQ2 2026: $120BQ3 2026: $128B
Q4 2023: $86.3BQ1 2024: $80.5BQ2 2024: $84.7BQ3 2024: $88.3BQ4 2024: $96.5BQ1 2025: $90.2BQ2 2025: $96.4BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $114BQ1 2026: $110BQ2 2026: $120BQ3 2026: $128B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$127.6B+25%
Q2 2026$119.8B+24%
Q1 2026$109.9B+22%
Q4 2025$113.8B+18%
Q3 2025$102.3B+16%
Q2 2025$96.4B+14%
Q1 2025$90.2B+12%
Q4 2024$96.5B+12%

GOOGL has the edge over IRDM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

IRDM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $195MQ1 2024: $204MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $213MQ4 2024: $213MQ1 2025: $215MQ2 2025: $217MQ3 2025: $227MQ4 2025: $213MQ1 2026: $219MQ2 2026: $225MQ3 2026: $246M
Q4 2023: $195MQ1 2024: $204MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $213MQ4 2024: $213MQ1 2025: $215MQ2 2025: $217MQ3 2025: $227MQ4 2025: $213MQ1 2026: $219MQ2 2026: $225MQ3 2026: $246M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$245.7M+8.3%
Q2 2026$225.2M+3.8%
Q1 2026$219.1M+1.9%
Q4 2025$212.9M0%
Q3 2025$226.9M+6.7%
Q2 2025$216.9M+7.9%
Q1 2025$214.9M+5.4%
Q4 2024$213M+9.4%

IRDM's revenue has held roughly level: $246M last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

GOOGL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $7.9BQ1 2024: $16.8BQ2 2024: $13.5BQ3 2024: $17.6BQ4 2024: $24.8BQ1 2025: $19BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $24.5BQ4 2025: $24.6BQ1 2026: $10.1BQ2 2026: −$5.9BQ3 2026: −$9.1B
Q4 2023: $7.9BQ1 2024: $16.8BQ2 2024: $13.5BQ3 2024: $17.6BQ4 2024: $24.8BQ1 2025: $19BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $24.5BQ4 2025: $24.6BQ1 2026: $10.1BQ2 2026: −$5.9BQ3 2026: −$9.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$9.1B-137%
Q2 2026-$5.9B-210%
Q1 2026$10.1B-47%
Q4 2025$24.6B-1.2%
Q3 2025$24.5B+39%
Q2 2025$5.3B-61%
Q1 2025$19B+13%
Q4 2024$24.8B+215%

GOOGL usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$9.1B, but it generated $19.7B over the past year.

IRDM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $72MQ1 2024: $57MQ2 2024: $69MQ3 2024: $100MQ4 2024: $81MQ1 2025: $37MQ2 2025: $109MQ3 2025: $79MQ4 2025: $75MQ1 2026: $42MQ2 2026: $92MQ3 2026: $68M
Q4 2023: $72MQ1 2024: $57MQ2 2024: $69MQ3 2024: $100MQ4 2024: $81MQ1 2025: $37MQ2 2025: $109MQ3 2025: $79MQ4 2025: $75MQ1 2026: $42MQ2 2026: $92MQ3 2026: $68M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$68.5M-14%
Q2 2026$92.3M-15%
Q1 2026$41.7M+14%
Q4 2025$75.1M-6.7%
Q3 2025$79.2M-21%
Q2 2025$108.9M+59%
Q1 2025$36.5M-36%
Q4 2024$80.5M+12%

IRDM has the edge over GOOGL on cash flow, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

GOOGL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 12.4BQ1 2024: 12.4BQ2 2024: 12.5BQ3 2024: 12.4BQ4 2024: 12.4BQ1 2025: 12.3BQ2 2025: 12.2BQ3 2025: 12.2BQ4 2025: 12.2BQ1 2026: 12.2BQ2 2026: 12.3BQ3 2026: 12.4B
Q4 2023: 12.4BQ1 2024: 12.4BQ2 2024: 12.5BQ3 2024: 12.4BQ4 2024: 12.4BQ1 2025: 12.3BQ2 2025: 12.2BQ3 2025: 12.2BQ4 2025: 12.2BQ1 2026: 12.2BQ2 2026: 12.3BQ3 2026: 12.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+59M shares
1 year+1.4%+165M shares
3 years-1.2%-148M shares
5 years-6.8%-907M shares
Available history-10%-1.4B shares

GOOGL has the edge over IRDM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

IRDM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 127MQ1 2024: 124MQ2 2024: 121MQ3 2024: 118MQ4 2024: 120MQ1 2025: 111MQ2 2025: 108MQ3 2025: 106MQ4 2025: 108MQ1 2026: 107MQ2 2026: 108MQ3 2026: 109M
Q4 2023: 127MQ1 2024: 124MQ2 2024: 121MQ3 2024: 118MQ4 2024: 120MQ1 2025: 111MQ2 2025: 108MQ3 2025: 106MQ4 2025: 108MQ1 2026: 107MQ2 2026: 108MQ3 2026: 109M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+458K shares
1 year+2.3%+2.5M shares
3 years-13%-16.3M shares
5 years-18%-23.9M shares
Available history-13%-16.2M shares

IRDM has 109M diluted shares, up 2.3% from a year ago.

GOOGL Net Leverage

Q4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20250.0xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.1xNet Cash

GOOGL has the edge over IRDM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

IRDM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.5xQ1 2024: 3.6xQ2 2024: 4.0xQ3 2024: 4.1xQ4 2024: 4.2xQ1 2025: 4.2xQ2 2025: 4.1xQ3 2025: 3.9xQ4 2025: 3.7xQ1 2026: 3.8xQ2 2026: 3.7xQ3 2026: 5.6x
Q4 2023: 3.5xQ1 2024: 3.6xQ2 2024: 4.0xQ3 2024: 4.1xQ4 2024: 4.2xQ1 2025: 4.2xQ2 2025: 4.1xQ3 2025: 3.9xQ4 2025: 3.7xQ1 2026: 3.8xQ2 2026: 3.7xQ3 2026: 5.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.6xHigh
Q2 20263.7xElevated
Q1 20263.8xElevated
Q4 20253.7xElevated
Q3 20253.9xElevated
Q2 20254.1xHigh
Q1 20254.2xHigh
Q4 20244.2xHigh

IRDM's net debt is about 5.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.9 years a year ago.

GOOGL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.2Neutral
Stochastic11.7Oversold

GOOGL's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

IRDM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic34.5Neutral

IRDM's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).

GOOGL PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricGOOGLSector medianRelative
PE16x16x6% below
PE %12625 pts below

GOOGL has the edge over IRDM on valuation relative to its sector.

IRDM PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricIRDMSector medianRelative
PE31x16x85% above
PE %33267 pts above

IRDM is trading at 31x earnings, a 85% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

GOOGL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$320.46.8% below
20 week MA$336.111% below
50 week MA$334.511% below
100 week MA$267.812% above
200 week MA$204.746% above

GOOGL has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 46% above its 200-week average.

IRDM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$46.10.2% above
20 week MA$47.52.8% below
50 week MA$37.324% above
100 week MA$31.248% above
200 week MA$36.227% above

IRDM has the edge over GOOGL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GOOGL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$67.7$86.7+28%
2021$86.7$146.9+69%
2022$146.9$89.2-39%
2023$89.2$139.7+57%
2024$139.7$192.8+38%
2025$192.8$313.5+63%
2026 YTD$313.5$298.7-4.7%

GOOGL has finished higher in five of the last six years, three of them by more than 50%. It's down 4.7% so far in 2026.

IRDM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$25.1$39.1+55%
2021$39.1$42.3+8.3%
2022$42.3$50.6+20%
2023$50.6$41.2-19%
2024$41.2$29.1-29%
2025$29.1$17.2-41%
2026 YTD$17.2$46.1+168%

IRDM has the edge over GOOGL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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