GOOGL

Alphabet Inc.

66
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

GOOGL has a slight edge over HPE overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

HPE

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company

65
Fundamentals84/ 100
Valuation26/ 100
Upside potential79/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

HPE offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

GOOGL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Under pressure
Healthy

GOOGL's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure.

HPE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

HPE's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

GOOGL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current16x$299—
Cheap20x$378+27%
Forward22x$299—
Fair26x$497+66%
Expensive31x$586+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GOOGL has the edge over HPE in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

HPE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.4x$12.41-75%
Forward11x$50.16—
Fair16x$30.89-38%
Expensive26x$49.82-0.7%
Current26x$50.16—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HPE's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

GOOGL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for GOOGL, but weaker profitability.

HPE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

HPE has the edge over GOOGL on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and profitability expectations.

GOOGL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$405.17
Downside-13%$260.15

Calculated from the latest close: $298.70 on Nov 12.

GOOGL trails HPE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HPE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+66%$83.23
Downside-17%$41.61

Calculated from the latest close: $50.16 on Nov 12.

HPE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GOOGL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GOOGL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.52Q2 2024: $6.97Q3 2024: $7.54Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.96Q2 2025: $9.38Q3 2025: $10.13Q4 2025: $10.81Q1 2026: $13.11Q2 2026: $19.91Q3 2026: $19.16Forward: $13.89
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.52Q2 2024: $6.97Q3 2024: $7.54Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.96Q2 2025: $9.38Q3 2025: $10.13Q4 2025: $10.81Q1 2026: $13.11Q2 2026: $19.91Q3 2026: $19.16Forward: $13.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.89-28%
Q3 2026$19.16+89%
Q2 2026$19.91+112%
Q1 2026$13.11+46%
Q4 2025$10.81+34%
Q3 2025$10.13+34%
Q2 2025$9.38+35%
Q1 2025$8.96+37%
Q4 2024$8.04+39%

GOOGL has the edge over HPE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HPE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.54Q1 2024: $1.45Q2 2024: $1.37Q3 2024: $1.40Q4 2024: $1.93Q1 2025: $2.08Q2 2025: $1.02Q3 2025: $0.85Q4 2025: $-0.04Q1 2026: $-0.17Q2 2026: $1.09Q3 2026: $1.94Forward: $4.68
Q4 2023: $1.54Q1 2024: $1.45Q2 2024: $1.37Q3 2024: $1.40Q4 2024: $1.93Q1 2025: $2.08Q2 2025: $1.02Q3 2025: $0.85Q4 2025: $-0.04Q1 2026: $-0.17Q2 2026: $1.09Q3 2026: $1.94Forward: $4.68
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.68+141%
Q3 2026$1.94+128%
Q2 2026$1.09+6.9%
Q1 2026-$0.17-108%
Q4 2025-$0.04-102%
Q3 2025$0.85-39%
Q2 2025$1.02-26%
Q1 2025$2.08+43%
Q4 2024$1.93+25%

HPE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.94 over the past year, against $2.82 in mid-2022.

GOOGL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $86.3BQ1 2024: $80.5BQ2 2024: $84.7BQ3 2024: $88.3BQ4 2024: $96.5BQ1 2025: $90.2BQ2 2025: $96.4BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $114BQ1 2026: $110BQ2 2026: $120BQ3 2026: $128B
Q4 2023: $86.3BQ1 2024: $80.5BQ2 2024: $84.7BQ3 2024: $88.3BQ4 2024: $96.5BQ1 2025: $90.2BQ2 2025: $96.4BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $114BQ1 2026: $110BQ2 2026: $120BQ3 2026: $128B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$127.6B+25%
Q2 2026$119.8B+24%
Q1 2026$109.9B+22%
Q4 2025$113.8B+18%
Q3 2025$102.3B+16%
Q2 2025$96.4B+14%
Q1 2025$90.2B+12%
Q4 2024$96.5B+12%

GOOGL's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $128B last quarter, up 25% from the same quarter a year ago.

HPE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $7.4BQ1 2024: $6.8BQ2 2024: $7.2BQ3 2024: $7.7BQ4 2024: $8.5BQ1 2025: $7.9BQ2 2025: $7.6BQ3 2025: $9.1BQ4 2025: $9.7BQ1 2026: $9.3BQ2 2026: $10.7BQ3 2026: $12.2B
Q4 2023: $7.4BQ1 2024: $6.8BQ2 2024: $7.2BQ3 2024: $7.7BQ4 2024: $8.5BQ1 2025: $7.9BQ2 2025: $7.6BQ3 2025: $9.1BQ4 2025: $9.7BQ1 2026: $9.3BQ2 2026: $10.7BQ3 2026: $12.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$12.2B+34%
Q2 2026$10.7B+40%
Q1 2026$9.3B+18%
Q4 2025$9.7B+14%
Q3 2025$9.1B+18%
Q2 2025$7.6B+5.9%
Q1 2025$7.9B+16%
Q4 2024$8.5B+15%

HPE has the edge over GOOGL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

GOOGL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $7.9BQ1 2024: $16.8BQ2 2024: $13.5BQ3 2024: $17.6BQ4 2024: $24.8BQ1 2025: $19BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $24.5BQ4 2025: $24.6BQ1 2026: $10.1BQ2 2026: −$5.9BQ3 2026: −$9.1B
Q4 2023: $7.9BQ1 2024: $16.8BQ2 2024: $13.5BQ3 2024: $17.6BQ4 2024: $24.8BQ1 2025: $19BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $24.5BQ4 2025: $24.6BQ1 2026: $10.1BQ2 2026: −$5.9BQ3 2026: −$9.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$9.1B-137%
Q2 2026-$5.9B-210%
Q1 2026$10.1B-47%
Q4 2025$24.6B-1.2%
Q3 2025$24.5B+39%
Q2 2025$5.3B-61%
Q1 2025$19B+13%
Q4 2024$24.8B+215%

GOOGL usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$9.1B, but it generated $19.7B over the past year.

HPE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.2BQ1 2024: −$592MQ2 2024: $533MQ3 2024: $611MQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: −$918MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: $729MQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $609MQ2 2026: $827MQ3 2026: $896M
Q4 2023: $2.2BQ1 2024: −$592MQ2 2024: $533MQ3 2024: $611MQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: −$918MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: $729MQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $609MQ2 2026: $827MQ3 2026: $896M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$896M+23%
Q2 2026$827M+$1.8B
Q1 2026$609M+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1.8B+28%
Q3 2025$729M+19%
Q2 2025-$1B-289%
Q1 2025-$918M-$326M
Q4 2024$1.4B-34%

HPE has the edge over GOOGL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GOOGL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 12.4BQ1 2024: 12.4BQ2 2024: 12.5BQ3 2024: 12.4BQ4 2024: 12.4BQ1 2025: 12.3BQ2 2025: 12.2BQ3 2025: 12.2BQ4 2025: 12.2BQ1 2026: 12.2BQ2 2026: 12.3BQ3 2026: 12.4B
Q4 2023: 12.4BQ1 2024: 12.4BQ2 2024: 12.5BQ3 2024: 12.4BQ4 2024: 12.4BQ1 2025: 12.3BQ2 2025: 12.2BQ3 2025: 12.2BQ4 2025: 12.2BQ1 2026: 12.2BQ2 2026: 12.3BQ3 2026: 12.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+59M shares
1 year+1.4%+165M shares
3 years-1.2%-148M shares
5 years-6.8%-907M shares
Available history-10%-1.4B shares

GOOGL has the edge over HPE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HPE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.3BQ1 2024: 1.3BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.4BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.4BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 1.3BQ1 2024: 1.3BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.4BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.4BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.2%+17M shares
1 year+2%+28M shares
3 years+10%+133M shares
5 years+8.3%+111M shares
Available history+6.1%+83M shares

HPE has 1.4B diluted shares, up 2% from a year ago.

GOOGL Net Leverage

Q4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20250.0xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.1xNet Cash

GOOGL has the edge over HPE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

HPE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.7xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 1.9xQ3 2024: 1.8xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 6.9xQ4 2025: 7.2xQ1 2026: 6.4xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 2.3x
Q4 2023: 1.7xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 1.9xQ3 2024: 1.8xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 6.9xQ4 2025: 7.2xQ1 2026: 6.4xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.3xModerate
Q2 20263.4xElevated
Q1 20266.4xHigh
Q4 20257.2xHigh
Q3 20256.9xHigh
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20251.0xVery low
Q4 20240.7xVery low

HPE's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 6.9 years a year ago.

GOOGL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.2Neutral
Stochastic11.7Oversold

GOOGL's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

HPE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.0Neutral
Stochastic22.0Neutral

HPE's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 22 (neutral).

GOOGL PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricGOOGLSector medianRelative
PE16x16x6% below
PE %12625 pts below

GOOGL is trading at 16x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.

HPE PE vs Technology Sector

MetricHPESector medianRelative
PE26x28x7.2% below
PE %833548 pts above

HPE has the edge over GOOGL on valuation relative to its sector.

GOOGL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$320.46.8% below
20 week MA$336.111% below
50 week MA$334.511% below
100 week MA$267.812% above
200 week MA$204.746% above

GOOGL has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 46% above its 200-week average.

HPE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$58.514% below
20 week MA$54.68.1% below
50 week MA$38.829% above
100 week MA$29.670% above
200 week MA$23.5114% above

HPE has the edge over GOOGL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GOOGL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$67.7$86.7+28%
2021$86.7$146.9+69%
2022$146.9$89.2-39%
2023$89.2$139.7+57%
2024$139.7$192.8+38%
2025$192.8$313.5+63%
2026 YTD$313.5$298.7-4.7%

GOOGL has finished higher in five of the last six years, three of them by more than 50%. It's down 4.7% so far in 2026.

HPE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$15.9$11.8-26%
2021$11.8$15.8+34%
2022$15.8$15.8-0.1%
2023$15.8$17.0+7.8%
2024$17.0$21.7+28%
2025$21.7$24.5+13%
2026 YTD$24.5$50.2+105%

HPE has the edge over GOOGL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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