GOOGL

Alphabet Inc.

66
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

GOOGL has the edge over GTN overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

GTN

Gray Media, Inc.

41
Fundamentals49/ 100
Valuation16/ 100
Upside potential44/ 100
Risk potential43/ 100

GTN trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

GOOGL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Under pressure
Healthy

GOOGL's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure.

GTN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Weak

GTN's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

GOOGL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current16x$299—
Cheap20x$378+27%
Forward22x$299—
Fair26x$497+66%
Expensive31x$586+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GOOGL has the edge over GTN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GTN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x44x65x87x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x44x65x87x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap2.6x$0.77-87%
Forward4.6x$5.81—
Fair7.2x$2.16-63%
Expensive14x$4.31-26%
Current19x$5.81—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GTN's PE is in its expensive range at 19x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 4.6x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

GOOGL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for GOOGL, but weaker profitability.

GTN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

GTN has the edge over GOOGL on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

GOOGL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$405.17
Downside-13%$260.15

Calculated from the latest close: $298.70 on Nov 12.

GOOGL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GTN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GTN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+34%$7.79
Downside-43%$3.33

Calculated from the latest close: $5.81 on Nov 12.

GTN trails GOOGL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

GOOGL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.52Q2 2024: $6.97Q3 2024: $7.54Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.96Q2 2025: $9.38Q3 2025: $10.13Q4 2025: $10.81Q1 2026: $13.11Q2 2026: $19.91Q3 2026: $19.16Forward: $13.89
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.52Q2 2024: $6.97Q3 2024: $7.54Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.96Q2 2025: $9.38Q3 2025: $10.13Q4 2025: $10.81Q1 2026: $13.11Q2 2026: $19.91Q3 2026: $19.16Forward: $13.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.89-28%
Q3 2026$19.16+89%
Q2 2026$19.91+112%
Q1 2026$13.11+46%
Q4 2025$10.81+34%
Q3 2025$10.13+34%
Q2 2025$9.38+35%
Q1 2025$8.96+37%
Q4 2024$8.04+39%

GOOGL has the edge over GTN on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GTN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.39Q1 2024: $-0.12Q2 2024: $0.07Q3 2024: $1.50Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $2.34Q2 2025: $1.54Q3 2025: $0.44Q4 2025: $-1.41Q1 2026: $-1.52Q2 2026: $-0.60Q3 2026: $0.30Forward: $1.26
Q4 2023: $-1.39Q1 2024: $-0.12Q2 2024: $0.07Q3 2024: $1.50Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $2.34Q2 2025: $1.54Q3 2025: $0.44Q4 2025: $-1.41Q1 2026: $-1.52Q2 2026: $-0.60Q3 2026: $0.30Forward: $1.26
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.26+320%
Q3 2026$0.30-32%
Q2 2026-$0.60-139%
Q1 2026-$1.52-165%
Q4 2025-$1.41-142%
Q3 2025$0.44-71%
Q2 2025$1.54+2100%
Q1 2025$2.34+$2.46
Q4 2024$3.36+$4.75

GTN's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.30 over the past year, against $4.33 in late 2022.

GOOGL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $86.3BQ1 2024: $80.5BQ2 2024: $84.7BQ3 2024: $88.3BQ4 2024: $96.5BQ1 2025: $90.2BQ2 2025: $96.4BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $114BQ1 2026: $110BQ2 2026: $120BQ3 2026: $128B
Q4 2023: $86.3BQ1 2024: $80.5BQ2 2024: $84.7BQ3 2024: $88.3BQ4 2024: $96.5BQ1 2025: $90.2BQ2 2025: $96.4BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $114BQ1 2026: $110BQ2 2026: $120BQ3 2026: $128B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$127.6B+25%
Q2 2026$119.8B+24%
Q1 2026$109.9B+22%
Q4 2025$113.8B+18%
Q3 2025$102.3B+16%
Q2 2025$96.4B+14%
Q1 2025$90.2B+12%
Q4 2024$96.5B+12%

GOOGL has the edge over GTN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GTN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $864MQ1 2024: $823MQ2 2024: $826MQ3 2024: $950MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $782MQ2 2025: $772MQ3 2025: $749MQ4 2025: $792MQ1 2026: $768MQ2 2026: $839MQ3 2026: $972M
Q4 2023: $864MQ1 2024: $823MQ2 2024: $826MQ3 2024: $950MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $782MQ2 2025: $772MQ3 2025: $749MQ4 2025: $792MQ1 2026: $768MQ2 2026: $839MQ3 2026: $972M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$972M+30%
Q2 2026$839M+8.7%
Q1 2026$768M-1.8%
Q4 2025$792M-24%
Q3 2025$749M-21%
Q2 2025$772M-6.5%
Q1 2025$782M-5%
Q4 2024$1B+21%

GTN's revenue has held roughly level: $972M last quarter, up 30% from the same quarter a year ago.

GOOGL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $7.9BQ1 2024: $16.8BQ2 2024: $13.5BQ3 2024: $17.6BQ4 2024: $24.8BQ1 2025: $19BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $24.5BQ4 2025: $24.6BQ1 2026: $10.1BQ2 2026: −$5.9BQ3 2026: −$9.1B
Q4 2023: $7.9BQ1 2024: $16.8BQ2 2024: $13.5BQ3 2024: $17.6BQ4 2024: $24.8BQ1 2025: $19BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $24.5BQ4 2025: $24.6BQ1 2026: $10.1BQ2 2026: −$5.9BQ3 2026: −$9.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$9.1B-137%
Q2 2026-$5.9B-210%
Q1 2026$10.1B-47%
Q4 2025$24.6B-1.2%
Q3 2025$24.5B+39%
Q2 2025$5.3B-61%
Q1 2025$19B+13%
Q4 2024$24.8B+215%

GOOGL usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$9.1B, but it generated $19.7B over the past year.

GTN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $23MQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: −$11MQ3 2024: $257MQ4 2024: $328MQ1 2025: $117MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: −$11MQ4 2025: $69MQ1 2026: −$18MQ2 2026: $106MQ3 2026: $99M
Q4 2023: $23MQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: −$11MQ3 2024: $257MQ4 2024: $328MQ1 2025: $117MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: −$11MQ4 2025: $69MQ1 2026: −$18MQ2 2026: $106MQ3 2026: $99M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$99M+$110M
Q2 2026$106M+1667%
Q1 2026-$18M-115%
Q4 2025$69M-79%
Q3 2025-$11M-104%
Q2 2025$6M+$17M
Q1 2025$117M+244%
Q4 2024$328M+1326%

GTN has the edge over GOOGL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GOOGL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 12.4BQ1 2024: 12.4BQ2 2024: 12.5BQ3 2024: 12.4BQ4 2024: 12.4BQ1 2025: 12.3BQ2 2025: 12.2BQ3 2025: 12.2BQ4 2025: 12.2BQ1 2026: 12.2BQ2 2026: 12.3BQ3 2026: 12.4B
Q4 2023: 12.4BQ1 2024: 12.4BQ2 2024: 12.5BQ3 2024: 12.4BQ4 2024: 12.4BQ1 2025: 12.3BQ2 2025: 12.2BQ3 2025: 12.2BQ4 2025: 12.2BQ1 2026: 12.2BQ2 2026: 12.3BQ3 2026: 12.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+59M shares
1 year+1.4%+165M shares
3 years-1.2%-148M shares
5 years-6.8%-907M shares
Available history-10%-1.4B shares

GOOGL has the edge over GTN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GTN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 92MQ1 2024: 95MQ2 2024: 96MQ3 2024: 97MQ4 2024: 96MQ1 2025: 96MQ2 2025: 97MQ3 2025: 97MQ4 2025: 97MQ1 2026: 97MQ2 2026: 100MQ3 2026: 100M
Q4 2023: 92MQ1 2024: 95MQ2 2024: 96MQ3 2024: 97MQ4 2024: 96MQ1 2025: 96MQ2 2025: 97MQ3 2025: 97MQ4 2025: 97MQ1 2026: 97MQ2 2026: 100MQ3 2026: 100M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year+3.1%+3M shares
3 years+7.5%+7M shares
5 years+5.3%+5M shares
Available history0%--

GTN has 100M diluted shares, up 3.1% from a year ago.

GOOGL Net Leverage

Q4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20250.0xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.1xNet Cash

GOOGL has the edge over GTN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

GTN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 8.5xQ1 2024: 7.9xQ2 2024: 7.8xQ3 2024: 6.3xQ4 2024: 4.9xQ1 2025: 5.0xQ2 2025: 5.4xQ3 2025: 6.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.9xQ2 2026: 8.4xQ3 2026: 6.8x
Q4 2023: 8.5xQ1 2024: 7.9xQ2 2024: 7.8xQ3 2024: 6.3xQ4 2024: 4.9xQ1 2025: 5.0xQ2 2025: 5.4xQ3 2025: 6.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.9xQ2 2026: 8.4xQ3 2026: 6.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.8xHigh
Q2 20268.4xHigh
Q1 20268.9xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20256.4xHigh
Q2 20255.4xHigh
Q1 20255.0xHigh
Q4 20244.9xHigh

GTN's net debt is about 6.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 6.4 years a year ago.

GOOGL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.2Neutral
Stochastic11.7Oversold

GOOGL's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

GTN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI66.1Neutral
Stochastic59.4Neutral

GTN's weekly RSI is 66 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 59 (neutral).

GOOGL PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricGOOGLSector medianRelative
PE16x16x6% below
PE %12625 pts below

GOOGL has the edge over GTN on valuation relative to its sector.

GTN PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricGTNSector medianRelative
PE19x16x17% above
PE %882662 pts above

GTN is trading at 19x earnings, a 17% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

GOOGL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$320.46.8% below
20 week MA$336.111% below
50 week MA$334.511% below
100 week MA$267.812% above
200 week MA$204.746% above

GOOGL has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 46% above its 200-week average.

GTN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.7323% above
20 week MA$4.6126% above
50 week MA$4.6425% above
100 week MA$4.5229% above
200 week MA$5.871% below

GTN has the edge over GOOGL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GOOGL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$67.7$86.7+28%
2021$86.7$146.9+69%
2022$146.9$89.2-39%
2023$89.2$139.7+57%
2024$139.7$192.8+38%
2025$192.8$313.5+63%
2026 YTD$313.5$298.7-4.7%

GOOGL has finished higher in five of the last six years, three of them by more than 50%. It's down 4.7% so far in 2026.

GTN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$21.3$17.4-18%
2021$17.4$20.3+17%
2022$20.3$10.5-48%
2023$10.5$8.96-14%
2024$8.96$3.01-66%
2025$3.01$4.93+64%
2026 YTD$4.93$5.81+18%

GTN has the edge over GOOGL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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