GOLD

Gold.com, Inc.

43
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation15/ 100
Upside potential40/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

GOLD trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS has the edge over GOLD overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

GOLD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

GOLD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GOLD.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

GOLD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE45x90x135x180x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE45x90x135x180x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap4.2x$13.08-64%
Fair7.5x$23.38-36%
Current12x$36.40—
Forward13x$36.40—
Expensive16x$48.82+34%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GOLD's PE is in its fair range at 12x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 13x next year's earnings, in its expensive range.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS has the edge over GOLD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GOLD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Strong decline
Stable
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect GOLD's earnings to decline, with its revenue and profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

MS has the edge over GOLD on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

GOLD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$44.53
Downside-34%$24.15

Calculated from the latest close: $36.40 on Nov 12.

GOLD trails MS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

MS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GOLD, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GOLD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.50Q1 2024: $3.25Q2 2024: $2.84Q3 2024: $2.44Q4 2024: $2.14Q1 2025: $1.57Q2 2025: $0.71Q3 2025: $0.30Q4 2025: $0.49Q1 2026: $2.94Q2 2026: $3.02Q3 2026: $3.11Forward: $2.74
Q4 2023: $4.50Q1 2024: $3.25Q2 2024: $2.84Q3 2024: $2.44Q4 2024: $2.14Q1 2025: $1.57Q2 2025: $0.71Q3 2025: $0.30Q4 2025: $0.49Q1 2026: $2.94Q2 2026: $3.02Q3 2026: $3.11Forward: $2.74
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.74-12%
Q3 2026$3.11+937%
Q2 2026$3.02+325%
Q1 2026$2.94+87%
Q4 2025$0.49-77%
Q3 2025$0.30-88%
Q2 2025$0.71-75%
Q1 2025$1.57-52%
Q4 2024$2.14-52%

GOLD's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $3.11 over the past year, against $9.16 in late 2021.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over GOLD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GOLD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.5BQ3 2025: $3.7BQ4 2025: $6.5BQ1 2026: $10.4BQ2 2026: $5BQ3 2026: $3.3B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.5BQ3 2025: $3.7BQ4 2025: $6.5BQ1 2026: $10.4BQ2 2026: $5BQ3 2026: $3.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.3B-11%
Q2 2026$5B+99%
Q1 2026$10.4B+244%
Q4 2025$6.5B+136%
Q3 2025$3.7B+36%
Q2 2025$2.5B-0.5%
Q1 2025$3B+15%
Q4 2024$2.7B+32%

GOLD's revenue is growing: $3.3B last quarter, down 11% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $20.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

GOLD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $79MQ2 2024: $80MQ3 2024: −$128MQ4 2024: $106MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $63MQ3 2025: $193MQ4 2025: −$47MQ1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: −$643M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $79MQ2 2024: $80MQ3 2024: −$128MQ4 2024: $106MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $63MQ3 2025: $193MQ4 2025: −$47MQ1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: −$643M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$643.1M-432%
Q2 2026$1.1B+1591%
Q1 2026-$3M-103%
Q4 2025-$46.6M-144%
Q3 2025$193.4M+$321.6M
Q2 2025$63.1M-21%
Q1 2025$100.4M+27%
Q3 2024-$128.1M-$82M

GOLD has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

GOLD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24MQ1 2024: 24MQ2 2024: 24MQ3 2024: 24MQ4 2024: 24MQ1 2025: 24MQ2 2025: 24MQ3 2025: 25MQ4 2025: 26MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 27MQ3 2026: 30M
Q4 2023: 24MQ1 2024: 24MQ2 2024: 24MQ3 2024: 24MQ4 2024: 24MQ1 2025: 24MQ2 2025: 24MQ3 2025: 25MQ4 2025: 26MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 27MQ3 2026: 30M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+2.5M shares
1 year+20%+5M shares
3 years+21%+5.2M shares
5 years+24%+5.7M shares
Available history+111%+15.6M shares

GOLD has 30M diluted shares, up 20% from a year ago.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over GOLD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GOLD Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.8xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 2.2xQ3 2024: 3.7xQ4 2024: 2.7xQ1 2025: 3.4xQ2 2025: 6.2xQ3 2025: 5.7xQ4 2025: 3.3xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -4.0xQ3 2026: -0.9x
Q4 2023: 1.8xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 2.2xQ3 2024: 3.7xQ4 2024: 2.7xQ1 2025: 3.4xQ2 2025: 6.2xQ3 2025: 5.7xQ4 2025: 3.3xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -4.0xQ3 2026: -0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20253.3xElevated
Q3 20255.7xHigh
Q2 20256.2xHigh
Q1 20253.4xElevated
Q4 20242.7xModerate

GOLD has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

GOLD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.7Neutral
Stochastic4.0Oversold

GOLD's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 4 (oversold).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

GOLD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGOLDSector medianRelative
PE12x13x10% below
PE %62631 pt below

GOLD has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

GOLD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.68.1% below
20 week MA$41.913% below
50 week MA$43.116% below
100 week MA$34.07% above
200 week MA$34.07.1% above

GOLD has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 7.1% above its 200-week average.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS has the edge over GOLD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GOLD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$4.08$14.0+243%
2021$14.0$30.8+120%
2022$30.8$34.4+12%
2023$34.4$30.3-12%
2024$30.3$26.1-14%
2025$26.1$34.6+32%
2026 YTD$34.6$36.4+5.2%

GOLD has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.

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