GME

GameStop Corp.

49
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation61/ 100
Upside potential32/ 100
Risk potential51/ 100

GME offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

PAG

Penske Automotive Group, Inc.

49
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation22/ 100
Upside potential53/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

PAG has a slight edge over GME overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

GME Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Unavailable

GME's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue is stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

PAG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Healthy

PAG's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

GME PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE367x734x1101x1467x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE367x734x1101x1467x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current17x$25.62—
Cheap18x$27.96+9.1%
Forward38x$25.62—
Fair43x$66.84+161%
Expensive252x$388+1414%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GME has the edge over PAG in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

PAG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.2x8.4x13x17x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.2x8.4x13x17x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.1x$97.13-54%
Fair9.9x$136-36%
Expensive12x$168-21%
Forward15x$213—
Current16x$213—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PAG's PE is in its expensive range at 16x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 15x.

GME Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong decline
Strong decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect GME's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening.

PAG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

PAG has the edge over GME on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

GME Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$31.72
Downside-51%$12.64

Calculated from the latest close: $25.62 on Nov 12.

GME trails PAG on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PAG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$249.43
Downside-15%$180.96

Calculated from the latest close: $213.25 on Nov 12.

PAG has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GME, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GME Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.03Q1 2024: $0.02Q2 2024: $0.08Q3 2024: $0.13Q4 2024: $0.18Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.53Q3 2025: $0.80Q4 2025: $0.89Q1 2026: $0.77Q2 2026: $1.34Q3 2026: $1.54Forward: $0.67
Q4 2023: $-0.03Q1 2024: $0.02Q2 2024: $0.08Q3 2024: $0.13Q4 2024: $0.18Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.53Q3 2025: $0.80Q4 2025: $0.89Q1 2026: $0.77Q2 2026: $1.34Q3 2026: $1.54Forward: $0.67
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.67-56%
Q3 2026$1.54+93%
Q2 2026$1.34+153%
Q1 2026$0.77+133%
Q4 2025$0.89+394%
Q3 2025$0.80+515%
Q2 2025$0.53+563%
Q1 2025$0.33+1550%
Q4 2024$0.18+$0.21

GME has the edge over PAG on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PAG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $15.50Q1 2024: $14.40Q2 2024: $13.60Q3 2024: $13.07Q4 2024: $13.74Q1 2025: $14.19Q2 2025: $14.36Q3 2025: $14.20Q4 2025: $13.50Q1 2026: $13.40Q2 2026: $13.58Q3 2026: $13.71Forward: $13.91
Q4 2023: $15.50Q1 2024: $14.40Q2 2024: $13.60Q3 2024: $13.07Q4 2024: $13.74Q1 2025: $14.19Q2 2025: $14.36Q3 2025: $14.20Q4 2025: $13.50Q1 2026: $13.40Q2 2026: $13.58Q3 2026: $13.71Forward: $13.91
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.91+1.4%
Q3 2026$13.71-3.5%
Q2 2026$13.58-5.4%
Q1 2026$13.40-5.6%
Q4 2025$13.50-1.7%
Q3 2025$14.20+8.6%
Q2 2025$14.36+5.6%
Q1 2025$14.19-1.5%
Q4 2024$13.74-11%

PAG's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $13.71 over the past year, against $18.55 in late 2022.

GME Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $882MQ3 2024: $798MQ4 2024: $860MQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $732MQ3 2025: $972MQ4 2025: $821MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $835MQ3 2026: $790M
Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $882MQ3 2024: $798MQ4 2024: $860MQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $732MQ3 2025: $972MQ4 2025: $821MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $835MQ3 2026: $790M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$790.2M-19%
Q2 2026$835.3M+14%
Q1 2026$1.1B-14%
Q4 2025$821M-4.6%
Q3 2025$972.2M+22%
Q2 2025$732.4M-17%
Q1 2025$1.3B-28%
Q4 2024$860.3M-20%

GME's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $790M last quarter, down 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

PAG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $7.3BQ1 2024: $7.4BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $7.6BQ4 2024: $7.7BQ1 2025: $7.6BQ2 2025: $7.7BQ3 2025: $7.7BQ4 2025: $7.8BQ1 2026: $7.9BQ2 2026: $8.5BQ3 2026: $8.4B
Q4 2023: $7.3BQ1 2024: $7.4BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $7.6BQ4 2024: $7.7BQ1 2025: $7.6BQ2 2025: $7.7BQ3 2025: $7.7BQ4 2025: $7.8BQ1 2026: $7.9BQ2 2026: $8.5BQ3 2026: $8.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$8.4B+9.4%
Q2 2026$8.5B+11%
Q1 2026$7.9B+3.4%
Q4 2025$7.8B+0.6%
Q3 2025$7.7B+1.4%
Q2 2025$7.7B-0.4%
Q1 2025$7.6B+2.1%
Q4 2024$7.7B+6.2%

PAG has the edge over GME on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GME Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: −$19MQ2 2024: −$115MQ3 2024: $66MQ4 2024: $20MQ1 2025: $159MQ2 2025: $190MQ3 2025: $113MQ4 2025: $107MQ1 2026: $187MQ2 2026: $333MQ3 2026: $61M
Q4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: −$19MQ2 2024: −$115MQ3 2024: $66MQ4 2024: $20MQ1 2025: $159MQ2 2025: $190MQ3 2025: $113MQ4 2025: $107MQ1 2026: $187MQ2 2026: $333MQ3 2026: $61M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$60.7M-46%
Q2 2026$332.9M+76%
Q1 2026$187.4M+18%
Q4 2025$107M+435%
Q3 2025$113.3M+73%
Q2 2025$189.6M+$304.3M
Q1 2025$158.8M+$177.5M
Q4 2024$20M+80%

GME has the edge over PAG on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PAG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$32MQ1 2024: $354MQ2 2024: $136MQ3 2024: $190MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $206MQ2 2025: $119MQ3 2025: $300MQ4 2025: $25MQ1 2026: $152MQ2 2026: $132MQ3 2026: $223M
Q4 2023: −$32MQ1 2024: $354MQ2 2024: $136MQ3 2024: $190MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $206MQ2 2025: $119MQ3 2025: $300MQ4 2025: $25MQ1 2026: $152MQ2 2026: $132MQ3 2026: $223M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$223.3M-26%
Q2 2026$131.8M+11%
Q1 2026$152.4M-26%
Q4 2025$25.1M-81%
Q3 2025$300.4M+58%
Q2 2025$118.9M-13%
Q1 2025$206.1M-42%
Q4 2024$131.6M+$163.4M

PAG still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2021 peak: $533M over the past year.

GME Total Shares

Q4 2023: 305MQ1 2024: 305MQ2 2024: 306MQ3 2024: 387MQ4 2024: 438MQ1 2025: 395MQ2 2025: 498MQ3 2025: 547MQ4 2025: 592MQ1 2026: 549MQ2 2026: 592MQ3 2026: 593M
Q4 2023: 305MQ1 2024: 305MQ2 2024: 306MQ3 2024: 387MQ4 2024: 438MQ1 2025: 395MQ2 2025: 498MQ3 2025: 547MQ4 2025: 592MQ1 2026: 549MQ2 2026: 592MQ3 2026: 593M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+300K shares
1 year+8.4%+46.1M shares
3 years+94%+288M shares
5 years+104%+302M shares
Available history+80%+264M shares

GME has 593M diluted shares, up 8.4% from a year ago.

PAG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 68MQ1 2024: 67MQ2 2024: 67MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 67MQ1 2025: 67MQ2 2025: 66MQ3 2025: 66MQ4 2025: 66MQ1 2026: 66MQ2 2026: 66MQ3 2026: 66M
Q4 2023: 68MQ1 2024: 67MQ2 2024: 67MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 67MQ1 2025: 67MQ2 2025: 66MQ3 2025: 66MQ4 2025: 66MQ1 2026: 66MQ2 2026: 66MQ3 2026: 66M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-60K shares
1 year-0.5%-356K shares
3 years-2.4%-1.6M shares
5 years-17%-13.8M shares
Available history-20%-16.8M shares

PAG has the edge over GME on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GME Net Leverage

PAG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.1xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.1xQ2 2025: 1.1xQ3 2025: 1.0xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.8xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.6x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.1xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.1xQ2 2025: 1.1xQ3 2025: 1.0xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.8xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.6xHealthy
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20261.8xHealthy
Q4 20251.5xHealthy
Q3 20251.0xHealthy
Q2 20251.1xHealthy
Q1 20251.1xHealthy
Q4 20241.2xHealthy

PAG's net debt is about 1.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from a year a year ago.

GME Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.9Neutral
Stochastic68.5Neutral

GME's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 69 (neutral).

PAG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.1Neutral
Stochastic66.3Neutral

PAG's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 66 (neutral).

GME PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricGMESector medianRelative
PE17x18x7.7% below
PE %154732 pts below

GME is trading at 17x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

PAG PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricPAGSector medianRelative
PE16x18x14% below
PE %974750 pts above

PAG has the edge over GME on valuation relative to its sector.

GME Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$25.21.8% above
20 week MA$22.415% above
50 week MA$22.613% above
100 week MA$24.07% above
200 week MA$21.817% above

GME is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 17% above its 200-week average.

PAG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$209.02% above
20 week MA$210.11.5% above
50 week MA$182.017% above
100 week MA$173.623% above
200 week MA$163.630% above

PAG is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 30% above its 200-week average.

GME Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1.48$5.04+241%
2021$5.04$38.0+655%
2022$38.0$20.1-47%
2023$20.1$17.5-13%
2024$17.5$32.2+84%
2025$32.2$21.1-35%
2026 YTD$21.1$25.6+21%

GME's yearly returns have swung widely, from +655% in 2021 to −47% in 2022. It's up 21% so far in 2026.

PAG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$50.7$57.7+14%
2021$57.7$102.9+78%
2022$102.9$112.3+9.2%
2023$112.3$160.5+43%
2024$160.5$155.1-3.3%
2025$155.1$165.6+6.7%
2026 YTD$165.6$213.3+29%

PAG has the edge over GME on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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