GME

GameStop Corp.

49
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation61/ 100
Upside potential32/ 100
Risk potential51/ 100

GME trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

HGV

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.

68
Fundamentals83/ 100
Valuation83/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

HGV has the edge over GME overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

GME Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Unavailable

GME's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue is stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

HGV Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Healthy
Under pressure

HGV's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

GME PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE367x734x1101x1467x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE367x734x1101x1467x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current17x$25.62—
Cheap18x$27.96+9.1%
Forward38x$25.62—
Fair43x$66.84+161%
Expensive252x$388+1414%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GME has the edge over HGV in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

HGV PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE42x84x126x168x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE42x84x126x168x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current8.5x$43.92—
Forward9.5x$43.92—
Cheap13x$65.69+50%
Fair20x$104+138%
Expensive80x$411+837%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HGV's PE is in its cheap range at 8.5x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 9.5x.

GME Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong decline
Strong decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect GME's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening.

HGV Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

HGV has the edge over GME on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

GME Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$31.72
Downside-51%$12.64

Calculated from the latest close: $25.62 on Nov 12.

GME trails HGV on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

HGV Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+35%$59.20
Downside-17%$36.57

Calculated from the latest close: $43.92 on Nov 12.

HGV has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GME, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GME Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.03Q1 2024: $0.02Q2 2024: $0.08Q3 2024: $0.13Q4 2024: $0.18Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.53Q3 2025: $0.80Q4 2025: $0.89Q1 2026: $0.77Q2 2026: $1.34Q3 2026: $1.54Forward: $0.67
Q4 2023: $-0.03Q1 2024: $0.02Q2 2024: $0.08Q3 2024: $0.13Q4 2024: $0.18Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.53Q3 2025: $0.80Q4 2025: $0.89Q1 2026: $0.77Q2 2026: $1.34Q3 2026: $1.54Forward: $0.67
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.67-56%
Q3 2026$1.54+93%
Q2 2026$1.34+153%
Q1 2026$0.77+133%
Q4 2025$0.89+394%
Q3 2025$0.80+515%
Q2 2025$0.53+563%
Q1 2025$0.33+1550%
Q4 2024$0.18+$0.21

GME has the edge over HGV on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HGV Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.80Q1 2024: $2.12Q2 2024: $1.43Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.32Q2 2025: $0.55Q3 2025: $0.55Q4 2025: $0.89Q1 2026: $1.85Q2 2026: $1.75Q3 2026: $5.17Forward: $4.63
Q4 2023: $2.80Q1 2024: $2.12Q2 2024: $1.43Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.32Q2 2025: $0.55Q3 2025: $0.55Q4 2025: $0.89Q1 2026: $1.85Q2 2026: $1.75Q3 2026: $5.17Forward: $4.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.63-10%
Q3 2026$5.17+840%
Q2 2026$1.75+218%
Q1 2026$1.85+478%
Q4 2025$0.89+98%
Q3 2025$0.55-38%
Q2 2025$0.55-62%
Q1 2025$0.32-85%
Q4 2024$0.45-84%

HGV's earnings per share have jumped to their highest in seven years: $5.17 over the past year, up from $0.55 the year before.

GME Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $882MQ3 2024: $798MQ4 2024: $860MQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $732MQ3 2025: $972MQ4 2025: $821MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $835MQ3 2026: $790M
Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $882MQ3 2024: $798MQ4 2024: $860MQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $732MQ3 2025: $972MQ4 2025: $821MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $835MQ3 2026: $790M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$790.2M-19%
Q2 2026$835.3M+14%
Q1 2026$1.1B-14%
Q4 2025$821M-4.6%
Q3 2025$972.2M+22%
Q2 2025$732.4M-17%
Q1 2025$1.3B-28%
Q4 2024$860.3M-20%

GME's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $790M last quarter, down 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

HGV Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $2B
Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2B+51%
Q2 2026$1.4B+7.3%
Q1 2026$1.3B+12%
Q4 2025$1.3B+3.8%
Q3 2025$1.3B-0.5%
Q2 2025$1.3B+2.5%
Q1 2025$1.1B-0.7%
Q4 2024$1.3B+26%

HGV has the edge over GME on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GME Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: −$19MQ2 2024: −$115MQ3 2024: $66MQ4 2024: $20MQ1 2025: $159MQ2 2025: $190MQ3 2025: $113MQ4 2025: $107MQ1 2026: $187MQ2 2026: $333MQ3 2026: $61M
Q4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: −$19MQ2 2024: −$115MQ3 2024: $66MQ4 2024: $20MQ1 2025: $159MQ2 2025: $190MQ3 2025: $113MQ4 2025: $107MQ1 2026: $187MQ2 2026: $333MQ3 2026: $61M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$60.7M-46%
Q2 2026$332.9M+76%
Q1 2026$187.4M+18%
Q4 2025$107M+435%
Q3 2025$113.3M+73%
Q2 2025$189.6M+$304.3M
Q1 2025$158.8M+$177.5M
Q4 2024$20M+80%

GME has the edge over HGV on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HGV Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$13MQ1 2024: −$10MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $81MQ4 2024: $90MQ1 2025: $24MQ2 2025: $46MQ3 2025: $13MQ4 2025: $147MQ1 2026: $122MQ2 2026: $131MQ3 2026: $73M
Q4 2023: −$13MQ1 2024: −$10MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $81MQ4 2024: $90MQ1 2025: $24MQ2 2025: $46MQ3 2025: $13MQ4 2025: $147MQ1 2026: $122MQ2 2026: $131MQ3 2026: $73M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$73M+462%
Q2 2026$131M+185%
Q1 2026$122M+408%
Q4 2025$147M+63%
Q3 2025$13M-84%
Q2 2025$46M-57%
Q1 2025$24M+$34M
Q4 2024$90M+$103M

HGV still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $473M over the past year.

GME Total Shares

Q4 2023: 305MQ1 2024: 305MQ2 2024: 306MQ3 2024: 387MQ4 2024: 438MQ1 2025: 395MQ2 2025: 498MQ3 2025: 547MQ4 2025: 592MQ1 2026: 549MQ2 2026: 592MQ3 2026: 593M
Q4 2023: 305MQ1 2024: 305MQ2 2024: 306MQ3 2024: 387MQ4 2024: 438MQ1 2025: 395MQ2 2025: 498MQ3 2025: 547MQ4 2025: 592MQ1 2026: 549MQ2 2026: 592MQ3 2026: 593M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+300K shares
1 year+8.4%+46.1M shares
3 years+94%+288M shares
5 years+104%+302M shares
Available history+80%+264M shares

GME has 593M diluted shares, up 8.4% from a year ago.

HGV Total Shares

Q4 2023: 112MQ1 2024: 105MQ2 2024: 104MQ3 2024: 102MQ4 2024: 103MQ1 2025: 96MQ2 2025: 92MQ3 2025: 90MQ4 2025: 92MQ1 2026: 84MQ2 2026: 81MQ3 2026: 79M
Q4 2023: 112MQ1 2024: 105MQ2 2024: 104MQ3 2024: 102MQ4 2024: 103MQ1 2025: 96MQ2 2025: 92MQ3 2025: 90MQ4 2025: 92MQ1 2026: 84MQ2 2026: 81MQ3 2026: 79M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.8%-2.3M shares
1 year-13%-11.5M shares
3 years-29%-32.3M shares
5 years-28%-30.5M shares
Available history-12%-10.7M shares

HGV has the edge over GME on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GME Net Leverage

HGV Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.0xQ1 2024: 6.2xQ2 2024: 6.3xQ3 2024: 6.5xQ4 2024: 5.9xQ1 2025: 5.8xQ2 2025: 5.9xQ3 2025: 6.5xQ4 2025: 5.9xQ1 2026: 5.5xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.9x
Q4 2023: 3.0xQ1 2024: 6.2xQ2 2024: 6.3xQ3 2024: 6.5xQ4 2024: 5.9xQ1 2025: 5.8xQ2 2025: 5.9xQ3 2025: 6.5xQ4 2025: 5.9xQ1 2026: 5.5xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.9xElevated
Q2 20265.7xHigh
Q1 20265.5xHigh
Q4 20255.9xHigh
Q3 20256.5xHigh
Q2 20255.9xHigh
Q1 20255.8xHigh
Q4 20245.9xHigh

HGV's net debt is about 3.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 6.5 years a year ago.

GME Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.9Neutral
Stochastic68.5Neutral

GME's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 69 (neutral).

HGV Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.6Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

HGV's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

GME PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricGMESector medianRelative
PE17x18x7.7% below
PE %154732 pts below

GME is trading at 17x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

HGV PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricHGVSector medianRelative
PE8.5x18x53% below
PE %34744 pts below

HGV has the edge over GME on valuation relative to its sector.

GME Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$25.21.8% above
20 week MA$22.415% above
50 week MA$22.613% above
100 week MA$24.07% above
200 week MA$21.817% above

GME has the edge over HGV on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HGV Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$37.916% above
20 week MA$42.43.5% above
50 week MA$44.71.7% below
100 week MA$43.02.2% above
200 week MA$42.53.4% above

HGV's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 3.4% above its 200-week average.

GME Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1.48$5.04+241%
2021$5.04$38.0+655%
2022$38.0$20.1-47%
2023$20.1$17.5-13%
2024$17.5$32.2+84%
2025$32.2$21.1-35%
2026 YTD$21.1$25.6+21%

GME has the edge over HGV on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

HGV Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$34.5$30.5-12%
2021$30.5$51.2+68%
2022$51.2$39.0-24%
2023$39.0$40.2+3.2%
2024$40.2$39.6-1.4%
2025$39.6$45.2+14%
2026 YTD$45.2$43.9-2.9%

HGV has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 2.9% so far in 2026.

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