GM
General Motors Company
GM has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
RIVN has the edge over GM overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
GM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
GM's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.
RIVN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
GM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 5.4x | $25.04 | -71% |
| Forward | 6.1x | $86.25 | — |
| Fair | 6.8x | $31.54 | -63% |
| Expensive | 19x | $86.43 | +0.2% |
| Current | 19x | $86.25 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GM's PE is in its expensive range at 19x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 6.1x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
RIVN PE Valuation
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
GM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect GM's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RIVN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
RIVN has the edge over GM on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
GM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $14.15 | +206% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.62 | -11% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.24 | -66% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.74 | -62% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.27 | -49% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.19 | -45% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.52 | -27% |
| Q1 2025 | $7.16 | -13% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.37 | -13% |
GM has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RIVN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.25 | +$0.83 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.58 | +$0.62 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.92 | +$0.77 |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.07 | +$1.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.08 | +$2.52 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.20 | +$2.76 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.69 | +$2.08 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.69 | +$1.05 |
RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.
GM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $50B | +2.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $48B | +1.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $43.6B | -0.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.3B | -5.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $48.6B | -0.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $47.1B | -1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $44B | +2.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $47.7B | +11% |
GM's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $50B last quarter, up 2.9% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.2% | +5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 3% | -1.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 6.7% | -0.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.1% | -11 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -5.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.5% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.6% | -1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 3.2% | +1 points |
GM has the edge over RIVN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RIVN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +3% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +32% |
RIVN has the edge over GM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -41% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | -50% | +35 points |
| Q1 2026 | -64% | -11 points |
| Q4 2025 | -65% | -27 points |
| Q3 2025 | -63% | +71 points |
| Q2 2025 | -86% | +33 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +70 points |
| Q4 2024 | -38% | +82 points |
RIVN's operating margin was −41% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
GM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $5B | -0.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.4B | -7.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | -66% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.6B | +294% |
| Q3 2025 | $5B | +7.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.8B | +40% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.2B | +1050% |
| Q4 2024 | $907M | +$956M |
GM has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RIVN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.1B | -$703M |
| Q2 2026 | -$849M | -$451M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -$549M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -234% |
| Q3 2025 | -$421M | +$732M |
| Q2 2025 | -$398M | +$639M |
| Q1 2025 | -$526M | +$997M |
| Q4 2024 | $856M | +$2.3B |
RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.
GM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.5% | -23M shares |
| 1 year | -8% | -77M shares |
| 3 years | -36% | -491M shares |
| 5 years | -40% | -580M shares |
| Available history | -38% | -552M shares |
GM has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.5B |
| Q2 2026 | $2B |
| Q1 2026 | $800M |
| Q4 2025 | $2.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $1.5B |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $2B |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7B |
GM spent $7.8B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 4.8% from the year before.
RIVN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +9.1% | +121M shares |
| 1 year | +19% | +226M shares |
| 3 years | +52% | +494M shares |
RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $6M |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
GM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
GM has more cash than debt.
RIVN Net Leverage
RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
GM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 55.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 65.3 | Neutral |
GM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 65 (neutral).
RIVN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.6 | Neutral |
RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
GM PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | GM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19x | 18x | 3.6% above |
| PE % | 83 | 47 | 36 pts above |
GM is trading at 19x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
GM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $82.9 | 4% above |
| 20 week MA | $83.4 | 3.4% above |
| 50 week MA | $80.8 | 6.8% above |
| 100 week MA | $67.3 | 28% above |
| 200 week MA | $53.7 | 61% above |
GM has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RIVN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.3 | 3.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.9 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.7 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.
GM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $36.6 | $41.6 | +14% |
| 2021 | $41.6 | $56.9 | +37% |
| 2022 | $56.9 | $33.8 | -41% |
| 2023 | $33.8 | $35.9 | +6.2% |
| 2024 | $35.9 | $54.3 | +51% |
| 2025 | $54.3 | $83.1 | +53% |
| 2026 YTD | $83.1 | $86.3 | +3.8% |
GM has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RIVN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $130.0 | $96.8 | -25% |
| 2022 | $96.8 | $19.1 | -80% |
| 2023 | $19.1 | $23.5 | +23% |
| 2024 | $23.5 | $13.7 | -42% |
| 2025 | $13.7 | $20.9 | +53% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.9 | $12.8 | -39% |
RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.