GM
General Motors Company
GM has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO has the edge over GM overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
GM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
GM's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
GM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 5.4x | $25.04 | -71% |
| Forward | 6.1x | $86.25 | — |
| Fair | 6.8x | $31.54 | -63% |
| Expensive | 19x | $86.43 | +0.2% |
| Current | 19x | $86.25 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GM's PE is in its expensive range at 19x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 6.1x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
GM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect GM's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
NIO has the edge over GM on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
GM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $14.15 | +206% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.62 | -11% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.24 | -66% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.74 | -62% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.27 | -49% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.19 | -45% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.52 | -27% |
| Q1 2025 | $7.16 | -13% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.37 | -13% |
GM has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
GM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $50B | +2.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $48B | +1.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $43.6B | -0.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.3B | -5.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $48.6B | -0.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $47.1B | -1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $44B | +2.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $47.7B | +11% |
GM's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $50B last quarter, up 2.9% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.2% | +5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 3% | -1.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 6.7% | -0.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.1% | -11 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -5.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.5% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.6% | -1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 3.2% | +1 points |
GM has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO has the edge over GM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
GM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $5B | -0.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.4B | -7.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | -66% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.6B | +294% |
| Q3 2025 | $5B | +7.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.8B | +40% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.2B | +1050% |
| Q4 2024 | $907M | +$956M |
GM has the edge over NIO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.
GM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.5% | -23M shares |
| 1 year | -8% | -77M shares |
| 3 years | -36% | -491M shares |
| 5 years | -40% | -580M shares |
| Available history | -38% | -552M shares |
GM has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.5B |
| Q2 2026 | $2B |
| Q1 2026 | $800M |
| Q4 2025 | $2.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $1.5B |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $2B |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7B |
GM spent $7.8B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 4.8% from the year before.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
GM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
GM has more cash than debt.
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
GM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 55.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 65.3 | Neutral |
GM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 65 (neutral).
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
GM PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | GM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19x | 18x | 3.6% above |
| PE % | 83 | 47 | 36 pts above |
GM is trading at 19x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
GM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $82.9 | 4% above |
| 20 week MA | $83.4 | 3.4% above |
| 50 week MA | $80.8 | 6.8% above |
| 100 week MA | $67.3 | 28% above |
| 200 week MA | $53.7 | 61% above |
GM has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
GM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $36.6 | $41.6 | +14% |
| 2021 | $41.6 | $56.9 | +37% |
| 2022 | $56.9 | $33.8 | -41% |
| 2023 | $33.8 | $35.9 | +6.2% |
| 2024 | $35.9 | $54.3 | +51% |
| 2025 | $54.3 | $83.1 | +53% |
| 2026 YTD | $83.1 | $86.3 | +3.8% |
GM has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.