GIII
G-III Apparel Group, Ltd.
GIII has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
LCID
Lucid Group, Inc.
LCID has the edge over GIII overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
GIII Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
GIII's balance sheet is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable, but its revenue is under pressure.
LCID Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
GIII PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 5.4x | $16.40 | -48% |
| Fair | 7.7x | $23.50 | -25% |
| Current | 10x | $31.50 | — |
| Forward | 13x | $31.50 | — |
| Expensive | 16x | $48.13 | +53% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GIII's PE is in its expensive range at 10x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 13x.
LCID PE Valuation
LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
GIII Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect GIII's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
LCID Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
GIII Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.46 | -19% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.05 | -23% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.84 | -33% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.51 | -64% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.26 | -14% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.97 | -0.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.25 | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.20 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.79 | +$6.04 |
GIII has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
LCID Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$13.08 | -$2.57 |
| Q2 2026 | -$13.65 | -$2.35 |
| Q1 2026 | -$13.15 | -$1.25 |
| Q4 2025 | -$12.09 | +$0.41 |
| Q3 2025 | -$10.51 | +$2.49 |
| Q2 2025 | -$11.30 | +$0.40 |
| Q1 2025 | -$11.90 | +$0.40 |
| Q4 2024 | -$12.50 | +$1.10 |
LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.
GIII Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $554.1M | -9.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $536M | -8.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $771.5M | -8.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $988.6M | -9% |
| Q3 2025 | $613.3M | -4.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $583.6M | -4.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $839.5M | +9.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B | +1.8% |
GIII's revenue has slid since its 2019 peak: $554M last quarter, down 9.6% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.9% | -0.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 16% | +15 points |
| Q1 2026 | -3.8% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 11% | -4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.7% | -3.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1.4% | -0.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 8.6% | +2.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | -2.5 points |
GIII has the edge over LCID on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
LCID Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $350.3M | +4.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $405.3M | +56% |
| Q1 2026 | $282.5M | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $522.7M | +123% |
| Q3 2025 | $336.6M | +68% |
| Q2 2025 | $259.4M | +29% |
| Q1 2025 | $235M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $234.5M | +49% |
LCID has the edge over GIII on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -245% | +35 points |
| Q2 2026 | -267% | +43 points |
| Q1 2026 | -350% | -56 points |
| Q4 2025 | -204% | +109 points |
| Q3 2025 | -280% | +105 points |
| Q2 2025 | -310% | +83 points |
| Q1 2025 | -294% | +128 points |
| Q4 2024 | -313% | +156 points |
LCID's operating margin was −245% last quarter, up 35 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2020.
GIII Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $171.6M | +165% |
| Q2 2026 | -$10.4M | -112% |
| Q1 2026 | $219.9M | -32% |
| Q4 2025 | -$106.4M | +$13.9M |
| Q3 2025 | $64.7M | +67% |
| Q2 2025 | $85.7M | +162% |
| Q1 2025 | $323.7M | -8.1% |
| Q4 2024 | -$120.3M | -1400% |
GIII has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
LCID Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1B | -$84.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.5B | -$463.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.4B | -$849M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.2B | -$417.1M |
| Q3 2025 | -$955.5M | -$333M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1B | -$271.6M |
| Q1 2025 | -$589.9M | +$125.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$824.8M | -$77.6M |
LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.
GIII Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -56K shares |
| 1 year | +0.3% | +119K shares |
| 3 years | -4.8% | -2.2M shares |
| 5 years | -10% | -5.2M shares |
| Available history | -8.3% | -4M shares |
GIII has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $5.4M |
| Q3 2025 | $24.6M |
| Q2 2025 | $19.7M |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | $31.6M |
| Q2 2024 | $28.4M |
LCID Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.3% | +12.5M shares |
| 1 year | +26% | +82.4M shares |
| 3 years | +73% | +166M shares |
LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | $2.2M |
| Q1 2020 | — |
GIII Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 0.4x | Very low |
GIII has more cash than debt.
LCID Net Leverage
LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
GIII Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 53.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 43.9 | Neutral |
GIII's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 44 (neutral).
LCID Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.1 | Oversold |
LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
GIII PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | GIII | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10x | 18x | 43% below |
| PE % | 70 | 47 | 23 pts above |
GIII is trading at 10x earnings, a 43% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
GIII Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $29.1 | 8.2% above |
| 20 week MA | $31.4 | 0.4% above |
| 50 week MA | $30.9 | 2.1% above |
| 100 week MA | $28.9 | 9.1% above |
| 200 week MA | $27.0 | 17% above |
GIII has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
LCID Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.53 | 7.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.88 | 33% below |
| 50 week MA | $7.33 | 56% below |
| 100 week MA | $15.4 | 79% below |
| 200 week MA | $31.9 | 90% below |
LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.
GIII Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $33.0 | $22.9 | -31% |
| 2021 | $22.9 | $27.2 | +19% |
| 2022 | $27.2 | $13.1 | -52% |
| 2023 | $13.1 | $34.0 | +160% |
| 2024 | $34.0 | $32.7 | -3.6% |
| 2025 | $32.7 | $30.4 | -7.1% |
| 2026 YTD | $30.4 | $31.5 | +3.6% |
GIII has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
LCID Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $98.9 | $100.4 | +1.5% |
| 2021 | $100.4 | $376.4 | +275% |
| 2022 | $376.4 | $67.0 | -82% |
| 2023 | $67.0 | $42.1 | -37% |
| 2024 | $42.1 | $32.0 | -24% |
| 2025 | $32.0 | $11.4 | -64% |
| 2026 YTD | $11.4 | $3.25 | -72% |
LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.