GGG

Graco Inc.

60
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation60/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

GGG's fundamentals are mixed: it turned 26% of its revenue into free cash flow, while its operating margin held steady at 27%. At 23x earnings, it's trading below its usual 28x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

GGG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Strong

GGG's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue is stable.

GGG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x23x34x45x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x23x34x45x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward21x$72.44—
Current23x$72.44—
Cheap25x$78.04+7.7%
Fair28x$87.32+21%
Expensive32x$97.81+35%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GGG's PE is in its cheap range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 21x next year's earnings.

GGG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GGG, with profitability holding steady.

GGG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$84.75
Downside-12%$63.98

Calculated from the latest close: $72.44 on Nov 12.

GGG's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +17% against −12%.

GGG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.94Q1 2024: $2.90Q2 2024: $2.89Q3 2024: $2.83Q4 2024: $2.82Q1 2025: $2.83Q2 2025: $2.82Q3 2025: $2.93Q4 2025: $3.08Q1 2026: $3.06Q2 2026: $3.17Q3 2026: $3.10Forward: $3.40
Q4 2023: $2.94Q1 2024: $2.90Q2 2024: $2.89Q3 2024: $2.83Q4 2024: $2.82Q1 2025: $2.83Q2 2025: $2.82Q3 2025: $2.93Q4 2025: $3.08Q1 2026: $3.06Q2 2026: $3.17Q3 2026: $3.10Forward: $3.40
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.40+9.7%
Q3 2026$3.10+5.8%
Q2 2026$3.17+12%
Q1 2026$3.06+8.1%
Q4 2025$3.08+9.2%
Q3 2025$2.93+3.5%
Q2 2025$2.82-2.4%
Q1 2025$2.83-2.4%
Q4 2024$2.82-4.1%

GGG earned $3.10 per share over the past year, up 5.8% from the year before.

GGG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $567MQ1 2024: $492MQ2 2024: $553MQ3 2024: $519MQ4 2024: $549MQ1 2025: $528MQ2 2025: $572MQ3 2025: $543MQ4 2025: $593MQ1 2026: $540MQ2 2026: $591MQ3 2026: $586M
Q4 2023: $567MQ1 2024: $492MQ2 2024: $553MQ3 2024: $519MQ4 2024: $549MQ1 2025: $528MQ2 2025: $572MQ3 2025: $543MQ4 2025: $593MQ1 2026: $540MQ2 2026: $591MQ3 2026: $586M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$586.4M+7.9%
Q2 2026$590.6M+3.3%
Q1 2026$540.1M+2.2%
Q4 2025$593.2M+8.1%
Q3 2025$543.4M+4.7%
Q2 2025$571.8M+3.4%
Q1 2025$528.3M+7.3%
Q4 2024$548.7M-3.2%

GGG's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $586M last quarter, up 7.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

GGG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $120MQ1 2024: $82MQ2 2024: $103MQ3 2024: $159MQ4 2024: $171MQ1 2025: $115MQ2 2025: $163MQ3 2025: $176MQ4 2025: $184MQ1 2026: $108MQ2 2026: $161MQ3 2026: $146M
Q4 2023: $120MQ1 2024: $82MQ2 2024: $103MQ3 2024: $159MQ4 2024: $171MQ1 2025: $115MQ2 2025: $163MQ3 2025: $176MQ4 2025: $184MQ1 2026: $108MQ2 2026: $161MQ3 2026: $146M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$146.3M-17%
Q2 2026$161.3M-1.1%
Q1 2026$108.1M-5.8%
Q4 2025$184.3M+7.6%
Q3 2025$175.7M+10%
Q2 2025$163.1M+59%
Q1 2025$114.8M+40%
Q4 2024$171.3M+42%

GGG generated $600M in free cash flow over the past year, down 4% from the year before.

GGG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 172MQ1 2024: 172MQ2 2024: 172MQ3 2024: 172MQ4 2024: 172MQ1 2025: 172MQ2 2025: 169MQ3 2025: 169MQ4 2025: 169MQ1 2026: 168MQ2 2026: 166MQ3 2026: 163M
Q4 2023: 172MQ1 2024: 172MQ2 2024: 172MQ3 2024: 172MQ4 2024: 172MQ1 2025: 172MQ2 2025: 169MQ3 2025: 169MQ4 2025: 169MQ1 2026: 168MQ2 2026: 166MQ3 2026: 163M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-2.7M shares
1 year-3.3%-5.6M shares
3 years-5.6%-9.8M shares
5 years-6.7%-11.8M shares
Available history-5%-8.6M shares

GGG has 163M diluted shares, down 3.3% from a year ago, with $525M in buybacks over the past year.

GGG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -0.8xQ2 2025: -0.8xQ3 2025: -0.9xQ4 2025: -0.9xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -0.8xQ2 2025: -0.8xQ3 2025: -0.9xQ4 2025: -0.9xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

GGG has more cash than debt.

GGG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.1Neutral
Stochastic17.9Oversold

GGG's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

GGG PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricGGGSector medianRelative
PE23x24x2.7% below
PE %35855 pts below

GGG is trading at 23x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

GGG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$73.91.9% below
20 week MA$76.55.3% below
50 week MA$80.710% below
100 week MA$82.312% below
200 week MA$81.711% below

GGG is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

GGG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$52.2$72.8+40%
2021$72.8$78.6+7.9%
2022$78.6$66.8-15%
2023$66.8$86.8+30%
2024$86.8$84.1-3%
2025$84.1$83.4-0.9%
2026 YTD$83.4$72.4-13%

GGG has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

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