GFF

Griffon Corporation

57
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation25/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

GFF has a slight edge over RKLB overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

GFF Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Strong
Stable
Stable

GFF's profitability is currently strong, and its cash flow and balance sheet are stable, but its revenue is weak.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

GFF PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE114x228x342x456x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE114x228x342x456x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap14x$55.41-47%
Fair17x$69.08-34%
Forward17x$105—
Current26x$105—
Expensive53x$211+101%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GFF's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GFF Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect GFF's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RKLB has the edge over GFF on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

GFF Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+32%$137.88
Downside-18%$85.98

Calculated from the latest close: $104.84 on Nov 12.

GFF trails RKLB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GFF, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GFF Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $1.42Q4 2023: $1.36Q1 2024: $3.81Q2 2024: $3.75Q3 2024: $4.23Q4 2024: $4.90Q1 2025: $4.83Q2 2025: $1.34Q3 2025: $1.09Q4 2025: $1.01Q1 2026: $0.22Q2 2026: $4.01Forward: $6.10
Q3 2023: $1.42Q4 2023: $1.36Q1 2024: $3.81Q2 2024: $3.75Q3 2024: $4.23Q4 2024: $4.90Q1 2025: $4.83Q2 2025: $1.34Q3 2025: $1.09Q4 2025: $1.01Q1 2026: $0.22Q2 2026: $4.01Forward: $6.10
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.10+52%
Q2 2026$4.01+199%
Q1 2026$0.22-95%
Q4 2025$1.01-79%
Q3 2025$1.09-74%
Q2 2025$1.34-64%
Q1 2025$4.83+27%
Q4 2024$4.90+260%
Q3 2024$4.23+198%

GFF has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

GFF Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $641MQ4 2023: $643MQ1 2024: $673MQ2 2024: $648MQ3 2024: $660MQ4 2024: $632MQ1 2025: $612MQ2 2025: $614MQ3 2025: $662MQ4 2025: $649MQ1 2026: $422MQ2 2026: $481M
Q3 2023: $641MQ4 2023: $643MQ1 2024: $673MQ2 2024: $648MQ3 2024: $660MQ4 2024: $632MQ1 2025: $612MQ2 2025: $614MQ3 2025: $662MQ4 2025: $649MQ1 2026: $422MQ2 2026: $481M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$481.4M-22%
Q1 2026$421.9M-31%
Q4 2025$649.1M+2.6%
Q3 2025$662.2M+0.4%
Q2 2025$613.6M-5.3%
Q1 2025$611.7M-9.1%
Q4 2024$632.4M-1.7%
Q3 2024$659.7M+2.9%

GFF's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $481M last quarter, down 22% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over GFF on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GFF Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $79MQ4 2023: $132MQ1 2024: $21MQ2 2024: $108MQ3 2024: $52MQ4 2024: $125MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $114MQ3 2025: $62MQ4 2025: $99MQ1 2026: $1MQ2 2026: $94M
Q3 2023: $79MQ4 2023: $132MQ1 2024: $21MQ2 2024: $108MQ3 2024: $52MQ4 2024: $125MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $114MQ3 2025: $62MQ4 2025: $99MQ1 2026: $1MQ2 2026: $94M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$93.5M-18%
Q1 2026$1.3M-52%
Q4 2025$99.3M-21%
Q3 2025$62.4M+21%
Q2 2025$114.4M+6.4%
Q1 2025$2.8M-87%
Q4 2024$125.5M-4.8%
Q3 2024$51.6M-35%

GFF has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

GFF Total Shares

Q3 2023: 55MQ4 2023: 51MQ1 2024: 50MQ2 2024: 49MQ3 2024: 50MQ4 2024: 48MQ1 2025: 47MQ2 2025: 45MQ3 2025: 47MQ4 2025: 46MQ1 2026: 46MQ2 2026: 45M
Q3 2023: 55MQ4 2023: 51MQ1 2024: 50MQ2 2024: 49MQ3 2024: 50MQ4 2024: 48MQ1 2025: 47MQ2 2025: 45MQ3 2025: 47MQ4 2025: 46MQ1 2026: 46MQ2 2026: 45M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-542K shares
1 year-0.4%-172K shares
3 years-17%-9.5M shares
5 years-16%-8.4M shares
Available history+5.3%+2.3M shares

GFF has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

GFF Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 5.3xQ4 2023: 5.3xQ1 2024: 3.5xQ2 2024: 3.4xQ3 2024: 3.2xQ4 2024: 2.9xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 5.6xQ3 2025: 5.3xQ4 2025: 5.1xQ1 2026: 5.6xQ2 2026: 2.5x
Q3 2023: 5.3xQ4 2023: 5.3xQ1 2024: 3.5xQ2 2024: 3.4xQ3 2024: 3.2xQ4 2024: 2.9xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 5.6xQ3 2025: 5.3xQ4 2025: 5.1xQ1 2026: 5.6xQ2 2026: 2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20262.5xModerate
Q1 20265.6xHigh
Q4 20255.1xHigh
Q3 20255.3xHigh
Q2 20255.6xHigh
Q1 20253.1xElevated
Q4 20242.9xModerate
Q3 20243.2xElevated

GFF's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 5.6 years a year ago.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

GFF Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI60.9Neutral
Stochastic70.1Neutral

GFF's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 70 (neutral).

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

GFF PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricGFFSector medianRelative
PE26x24x8.6% above
PE %755817 pts above

GFF is trading at 26x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GFF Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$97.57.6% above
20 week MA$96.68.5% above
50 week MA$88.519% above
100 week MA$80.930% above
200 week MA$67.356% above

GFF has the edge over RKLB on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 104% above its 200-week average.

GFF Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$18.9$18.9+0.1%
2021$18.9$26.9+42%
2022$26.9$36.0+34%
2023$36.0$61.0+69%
2024$61.0$71.9+18%
2025$71.9$75.6+5.2%
2026 YTD$75.6$104.8+39%

GFF has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.

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