GFF

Griffon Corporation

57
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation25/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

GFF has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW has the edge over GFF overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

GFF Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Strong
Stable
Stable

GFF's profitability is currently strong, and its cash flow and balance sheet are stable, but its revenue is weak.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

GFF PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE114x228x342x456x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE114x228x342x456x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap14x$55.41-47%
Fair17x$69.08-34%
Forward17x$105—
Current26x$105—
Expensive53x$211+101%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GFF's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GFF Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect GFF's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

RDW has the edge over GFF on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

GFF Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+32%$137.88
Downside-18%$85.98

Calculated from the latest close: $104.84 on Nov 12.

GFF trails RDW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GFF, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GFF Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $1.42Q4 2023: $1.36Q1 2024: $3.81Q2 2024: $3.75Q3 2024: $4.23Q4 2024: $4.90Q1 2025: $4.83Q2 2025: $1.34Q3 2025: $1.09Q4 2025: $1.01Q1 2026: $0.22Q2 2026: $4.01Forward: $6.10
Q3 2023: $1.42Q4 2023: $1.36Q1 2024: $3.81Q2 2024: $3.75Q3 2024: $4.23Q4 2024: $4.90Q1 2025: $4.83Q2 2025: $1.34Q3 2025: $1.09Q4 2025: $1.01Q1 2026: $0.22Q2 2026: $4.01Forward: $6.10
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.10+52%
Q2 2026$4.01+199%
Q1 2026$0.22-95%
Q4 2025$1.01-79%
Q3 2025$1.09-74%
Q2 2025$1.34-64%
Q1 2025$4.83+27%
Q4 2024$4.90+260%
Q3 2024$4.23+198%

GFF has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

GFF Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $641MQ4 2023: $643MQ1 2024: $673MQ2 2024: $648MQ3 2024: $660MQ4 2024: $632MQ1 2025: $612MQ2 2025: $614MQ3 2025: $662MQ4 2025: $649MQ1 2026: $422MQ2 2026: $481M
Q3 2023: $641MQ4 2023: $643MQ1 2024: $673MQ2 2024: $648MQ3 2024: $660MQ4 2024: $632MQ1 2025: $612MQ2 2025: $614MQ3 2025: $662MQ4 2025: $649MQ1 2026: $422MQ2 2026: $481M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$481.4M-22%
Q1 2026$421.9M-31%
Q4 2025$649.1M+2.6%
Q3 2025$662.2M+0.4%
Q2 2025$613.6M-5.3%
Q1 2025$611.7M-9.1%
Q4 2024$632.4M-1.7%
Q3 2024$659.7M+2.9%

GFF's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $481M last quarter, down 22% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW has the edge over GFF on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GFF Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $79MQ4 2023: $132MQ1 2024: $21MQ2 2024: $108MQ3 2024: $52MQ4 2024: $125MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $114MQ3 2025: $62MQ4 2025: $99MQ1 2026: $1MQ2 2026: $94M
Q3 2023: $79MQ4 2023: $132MQ1 2024: $21MQ2 2024: $108MQ3 2024: $52MQ4 2024: $125MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $114MQ3 2025: $62MQ4 2025: $99MQ1 2026: $1MQ2 2026: $94M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$93.5M-18%
Q1 2026$1.3M-52%
Q4 2025$99.3M-21%
Q3 2025$62.4M+21%
Q2 2025$114.4M+6.4%
Q1 2025$2.8M-87%
Q4 2024$125.5M-4.8%
Q3 2024$51.6M-35%

GFF has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

GFF Total Shares

Q3 2023: 55MQ4 2023: 51MQ1 2024: 50MQ2 2024: 49MQ3 2024: 50MQ4 2024: 48MQ1 2025: 47MQ2 2025: 45MQ3 2025: 47MQ4 2025: 46MQ1 2026: 46MQ2 2026: 45M
Q3 2023: 55MQ4 2023: 51MQ1 2024: 50MQ2 2024: 49MQ3 2024: 50MQ4 2024: 48MQ1 2025: 47MQ2 2025: 45MQ3 2025: 47MQ4 2025: 46MQ1 2026: 46MQ2 2026: 45M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-542K shares
1 year-0.4%-172K shares
3 years-17%-9.5M shares
5 years-16%-8.4M shares
Available history+5.3%+2.3M shares

GFF has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

GFF Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 5.3xQ4 2023: 5.3xQ1 2024: 3.5xQ2 2024: 3.4xQ3 2024: 3.2xQ4 2024: 2.9xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 5.6xQ3 2025: 5.3xQ4 2025: 5.1xQ1 2026: 5.6xQ2 2026: 2.5x
Q3 2023: 5.3xQ4 2023: 5.3xQ1 2024: 3.5xQ2 2024: 3.4xQ3 2024: 3.2xQ4 2024: 2.9xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 5.6xQ3 2025: 5.3xQ4 2025: 5.1xQ1 2026: 5.6xQ2 2026: 2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20262.5xModerate
Q1 20265.6xHigh
Q4 20255.1xHigh
Q3 20255.3xHigh
Q2 20255.6xHigh
Q1 20253.1xElevated
Q4 20242.9xModerate
Q3 20243.2xElevated

GFF's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 5.6 years a year ago.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

GFF Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI60.9Neutral
Stochastic70.1Neutral

GFF's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 70 (neutral).

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

GFF PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricGFFSector medianRelative
PE26x24x8.6% above
PE %755817 pts above

GFF is trading at 26x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GFF Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$97.57.6% above
20 week MA$96.68.5% above
50 week MA$88.519% above
100 week MA$80.930% above
200 week MA$67.356% above

GFF has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

GFF Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$18.9$18.9+0.1%
2021$18.9$26.9+42%
2022$26.9$36.0+34%
2023$36.0$61.0+69%
2024$61.0$71.9+18%
2025$71.9$75.6+5.2%
2026 YTD$75.6$104.8+39%

GFF has the edge over RDW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2024 to −74% in 2022. It's up 12% so far in 2026.

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