GEVO

Gevo, Inc.

51
Fundamentals43/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential33/ 100

GEVO lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve, though they disagree widely on how much.

GEVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Under pressure
Weak

GEVO's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

GEVO PE Valuation

GEVO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 101x next year's earnings.

GEVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect GEVO to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

GEVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+50%$2.79
Downside-33%$1.24

Calculated from the latest close: $1.86 on Nov 12.

GEVO's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +50% against −33%.

GEVO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.28Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.32Q3 2024: $-0.34Q4 2024: $-0.34Q1 2025: $-0.35Q2 2025: $-0.25Q3 2025: $-0.19Q4 2025: $-0.14Q1 2026: $-0.14Q2 2026: $-0.90Q3 2026: $-0.78Forward: $0.02
Q4 2023: $-0.28Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.32Q3 2024: $-0.34Q4 2024: $-0.34Q1 2025: $-0.35Q2 2025: $-0.25Q3 2025: $-0.19Q4 2025: $-0.14Q1 2026: $-0.14Q2 2026: $-0.90Q3 2026: $-0.78Forward: $0.02
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.02—
Q3 2026-$0.78-$0.59
Q2 2026-$0.90-$0.65
Q1 2026-$0.14+$0.21
Q4 2025-$0.14+$0.20
Q3 2025-$0.19+$0.15
Q2 2025-$0.25+$0.07
Q1 2025-$0.35-$0.06
Q4 2024-$0.34-$0.06

GEVO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.78 per share over the past year, against $2.39 at its worst in early 2020.

GEVO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: $6MQ1 2025: $29MQ2 2025: $43MQ3 2025: $43MQ4 2025: $45MQ1 2026: $43MQ2 2026: $47MQ3 2026: $83M
Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: $6MQ1 2025: $29MQ2 2025: $43MQ3 2025: $43MQ4 2025: $45MQ1 2026: $43MQ2 2026: $47MQ3 2026: $83M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$83M+94%
Q2 2026$46.5M+7.1%
Q1 2026$42.9M+48%
Q4 2025$45.3M+696%
Q3 2025$42.7M+2074%
Q2 2025$43.4M+725%
Q1 2025$29.1M+630%
Q4 2024$5.7M+30%

GEVO's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $83M last quarter, up 94% from the same quarter a year ago.

GEVO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$26MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$21MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$33MQ1 2025: −$30MQ2 2025: −$8MQ3 2025: −$15MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: −$30MQ2 2026: −$21MQ3 2026: $11M
Q4 2023: −$26MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$21MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$33MQ1 2025: −$30MQ2 2025: −$8MQ3 2025: −$15MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: −$30MQ2 2026: −$21MQ3 2026: $11M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$11.2M+$25.8M
Q2 2026-$20.8M-$13M
Q1 2026-$30M-$133K
Q4 2025$8.7M+$42.2M
Q3 2025-$14.6M+$6.2M
Q2 2025-$7.8M+$12.9M
Q1 2025-$29.9M+$3.7M
Q4 2024-$33.5M-$7.8M

GEVO has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$31M over the past year, against −$86M the year before.

GEVO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 239MQ1 2024: 241MQ2 2024: 239MQ3 2024: 239MQ4 2024: 232MQ1 2025: 232MQ2 2025: 237MQ3 2025: 233MQ4 2025: 234MQ1 2026: 237MQ2 2026: 237MQ3 2026: 241M
Q4 2023: 239MQ1 2024: 241MQ2 2024: 239MQ3 2024: 239MQ4 2024: 232MQ1 2025: 232MQ2 2025: 237MQ3 2025: 233MQ4 2025: 234MQ1 2026: 237MQ2 2026: 237MQ3 2026: 241M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.6%+3.8M shares
1 year+3.5%+8.2M shares
3 years+0.6%+1.4M shares
5 years+21%+41.6M shares
Available history+1878%+229M shares

GEVO has 241M diluted shares, up 3.5% from a year ago.

GEVO Net Leverage

Q4 2025: 16.4xQ1 2026: 4.1x
Q4 2025: 16.4xQ1 2026: 4.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 20264.1xHigh
Q4 202516.4xHigh

GEVO's net debt is about 4.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

GEVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.2Neutral
Stochastic49.2Neutral

GEVO's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 49 (neutral).

GEVO PE vs Basic Materials Sector

GEVO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GEVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.3637% above
20 week MA$1.4925% above
50 week MA$1.775.1% above
100 week MA$1.718.8% above
200 week MA$1.4727% above

GEVO is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 27% above its 200-week average.

GEVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.45$3.70+51%
2021$3.70$4.84+31%
2022$4.84$1.79-63%
2023$1.79$1.16-35%
2024$1.16$2.10+81%
2025$2.10$2.07-1.4%
2026 YTD$2.07$1.86-10%

GEVO has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 10% so far in 2026.

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