GENI

Genius Sports Limited

58
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

GENI has the edge over VZ overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

VZ

Verizon Communications Inc.

54
Fundamentals52/ 100
Valuation43/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

VZ has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

GENI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Strong

GENI's revenue and balance sheet are currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

VZ Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Under pressure

VZ's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

GENI PE Valuation

GENI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VZ PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.3x$32.43-30%
Forward9x$46.55—
Fair11x$43.63-6.3%
Current12x$46.55—
Expensive14x$56.75+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VZ's PE is in its fair range at 12x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.0x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

GENI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect GENI's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

VZ Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect VZ's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

GENI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+65%$10.07
Downside-38%$3.76

Calculated from the latest close: $6.10 on Nov 12.

GENI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than VZ, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

VZ Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$54.56
Downside-17%$38.49

Calculated from the latest close: $46.55 on Nov 12.

VZ trails GENI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GENI Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-0.86Q4 2023: $-0.40Q1 2024: $-0.39Q2 2024: $-0.43Q3 2024: $-0.32Q4 2024: $-0.27Q1 2025: $-0.19Q2 2025: $-0.31Q3 2025: $-0.47Q4 2025: $-0.43Q1 2026: $-0.61Q2 2026: $-0.68
Q3 2023: $-0.86Q4 2023: $-0.40Q1 2024: $-0.39Q2 2024: $-0.43Q3 2024: $-0.32Q4 2024: $-0.27Q1 2025: $-0.19Q2 2025: $-0.31Q3 2025: $-0.47Q4 2025: $-0.43Q1 2026: $-0.61Q2 2026: $-0.68
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.68-$0.37
Q1 2026-$0.61-$0.42
Q4 2025-$0.43-$0.16
Q3 2025-$0.47-$0.15
Q2 2025-$0.31+$0.12
Q1 2025-$0.19+$0.20
Q4 2024-$0.27+$0.13
Q3 2024-$0.32+$0.54

GENI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.68 per share over the past year, against $3.94 at its worst in early 2022.

VZ Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.75Q1 2024: $2.67Q2 2024: $2.66Q3 2024: $2.31Q4 2024: $4.14Q1 2025: $4.20Q2 2025: $4.29Q3 2025: $4.68Q4 2025: $4.06Q1 2026: $4.11Q2 2026: $3.85Q3 2026: $3.93Forward: $5.19
Q4 2023: $2.75Q1 2024: $2.67Q2 2024: $2.66Q3 2024: $2.31Q4 2024: $4.14Q1 2025: $4.20Q2 2025: $4.29Q3 2025: $4.68Q4 2025: $4.06Q1 2026: $4.11Q2 2026: $3.85Q3 2026: $3.93Forward: $5.19
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.19+32%
Q3 2026$3.93-16%
Q2 2026$3.85-10%
Q1 2026$4.11-2.1%
Q4 2025$4.06-1.9%
Q3 2025$4.68+103%
Q2 2025$4.29+61%
Q1 2025$4.20+57%
Q4 2024$4.14+51%

VZ has the edge over GENI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

GENI Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $102MQ4 2023: $127MQ1 2024: $120MQ2 2024: $95MQ3 2024: $120MQ4 2024: $176MQ1 2025: $144MQ2 2025: $119MQ3 2025: $166MQ4 2025: $240MQ1 2026: $188MQ2 2026: $196M
Q3 2023: $102MQ4 2023: $127MQ1 2024: $120MQ2 2024: $95MQ3 2024: $120MQ4 2024: $176MQ1 2025: $144MQ2 2025: $119MQ3 2025: $166MQ4 2025: $240MQ1 2026: $188MQ2 2026: $196M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$195.5M+65%
Q1 2026$188M+31%
Q4 2025$240.5M+37%
Q3 2025$166.3M+38%
Q2 2025$118.7M+24%
Q1 2025$144M+20%
Q4 2024$175.5M+38%
Q3 2024$120.2M+18%

GENI has the edge over VZ on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VZ Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $35.1BQ1 2024: $33BQ2 2024: $32.8BQ3 2024: $33.3BQ4 2024: $35.7BQ1 2025: $33.5BQ2 2025: $34.5BQ3 2025: $33.8BQ4 2025: $36.4BQ1 2026: $34.4BQ2 2026: $34.3BQ3 2026: $34.3B
Q4 2023: $35.1BQ1 2024: $33BQ2 2024: $32.8BQ3 2024: $33.3BQ4 2024: $35.7BQ1 2025: $33.5BQ2 2025: $34.5BQ3 2025: $33.8BQ4 2025: $36.4BQ1 2026: $34.4BQ2 2026: $34.3BQ3 2026: $34.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$34.3B+1.5%
Q2 2026$34.3B-0.7%
Q1 2026$34.4B+2.9%
Q4 2025$36.4B+2%
Q3 2025$33.8B+1.5%
Q2 2025$34.5B+5.2%
Q1 2025$33.5B+1.5%
Q4 2024$35.7B+1.6%

VZ's revenue has held roughly level: $34.3B last quarter, up 1.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

GENI Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $307,000Q4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: −$27MQ2 2024: −$3MQ3 2024: −$23MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: −$48MQ2 2025: −$19MQ3 2025: $19MQ4 2025: $70MQ1 2026: −$68MQ2 2026: −$87M
Q3 2023: $307,000Q4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: −$27MQ2 2024: −$3MQ3 2024: −$23MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: −$48MQ2 2025: −$19MQ3 2025: $19MQ4 2025: $70MQ1 2026: −$68MQ2 2026: −$87M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$87M-$67.8M
Q1 2026-$68.2M-$20M
Q4 2025$69.6M-0.4%
Q3 2025$19.1M+$41.8M
Q2 2025-$19.2M-$16.5M
Q1 2025-$48.3M-$21.3M
Q4 2024$69.9M+559%
Q3 2024-$22.7M-7493%

GENI has burned cash in most quarters: −$66M over the past year, against −$20M the year before.

VZ Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $8.7BQ1 2024: $7.1BQ2 2024: $9.5BQ3 2024: $9.9BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: $7.8BQ2 2025: $9BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $9.1BQ1 2026: $8BQ2 2026: $10.4BQ3 2026: $11.5B
Q4 2023: $8.7BQ1 2024: $7.1BQ2 2024: $9.5BQ3 2024: $9.9BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: $7.8BQ2 2025: $9BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $9.1BQ1 2026: $8BQ2 2026: $10.4BQ3 2026: $11.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$11.5B+2.2%
Q2 2026$10.4B+16%
Q1 2026$8B+2.6%
Q4 2025$9.1B-13%
Q3 2025$11.3B+14%
Q2 2025$9B-5.4%
Q1 2025$7.8B+9.9%
Q4 2024$10.4B+20%

VZ has the edge over GENI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GENI Total Shares

Q3 2023: 209MQ4 2023: 227MQ1 2024: 229MQ2 2024: 229MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 230MQ1 2025: 248MQ2 2025: 253MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 260MQ1 2026: 269MQ2 2026: 279M
Q3 2023: 209MQ4 2023: 227MQ1 2024: 229MQ2 2024: 229MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 230MQ1 2025: 248MQ2 2025: 253MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 260MQ1 2026: 269MQ2 2026: 279M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.5%+9.5M shares
1 year+10%+25.7M shares
3 years+34%+70.4M shares
5 years+85%+128M shares
Available history+56%+100M shares

GENI has 279M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

VZ Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.2BQ3 2024: 4.2BQ4 2024: 4.2BQ1 2025: 4.2BQ2 2025: 4.2BQ3 2025: 4.2BQ4 2025: 4.2BQ1 2026: 4.2BQ2 2026: 4.2BQ3 2026: 4.2B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.2BQ3 2024: 4.2BQ4 2024: 4.2BQ1 2025: 4.2BQ2 2025: 4.2BQ3 2025: 4.2BQ4 2025: 4.2BQ1 2026: 4.2BQ2 2026: 4.2BQ3 2026: 4.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-10M shares
1 year-1.7%-72M shares
3 years-1.3%-55M shares
5 years+0.4%+17M shares
Available history+0.5%+21M shares

VZ has the edge over GENI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GENI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -15.2xQ1 2024: -7.5xQ4 2024: -6.3xQ1 2025: -12.5x
Q4 2023: -15.2xQ1 2024: -7.5xQ4 2024: -6.3xQ1 2025: -12.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2025-12.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-6.3xNet Cash
Q1 2024-7.5xNet Cash
Q4 2023-15.2xNet Cash
Q1 20214.3xHigh
Q4 20205.5xHigh
Q3 20209.1xHigh

GENI has more cash than debt.

VZ Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.7xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 3.7xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 3.0xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ1 2026: 3.4xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 3.3x
Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.7xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 3.7xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 3.0xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ1 2026: 3.4xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 3.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.3xElevated
Q2 20263.4xElevated
Q1 20263.4xElevated
Q4 20252.9xModerate
Q3 20252.8xModerate
Q2 20253.0xModerate
Q1 20253.0xElevated
Q4 20243.0xElevated

VZ's net debt is about 3.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.8 years a year ago.

GENI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.6Neutral
Stochastic23.4Neutral

GENI's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).

VZ Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.9Neutral
Stochastic44.6Neutral

VZ's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

GENI PE vs Communication Services Sector

GENI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VZ PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricVZSector medianRelative
PE12x16x28% below
PE %582632 pts above

VZ is trading at 12x earnings, a 28% discount to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

GENI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.282.9% below
20 week MA$6.739.4% below
50 week MA$6.779.9% below
100 week MA$8.6029% below
200 week MA$7.3517% below

GENI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 17% below its 200-week average.

VZ Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$45.13.1% above
20 week MA$46.30.5% above
50 week MA$46.11.1% above
100 week MA$44.25.4% above
200 week MA$41.412% above

VZ has the edge over GENI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GENI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.89$16.6+68%
2021$16.6$7.61-54%
2022$7.61$3.27-57%
2023$3.27$6.18+89%
2024$6.18$8.75+42%
2025$8.75$10.9+24%
2026 YTD$10.9$6.10-44%

GENI is down 44% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.

VZ Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$61.5$58.8-4.4%
2021$58.8$52.7-10%
2022$52.7$38.4-27%
2023$38.4$37.7-1.8%
2024$37.7$39.9+5.9%
2025$39.9$40.5+1.4%
2026 YTD$40.5$46.6+15%

VZ has the edge over GENI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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