GENC

Gencor Industries, Inc.

51
Fundamentals41/ 100
Valuation45/ 100
Upside potential44/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

GENC has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW has the edge over GENC overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

GENC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Under pressure
Strong

GENC's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

GENC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap14x$14.16-20%
Current17x$17.62—
Fair18x$18.30+3.9%
Expensive39x$39.17+122%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GENC's PE is in its fair range at 17x.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GENC Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for GENC to show an outlook.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

GENC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+21%$21.31
Downside-27%$12.86

Calculated from the latest close: $17.62 on Nov 12.

GENC trails RDW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GENC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GENC Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $1.00Q4 2023: $1.06Q1 2024: $1.15Q2 2024: $1.10Q3 2024: $0.99Q4 2024: $0.95Q1 2025: $0.95Q2 2025: $1.04Q3 2025: $1.07Q4 2025: $1.04Q1 2026: $0.88Q2 2026: $1.01
Q3 2023: $1.00Q4 2023: $1.06Q1 2024: $1.15Q2 2024: $1.10Q3 2024: $0.99Q4 2024: $0.95Q1 2025: $0.95Q2 2025: $1.04Q3 2025: $1.07Q4 2025: $1.04Q1 2026: $0.88Q2 2026: $1.01
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$1.01-2.9%
Q1 2026$0.88-7.4%
Q4 2025$1.04+9.5%
Q3 2025$1.07+8.1%
Q2 2025$1.04-5.5%
Q1 2025$0.95-17%
Q4 2024$0.95-10%
Q3 2024$0.99-1%

GENC has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

GENC Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $21MQ4 2023: $26MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $21MQ4 2024: $31MQ1 2025: $38MQ2 2025: $27MQ3 2025: $19MQ4 2025: $24MQ1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: $34M
Q3 2023: $21MQ4 2023: $26MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $21MQ4 2024: $31MQ1 2025: $38MQ2 2025: $27MQ3 2025: $19MQ4 2025: $24MQ1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: $34M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$33.8M+25%
Q1 2026$33.8M-12%
Q4 2025$23.6M-25%
Q3 2025$18.8M-10%
Q2 2025$27M+5.6%
Q1 2025$38.2M-6.1%
Q4 2024$31.4M+21%
Q3 2024$20.9M+0.2%

GENC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2024 peak: $34M last quarter, up 25% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW has the edge over GENC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GENC Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $11MQ4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: −$1MQ3 2024: −$3MQ4 2024: $14MQ1 2025: $12MQ2 2025: −$24MQ3 2025: −$1MQ4 2025: $10MQ1 2026: $7MQ2 2026: −$17M
Q3 2023: $11MQ4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: −$1MQ3 2024: −$3MQ4 2024: $14MQ1 2025: $12MQ2 2025: −$24MQ3 2025: −$1MQ4 2025: $10MQ1 2026: $7MQ2 2026: −$17M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$17.2M+$7.2M
Q1 2026$6.7M-45%
Q4 2025$10.1M-30%
Q3 2025-$1.3M+$2M
Q2 2025-$24.4M-$23M
Q1 2025$12.3M+5.5%
Q4 2024$14.5M+848%
Q3 2024-$3.3M-130%

GENC has the edge over RDW on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

GENC Total Shares

Q3 2023: 15MQ4 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 15MQ3 2024: 15MQ4 2024: 15MQ1 2025: 15MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 15MQ4 2025: 15MQ1 2026: 15MQ2 2026: 15M
Q3 2023: 15MQ4 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 15MQ3 2024: 15MQ4 2024: 15MQ1 2025: 15MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 15MQ4 2025: 15MQ1 2026: 15MQ2 2026: 15M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year0%--
3 years0%--
5 years-0.6%-91K shares
Available history-0.3%-50K shares

GENC has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

GENC Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -1.1xQ4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ4 2024: -2.0xQ1 2025: -2.7xQ2 2025: -1.4xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -2.2xQ1 2026: -3.0xQ2 2026: -1.6x
Q3 2023: -1.1xQ4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ4 2024: -2.0xQ1 2025: -2.7xQ2 2025: -1.4xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -2.2xQ1 2026: -3.0xQ2 2026: -1.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.0xNet Cash
Q3 2024-1.3xNet Cash

GENC has more cash than debt.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

GENC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.6Neutral
Stochastic48.4Neutral

GENC's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 48 (neutral).

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

GENC PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricGENCSector medianRelative
PE17x24x28% below
PE %455813 pts below

GENC is trading at 17x earnings, a 28% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GENC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$17.50.7% above
20 week MA$17.03.6% above
50 week MA$15.514% above
100 week MA$14.918% above
200 week MA$15.812% above

GENC has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

GENC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.8$11.80%
2021$11.8$11.6-1.6%
2022$11.6$10.4-10%
2023$10.4$16.1+55%
2024$16.1$17.4+7.8%
2025$17.4$12.6-28%
2026 YTD$12.6$17.6+40%

GENC has the edge over RDW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2024 to −74% in 2022. It's up 12% so far in 2026.

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