GEG

Great Elm Group, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score GEG yet.

LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 46% and it turned 23% of its revenue into free cash flow. At 46x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 48x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue.

GEG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Weak
Healthy
Strong

GEG's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability is weak.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

GEG PE Valuation

GEG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

GEG Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for GEG to show an outlook.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

GEG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $2.16 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare GEG and LLY's risk to reward.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare GEG and LLY's risk to reward.

GEG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.35Q1 2024: $-0.15Q2 2024: $-0.05Q3 2024: $-0.05Q4 2024: $0.00Q1 2025: $-0.07Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.06Q4 2025: $-0.48Q1 2026: $-0.76Q2 2026: $-1.17Q3 2026: $-1.07
Q4 2023: $0.35Q1 2024: $-0.15Q2 2024: $-0.05Q3 2024: $-0.05Q4 2024: $0.00Q1 2025: $-0.07Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.06Q4 2025: $-0.48Q1 2026: $-0.76Q2 2026: $-1.17Q3 2026: $-1.07
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.07-1883%
Q2 2026-$1.17-408%
Q1 2026-$0.76-$0.69
Q4 2025-$0.48-$0.48
Q3 2025$0.06+$0.11
Q2 2025$0.38+$0.43
Q1 2025-$0.07+$0.08
Q4 2024$0.00-100%

GEG has swung to a loss: it lost $1.07 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over GEG on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

GEG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $9MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $11MQ4 2025: $3MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $11MQ3 2026: $3M
Q4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $9MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $11MQ4 2025: $3MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $11MQ3 2026: $3M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.3M-69%
Q2 2026$10.6M+88%
Q1 2026$3.4M+6.5%
Q4 2025$3M-14%
Q3 2025$10.8M+170%
Q2 2025$5.6M-37%
Q1 2025$3.2M+15%
Q4 2024$3.5M+24%

GEG's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $3M last quarter, down 69% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over GEG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GEG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: −$6MQ4 2024: −$4MQ1 2025: −$1MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $8MQ3 2026: −$11M
Q4 2023: −$14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: −$6MQ4 2024: −$4MQ1 2025: −$1MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $8MQ3 2026: −$11M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$10.6M-378%
Q2 2026$7.9M+265%
Q1 2026$5.8M+$7.2M
Q4 2025-$1.9M+$2.2M
Q3 2025$3.8M+$9.6M
Q2 2025$2.2M-27%
Q1 2025-$1.3M-198%
Q4 2024-$4M+$9.7M

GEG usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$11M, but it generated $1M over the past year.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over GEG on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GEG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 30MQ1 2024: 30MQ2 2024: 30MQ3 2024: 40MQ4 2024: 29MQ1 2025: 27MQ3 2025: 29MQ4 2025: 32MQ1 2026: 31MQ2 2026: 30MQ3 2026: 30M
Q4 2023: 30MQ1 2024: 30MQ2 2024: 30MQ3 2024: 40MQ4 2024: 29MQ1 2025: 27MQ3 2025: 29MQ4 2025: 32MQ1 2026: 31MQ2 2026: 30MQ3 2026: 30M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.8%-554K shares
1 year+2.6%+763K shares
3 years+2.5%+738K shares
5 years+15%+4M shares
Available history+17%+4.3M shares

GEG has 30M diluted shares, up 2.6% from a year ago, despite $7M in buybacks over the past year.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over GEG on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GEG Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2022-15.6xNet Cash
Q1 2022-12.4xNet Cash
Q4 2021-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2021-4.3xNet Cash
Q4 20198.6xHigh

GEG has more cash than debt.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

GEG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.2Neutral
Stochastic22.8Neutral

GEG's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

GEG PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricGEGSector medianRelative
PEN/A26x—

GEG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

GEG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.160% above
20 week MA$2.170.5% below
50 week MA$2.201.8% below
100 week MA$2.170.5% below
200 week MA$2.064.9% above

GEG has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 4.9% above its 200-week average.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over GEG on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GEG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$3.48$2.72-22%
2021$2.72$2.07-24%
2022$2.07$1.99-3.9%
2023$1.99$1.94-2.5%
2024$1.94$1.82-6.2%
2025$1.82$2.44+34%
2026 YTD$2.44$2.16-11%

GEG has finished lower in five of the last six years. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over GEG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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