GECC
Great Elm Capital Corp.
There isn't enough reported data to score GECC yet.
MS
Morgan Stanley
MS's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 16% and earnings per share grew 29%. At 15x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 14x. Analysts expect earnings growth.
GECC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Weak | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
GECC's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability is weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GECC.
MS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.
GECC PE Valuation
GECC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $134 | -29% |
| Fair | 14x | $178 | -5.7% |
| Forward | 14x | $189 | — |
| Current | 15x | $189 | — |
| Expensive | 18x | $223 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.
GECC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong decline | |
| Decline | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect GECC's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening.
MS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
MS has the edge over GECC on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
GECC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.82 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$1.73 | -$1.22 |
| Q2 2026 | -$3.22 | -300% |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.66 | -691% |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.57 | -814% |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.51 | -173% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.61 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.45 | -80% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.36 | -89% |
GECC is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.73 per share over the past year, against $29.27 at its worst in early 2020.
MS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.39 | +6.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.60 | +29% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.37 | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.04 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.21 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.76 | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.84 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.53 | +55% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.95 | +53% |
MS has the edge over GECC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
GECC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2022 | $5.5M | +290% |
| Q2 2022 | $5.5M | +1.1% |
| Q1 2022 | $5.6M | -64% |
| Q4 2021 | $6.4M | +11% |
| Q3 2021 | $1.4M | -76% |
| Q2 2021 | $5.5M | +14% |
| Q1 2021 | $15.6M | +142% |
| Q4 2020 | $5.7M | -18% |
GECC has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 290% for GECC versus up 12% for MS.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2022 | 24% | +246 points |
| Q2 2022 | -82% | -128 points |
| Q1 2022 | -92% | -173 points |
| Q4 2021 | -349% | -182 points |
| Q3 2021 | -222% | -351 points |
| Q2 2021 | 46% | -28 points |
| Q1 2021 | 81% | +602 points |
| Q4 2020 | -168% | -145 points |
GECC's operating margin was 24% last quarter, up 246 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.3B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $21.3B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.6B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $17.9B | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $18.2B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.8B | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.7B | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | +26% |
MS's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $20.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 32% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 34% | +6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 34% | +2.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | +5.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 28% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +2.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 30% | +14 points |
MS's operating margin was 32% last quarter, down 1.2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
GECC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $13.3M | +$38.5M |
| Q2 2026 | $13.2M | +36% |
| Q1 2026 | $23.5M | +$29.4M |
| Q4 2025 | $18.6M | -41% |
| Q3 2025 | -$25.2M | +$29.2M |
| Q2 2025 | $9.7M | +$44M |
| Q1 2025 | -$5.9M | +$19.5M |
| Q4 2024 | $31.4M | +1396% |
GECC has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
MS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$46B | -$42.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.7B | -123% |
| Q1 2026 | -$7.1B | +$16.9B |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.4B | -120% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.3B | +$14B |
| Q2 2025 | $11.8B | +368% |
| Q1 2025 | -$24B | -650% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.8B | +$29.6B |
MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
GECC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -53 shares |
| 1 year | +13% | +1.6M shares |
| 3 years | +83% | +6.3M shares |
| 5 years | +248% | +9.9M shares |
| Available history | +728% | +12.2M shares |
GECC has 14M diluted shares, up 13% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | — |
MS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -3M shares |
| 1 year | -1.5% | -24M shares |
| 3 years | -4.7% | -77M shares |
| 5 years | -14% | -246M shares |
| Available history | -4.5% | -74M shares |
MS has the edge over GECC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
GECC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2021 | 57.8x | High |
| Q2 2021 | 8.0x | High |
| Q1 2021 | 6.3x | High |
GECC's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GECC.
MS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.8x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 7.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 8.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 8.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 8.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 7.9x | High |
MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
GECC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.4 | Oversold |
GECC's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
MS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.7 | Oversold |
MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
GECC PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | GECC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 13x | — |
GECC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 13x | 15% above |
| PE % | 59 | 63 | 4 pts below |
MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
GECC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $4.96 | 5.6% below |
| 20 week MA | $5.35 | 13% below |
| 50 week MA | $5.84 | 20% below |
| 100 week MA | $8.01 | 42% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.87 | 47% below |
GECC is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 47% below its 200-week average.
MS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $186.5 | 1.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $203.3 | 6.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $191.9 | 1.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $164.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $129.3 | 46% above |
MS has the edge over GECC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
GECC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $48.4 | $22.7 | -53% |
| 2021 | $22.7 | $18.7 | -18% |
| 2022 | $18.7 | $8.31 | -55% |
| 2023 | $8.31 | $10.7 | +28% |
| 2024 | $10.7 | $10.6 | -0.8% |
| 2025 | $10.6 | $6.76 | -36% |
| 2026 YTD | $6.76 | $4.68 | -31% |
GECC has finished lower in five of the last six years. It's down 31% so far in 2026.
MS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $51.1 | $68.1 | +33% |
| 2021 | $68.1 | $99.3 | +46% |
| 2022 | $99.3 | $86.1 | -13% |
| 2023 | $86.1 | $93.3 | +8.3% |
| 2024 | $93.3 | $126.8 | +36% |
| 2025 | $126.8 | $181.9 | +43% |
| 2026 YTD | $181.9 | $189.2 | +4% |
MS has the edge over GECC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.