GDYN

Grid Dynamics Holdings, Inc.

53
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

GDYN trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over GDYN overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

GDYN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

GDYN's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

GDYN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE156x313x469x625x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE156x313x469x625x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap51x$5.15-62%
Fair108x$10.78-19%
Current134x$13.38—
Expensive323x$32.35+142%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GDYN's PE is in its fair range at 134x.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT has the edge over GDYN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GDYN Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for GDYN to show an outlook.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

GDYN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$17.42
Downside-28%$9.65

Calculated from the latest close: $13.38 on Nov 12.

GDYN trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GDYN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GDYN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.02Q1 2024: $0.04Q2 2024: $0.00Q3 2024: $0.04Q4 2024: $0.05Q1 2025: $0.13Q2 2025: $0.20Q3 2025: $0.16Q4 2025: $0.11Q1 2026: $0.06Q2 2026: $0.03Q3 2026: $0.10
Q4 2023: $-0.02Q1 2024: $0.04Q2 2024: $0.00Q3 2024: $0.04Q4 2024: $0.05Q1 2025: $0.13Q2 2025: $0.20Q3 2025: $0.16Q4 2025: $0.11Q1 2026: $0.06Q2 2026: $0.03Q3 2026: $0.10
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.10-38%
Q2 2026$0.03-85%
Q1 2026$0.06-54%
Q4 2025$0.11+120%
Q3 2025$0.16+300%
Q2 2025$0.20+$0.20
Q1 2025$0.13+225%
Q4 2024$0.05+$0.07

GDYN's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.10 over the past year, against $0.20 in mid-2025.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over GDYN on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GDYN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $78MQ1 2024: $80MQ2 2024: $83MQ3 2024: $87MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $101MQ3 2025: $104MQ4 2025: $106MQ1 2026: $104MQ2 2026: $108MQ3 2026: $114M
Q4 2023: $78MQ1 2024: $80MQ2 2024: $83MQ3 2024: $87MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $101MQ3 2025: $104MQ4 2025: $106MQ1 2026: $104MQ2 2026: $108MQ3 2026: $114M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$114.3M+9.7%
Q2 2026$108.2M+7%
Q1 2026$104.1M+3.7%
Q4 2025$106.2M+5.9%
Q3 2025$104.2M+19%
Q2 2025$101.1M+22%
Q1 2025$100.4M+26%
Q4 2024$100.3M+28%

GDYN's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $114M last quarter, up 9.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over GDYN on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

GDYN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $43,000Q2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $4MQ2 2026: $3MQ3 2026: $13M
Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $43,000Q2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $4MQ2 2026: $3MQ3 2026: $13M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$13.3M+350%
Q2 2026$2.5M-75%
Q1 2026$4.4M-26%
Q4 2025$6.1M+38%
Q3 2025$2.9M-50%
Q2 2025$10.2M+27%
Q1 2025$6M+13881%
Q4 2024$4.4M-16%

GDYN has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

GDYN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 75MQ1 2024: 76MQ2 2024: 77MQ3 2024: 79MQ4 2024: 80MQ1 2025: 88MQ2 2025: 86MQ3 2025: 86MQ4 2025: 87MQ1 2026: 85MQ2 2026: 83MQ3 2026: 82M
Q4 2023: 75MQ1 2024: 76MQ2 2024: 77MQ3 2024: 79MQ4 2024: 80MQ1 2025: 88MQ2 2025: 86MQ3 2025: 86MQ4 2025: 87MQ1 2026: 85MQ2 2026: 83MQ3 2026: 82M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.4%-1.1M shares
1 year-4.6%-3.9M shares
3 years+5.9%+4.6M shares
5 years+31%+19.3M shares

GDYN has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

GDYN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -76.9xQ1 2024: -49.3xQ2 2024: -52.5xQ3 2024: -29.6xQ4 2024: -27.6xQ1 2025: -18.7xQ2 2025: -17.8xQ3 2025: -18.7xQ4 2025: -19.2xQ1 2026: -19.7xQ2 2026: -16.2xQ3 2026: -10.6x
Q4 2023: -76.9xQ1 2024: -49.3xQ2 2024: -52.5xQ3 2024: -29.6xQ4 2024: -27.6xQ1 2025: -18.7xQ2 2025: -17.8xQ3 2025: -18.7xQ4 2025: -19.2xQ1 2026: -19.7xQ2 2026: -16.2xQ3 2026: -10.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-10.6xNet Cash
Q2 2026-16.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-19.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-19.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-18.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-17.8xNet Cash
Q1 2025-18.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-27.6xNet Cash

GDYN has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

GDYN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI80.6Overbought
Stochastic91.9Overbought

GDYN's weekly RSI is 81 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 92 (overbought).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

GDYN PE vs Technology Sector

MetricGDYNSector medianRelative
PE134x28x380% above
PE %563521 pts above

GDYN is trading at 134x earnings, a 380% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT has the edge over GDYN on valuation relative to its sector.

GDYN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.034% above
20 week MA$8.2662% above
50 week MA$7.6076% above
100 week MA$10.428% above
200 week MA$11.318% above

GDYN has the edge over MSFT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 27% above its 200-week average.

GDYN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.9$12.4+14%
2021$12.4$39.8+220%
2022$39.8$10.6-73%
2023$10.6$13.3+26%
2024$13.3$22.7+70%
2025$22.7$9.28-59%
2026 YTD$9.28$13.4+44%

GDYN has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.

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