GDS
GDS Holdings Limited
GDS's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
NVDA has the edge over GDS overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
GDS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak |
GDS's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are weak.
NVDA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
GDS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 9.8x | $20.05 | — |
| Cheap | 11x | $22.42 | +12% |
| Fair | 21x | $43.89 | +119% |
| Expensive | 52x | $106 | +430% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GDS's PE is 9.8x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
NVDA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 12x | $166 | — |
| Current | 21x | $166 | — |
| Cheap | 44x | $345 | +108% |
| Fair | 65x | $511 | +207% |
| Expensive | 93x | $734 | +342% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NVDA has the edge over GDS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
GDS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
GDS has the edge over NVDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
NVDA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Broad | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.
GDS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2024 | -$3.24 | -$2.14 |
| Q2 2024 | -$3.43 | -$2.40 |
| Q1 2024 | -$3.43 | -$2.27 |
| Q4 2023 | -$3.54 | -$2.30 |
| Q3 2023 | -$1.10 | +$0.27 |
| Q2 2023 | -$1.03 | +$0.33 |
| Q1 2023 | -$1.16 | +$0.14 |
| Q4 2022 | -$1.24 | -$0.16 |
NVDA has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 40% for GDS versus NVDA up 125%.
NVDA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.77 | +74% |
| Q3 2026 | $7.91 | +125% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.53 | +111% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.90 | +67% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.03 | +59% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.51 | +65% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.10 | +81% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.94 | +147% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.54 | +234% |
NVDA's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $7.91 over the past year, up 125% from the year before, and higher year over year for 13 quarters in a row.
GDS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $462.1M | +6.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $505.3M | +24% |
| Q4 2025 | $438.5M | +54% |
| Q3 2025 | $433.3M | +10% |
| Q2 2025 | $435.2M | +2.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $408.7M | +3.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $285.5M | -26% |
| Q3 2024 | $393.1M | +4% |
GDS's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $462M last quarter, up 6.2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 14% | -0.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 27% | +14 points |
| Q4 2025 | 13% | -3.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 13% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | +3.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 13% | +5.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 17% | +132 points |
| Q3 2024 | 12% | +8.4 points |
GDS's operating margin was 14% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
NVDA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $96.2B | +106% |
| Q2 2026 | $81.6B | +85% |
| Q1 2026 | $68.1B | +73% |
| Q4 2025 | $57B | +62% |
| Q3 2025 | $46.7B | +56% |
| Q2 2025 | $44.1B | +69% |
| Q1 2025 | $39.3B | +78% |
| Q4 2024 | $35.1B | +94% |
NVDA has the edge over GDS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 66% | +5.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 66% | +17 points |
| Q1 2026 | 65% | +3.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 63% | +0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 61% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 49% | -16 points |
| Q1 2025 | 61% | -0.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 62% | +4.9 points |
NVDA has the edge over GDS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
GDS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $24.3M | +$78.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$48.4M | -$14M |
| Q4 2025 | -$2M | -100% |
| Q3 2025 | -$102.8M | -$80.8M |
| Q2 2025 | -$54.1M | +$172M |
| Q1 2025 | -$34.4M | +$125.9M |
| Q4 2024 | $625.5M | +$680.8M |
| Q3 2024 | -$22M | +$123.3M |
GDS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$129M over the past year, against $515M the year before.
NVDA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $21.4B | +59% |
| Q2 2026 | $48.6B | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $34.9B | +124% |
| Q4 2025 | $22.1B | +32% |
| Q3 2025 | $13.5B | -0.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $26.2B | +75% |
| Q1 2025 | $15.6B | +38% |
| Q3 2024 | $13.5B | +113% |
NVDA has the edge over GDS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
GDS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.2% | +5.5M shares |
| 1 year | +15% | +34.8M shares |
| 3 years | +41% | +76.1M shares |
| 5 years | +44% | +78.8M shares |
GDS has 259M diluted shares, up 15% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
GDS hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
NVDA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -106M shares |
| 1 year | -1% | -247M shares |
| 3 years | -2.8% | -705M shares |
| 5 years | -4.1% | -1B shares |
| Available history | -1.8% | -435M shares |
NVDA has the edge over GDS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $19.7B |
| Q2 2026 | $19.3B |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B |
| Q4 2025 | $12.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $9.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $14.1B |
| Q1 2025 | $7.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $11B |
NVDA spent $55.3B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 30% from the year before.
GDS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 5.8x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 5.7x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 5.5x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 4.6x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 5.9x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 6.3x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 8.0x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 25.7x | High |
GDS's net debt is about 5.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 5.9 years a year ago.
NVDA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
NVDA has the edge over GDS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
GDS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.0 | Oversold |
GDS's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
NVDA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 33.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.1 | Oversold |
NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).
GDS PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | GDS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.8x | 28x | 65% below |
| PE % | 0 | 35 | 35 pts below |
GDS has the edge over NVDA on valuation relative to its sector.
NVDA PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | NVDA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 28x | 25% below |
| PE % | 0 | 35 | 35 pts below |
NVDA is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
GDS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $25.1 | 20% below |
| 20 week MA | $29.3 | 32% below |
| 50 week MA | $35.6 | 44% below |
| 100 week MA | $33.1 | 39% below |
| 200 week MA | $23.0 | 13% below |
GDS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 13% below its 200-week average.
NVDA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $208.9 | 20% below |
| 20 week MA | $212.0 | 22% below |
| 50 week MA | $199.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $175.1 | 5.1% below |
| 200 week MA | $123.6 | 34% above |
NVDA has the edge over GDS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
GDS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $51.7 | $91.3 | +77% |
| 2021 | $91.3 | $47.1 | -48% |
| 2022 | $47.1 | $19.4 | -59% |
| 2023 | $19.4 | $9.12 | -53% |
| 2024 | $9.12 | $22.3 | +144% |
| 2025 | $22.3 | $35.4 | +59% |
| 2026 YTD | $35.4 | $20.1 | -43% |
GDS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +144% in 2024 to −59% in 2022. It's down 43% so far in 2026.
NVDA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $5.92 | $13.0 | +119% |
| 2021 | $13.0 | $29.6 | +128% |
| 2022 | $29.6 | $15.2 | -49% |
| 2023 | $15.2 | $49.5 | +226% |
| 2024 | $49.5 | $137.0 | +177% |
| 2025 | $137.0 | $190.5 | +39% |
| 2026 YTD | $190.5 | $166.2 | -13% |
NVDA has the edge over GDS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.