GDS

GDS Holdings Limited

53
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

GDS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

INTC

Intel Corporation

65
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

INTC has the edge over GDS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

GDS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Weak
Weak

GDS's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are weak.

INTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

GDS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x53x71x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x53x71x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current9.8x$20.05—
Cheap11x$22.42+12%
Fair21x$43.89+119%
Expensive52x$106+430%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GDS's PE is 9.8x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

INTC PE Valuation

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GDS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect GDS to return to profit, with revenue growing.

INTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for INTC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

GDS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+43%$28.59
Downside-30%$14.11

Calculated from the latest close: $20.05 on Nov 12.

GDS trails INTC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

INTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$107.41
Downside-42%$35.74

Calculated from the latest close: $61.20 on Nov 12.

INTC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GDS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GDS Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.10Q4 2023: $-3.54Q1 2024: $-3.43Q2 2024: $-3.43Q3 2024: $-3.24Q4 2025: $0.52Q1 2026: $1.54Q2 2026: $2.05
Q3 2023: $-1.10Q4 2023: $-3.54Q1 2024: $-3.43Q2 2024: $-3.43Q3 2024: $-3.24Q4 2025: $0.52Q1 2026: $1.54Q2 2026: $2.05
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2024-$3.24-$2.14
Q2 2024-$3.43-$2.40
Q1 2024-$3.43-$2.27
Q4 2023-$3.54-$2.30
Q3 2023-$1.10+$0.27
Q2 2023-$1.03+$0.33
Q1 2023-$1.16+$0.14
Q4 2022-$1.24-$0.16

GDS has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 40% for GDS versus INTC down 24,000%.

INTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.41—
Q3 2026-$2.39-24000%
Q2 2026-$2.09+$2.68
Q1 2026-$0.60+$3.88
Q4 2025-$0.06+$4.32
Q3 2025$0.01+$3.72
Q2 2025-$4.77-2088%
Q1 2025-$4.48-562%
Q4 2024-$4.38-1195%

INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

GDS Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $378MQ4 2023: $384MQ1 2024: $394MQ2 2024: $424MQ3 2024: $393MQ4 2024: $286MQ1 2025: $409MQ2 2025: $435MQ3 2025: $433MQ4 2025: $438MQ1 2026: $505MQ2 2026: $462M
Q3 2023: $378MQ4 2023: $384MQ1 2024: $394MQ2 2024: $424MQ3 2024: $393MQ4 2024: $286MQ1 2025: $409MQ2 2025: $435MQ3 2025: $433MQ4 2025: $438MQ1 2026: $505MQ2 2026: $462M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$462.1M+6.2%
Q1 2026$505.3M+24%
Q4 2025$438.5M+54%
Q3 2025$433.3M+10%
Q2 2025$435.2M+2.6%
Q1 2025$408.7M+3.6%
Q4 2024$285.5M-26%
Q3 2024$393.1M+4%

GDS has the edge over INTC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.5B+21%
Q2 2026$16.1B+25%
Q1 2026$13.6B+7.2%
Q4 2025$13.7B-4.1%
Q3 2025$13.7B+2.8%
Q2 2025$12.9B+0.2%
Q1 2025$12.7B-0.4%
Q4 2024$14.3B-7.4%

INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

GDS Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$145MQ4 2023: −$55MQ1 2024: −$160MQ2 2024: −$226MQ3 2024: −$22MQ4 2024: $625MQ1 2025: −$34MQ2 2025: −$54MQ3 2025: −$103MQ4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: −$48MQ2 2026: $24M
Q3 2023: −$145MQ4 2023: −$55MQ1 2024: −$160MQ2 2024: −$226MQ3 2024: −$22MQ4 2024: $625MQ1 2025: −$34MQ2 2025: −$54MQ3 2025: −$103MQ4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: −$48MQ2 2026: $24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$24.3M+$78.4M
Q1 2026-$48.4M-$14M
Q4 2025-$2M-100%
Q3 2025-$102.8M-$80.8M
Q2 2025-$54.1M+$172M
Q1 2025-$34.4M+$125.9M
Q4 2024$625.5M+$680.8M
Q3 2024-$22M+$123.3M

GDS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$129M over the past year, against $515M the year before.

INTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+774%
Q2 2026$4.5B+$6B
Q1 2026-$2.5B+$1.8B
Q4 2025$800M+$3.5B
Q3 2025$121M+$2.5B
Q2 2025-$1.5B+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$4.4B+$2.8B
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$597M

INTC has the edge over GDS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GDS Total Shares

Q3 2023: 184MQ4 2023: 184MQ1 2024: 184MQ2 2024: 184MQ3 2024: 184MQ1 2025: 225MQ2 2025: 225MQ3 2025: 248MQ4 2025: 194MQ1 2026: 254MQ2 2026: 259M
Q3 2023: 184MQ4 2023: 184MQ1 2024: 184MQ2 2024: 184MQ3 2024: 184MQ1 2025: 225MQ2 2025: 225MQ3 2025: 248MQ4 2025: 194MQ1 2026: 254MQ2 2026: 259M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+5.5M shares
1 year+15%+34.8M shares
3 years+41%+76.1M shares
5 years+44%+78.8M shares

GDS has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4%+203M shares
1 year+17%+776M shares
3 years+25%+1.1B shares
5 years+30%+1.2B shares
Available history+19%+834M shares

INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

GDS Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 9.8xQ4 2023: 26.9xQ1 2024: 29.5xQ2 2024: 27.1xQ3 2024: 25.7xQ4 2024: 8.0xQ1 2025: 6.3xQ2 2025: 5.9xQ3 2025: 4.6xQ4 2025: 5.5xQ1 2026: 5.7xQ2 2026: 5.8x
Q3 2023: 9.8xQ4 2023: 26.9xQ1 2024: 29.5xQ2 2024: 27.1xQ3 2024: 25.7xQ4 2024: 8.0xQ1 2025: 6.3xQ2 2025: 5.9xQ3 2025: 4.6xQ4 2025: 5.5xQ1 2026: 5.7xQ2 2026: 5.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20265.8xHigh
Q1 20265.7xHigh
Q4 20255.5xHigh
Q3 20254.6xHigh
Q2 20255.9xHigh
Q1 20256.3xHigh
Q4 20248.0xHigh
Q3 202425.7xHigh

GDS's net debt is about 5.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 5.9 years a year ago.

INTC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q1 202569.6xHigh
Q3 202423.8xHigh
Q2 20244.3xHigh

INTC has the edge over GDS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

GDS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.5Neutral
Stochastic7.0Oversold

GDS's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

INTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic7.7Oversold

INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

GDS PE vs Technology Sector

MetricGDSSector medianRelative
PE9.8x28x65% below
PE %03535 pts below

GDS is trading at 9.8x earnings, a 65% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.

INTC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricINTCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GDS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$25.120% below
20 week MA$29.332% below
50 week MA$35.644% below
100 week MA$33.139% below
200 week MA$23.013% below

GDS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 13% below its 200-week average.

INTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.431% below
20 week MA$95.336% below
50 week MA$79.323% below
100 week MA$52.118% above
200 week MA$42.544% above

INTC has the edge over GDS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GDS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.7$91.3+77%
2021$91.3$47.1-48%
2022$47.1$19.4-59%
2023$19.4$9.12-53%
2024$9.12$22.3+144%
2025$22.3$35.4+59%
2026 YTD$35.4$20.1-43%

GDS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +144% in 2024 to −59% in 2022. It's down 43% so far in 2026.

INTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.1$47.1-22%
2021$47.1$51.3+9%
2022$51.3$26.1-49%
2023$26.1$50.3+93%
2024$50.3$20.3-60%
2025$20.3$36.2+78%
2026 YTD$36.2$61.2+69%

INTC has the edge over GDS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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