GDOT

Green Dot Corporation

There isn't enough reported data to score GDOT yet.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 16% and earnings per share grew 29%. At 15x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 14x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

GDOT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
N/A
N/A

GDOT's revenue is currently healthy, and its profitability is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GDOT.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

GDOT PE Valuation

GDOT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

GDOT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GDOT, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

MS has the edge over GDOT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

GDOT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $11.54 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare GDOT and MS's risk to reward.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare GDOT and MS's risk to reward.

GDOT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.13Q1 2024: $-0.48Q2 2024: $-1.02Q3 2024: $-1.05Q4 2024: $-0.50Q1 2025: $-0.12Q2 2025: $-0.44Q3 2025: $-0.85Q4 2025: $-1.79Q1 2026: $-1.33Q2 2026: $-0.52Q3 2026: $-0.09Forward: $1.53
Q4 2023: $0.13Q1 2024: $-0.48Q2 2024: $-1.02Q3 2024: $-1.05Q4 2024: $-0.50Q1 2025: $-0.12Q2 2025: $-0.44Q3 2025: $-0.85Q4 2025: $-1.79Q1 2026: $-1.33Q2 2026: $-0.52Q3 2026: $-0.09Forward: $1.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.53—
Q3 2026-$0.09+$0.76
Q2 2026-$0.52-$0.08
Q1 2026-$1.33-$1.21
Q4 2025-$1.79-$1.29
Q3 2025-$0.85+$0.20
Q2 2025-$0.44+$0.58
Q1 2025-$0.12+$0.36
Q4 2024-$0.50-485%

GDOT lost $0.09 per share over the past year, a smaller loss than the year before.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over GDOT on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

GDOT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $366MQ1 2024: $452MQ2 2024: $407MQ3 2024: $410MQ4 2024: $455MQ1 2025: $559MQ2 2025: $504MQ3 2025: $495MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $656MQ2 2026: $596MQ3 2026: $601M
Q4 2023: $366MQ1 2024: $452MQ2 2024: $407MQ3 2024: $410MQ4 2024: $455MQ1 2025: $559MQ2 2025: $504MQ3 2025: $495MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $656MQ2 2026: $596MQ3 2026: $601M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$601.1M+21%
Q2 2026$595.9M+18%
Q1 2026$656.2M+17%
Q4 2025$522.6M+15%
Q3 2025$494.8M+21%
Q2 2025$504.2M+24%
Q1 2025$558.9M+24%
Q4 2024$455M+24%

GDOT has the edge over MS on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $20.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

GDOT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$55MQ1 2024: $75MQ2 2024: $14MQ3 2024: −$37MQ4 2024: −$45MQ1 2025: $89MQ2 2025: $49MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: −$76MQ1 2026: $76MQ2 2026: $80MQ3 2026: −$54M
Q4 2023: −$55MQ1 2024: $75MQ2 2024: $14MQ3 2024: −$37MQ4 2024: −$45MQ1 2025: $89MQ2 2025: $49MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: −$76MQ1 2026: $76MQ2 2026: $80MQ3 2026: −$54M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$54M-1624%
Q2 2026$79.8M+61%
Q1 2026$76M-15%
Q4 2025-$76.3M-$31.2M
Q3 2025$3.5M+$40.5M
Q2 2025$49.5M+241%
Q1 2025$89.3M+20%
Q4 2024-$45.1M+$10.2M

GDOT has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

GDOT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 53MQ1 2024: 53MQ2 2024: 53MQ3 2024: 54MQ4 2024: 54MQ1 2025: 55MQ2 2025: 55MQ3 2025: 55MQ4 2025: 55MQ1 2026: 58MQ2 2026: 57MQ3 2026: 57M
Q4 2023: 53MQ1 2024: 53MQ2 2024: 53MQ3 2024: 54MQ4 2024: 54MQ1 2025: 55MQ2 2025: 55MQ3 2025: 55MQ4 2025: 55MQ1 2026: 58MQ2 2026: 57MQ3 2026: 57M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+227K shares
1 year+2.9%+1.6M shares
3 years+8.8%+4.6M shares
5 years+2.8%+1.6M shares
Available history+7.3%+3.9M shares

GDOT has 57M diluted shares, up 2.9% from a year ago.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over GDOT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GDOT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -7.6xQ1 2024: -24.6xQ2 2024: -73.1xQ3 2024: -64.6xQ4 2024: -25.0xQ1 2025: -15.4xQ2 2025: -15.2xQ3 2025: -13.2xQ4 2025: -17.3xQ1 2026: -12.1xQ2 2026: -13.8xQ3 2026: -10.3x
Q4 2023: -7.6xQ1 2024: -24.6xQ2 2024: -73.1xQ3 2024: -64.6xQ4 2024: -25.0xQ1 2025: -15.4xQ2 2025: -15.2xQ3 2025: -13.2xQ4 2025: -17.3xQ1 2026: -12.1xQ2 2026: -13.8xQ3 2026: -10.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-10.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-13.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-12.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-17.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-13.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-15.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-15.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-25.0xNet Cash

GDOT has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

GDOT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.3Neutral
Stochastic30.6Neutral

GDOT's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

GDOT PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGDOTSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

GDOT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

GDOT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.35.8% below
20 week MA$12.910% below
50 week MA$12.57.8% below
100 week MA$11.40.9% above
200 week MA$12.04% below

GDOT's trend is mixed: it's above one of its five weekly moving averages, and 4% below its 200-week average.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS has the edge over GDOT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GDOT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$23.2$56.1+141%
2021$56.1$35.8-36%
2022$35.8$16.0-55%
2023$16.0$9.90-38%
2024$9.90$10.6+6.8%
2025$10.6$13.1+24%
2026 YTD$13.1$11.5-12%

GDOT's yearly returns have swung widely, from +141% in 2020 to −55% in 2022. It's down 12% so far in 2026.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has the edge over GDOT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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