GDEV

GDEV Inc.

69
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential39/ 100

GDEV offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

PLTR

Palantir Technologies Inc.

90
Fundamentals95/ 100
Valuation88/ 100
Upside potential84/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

PLTR has the edge over GDEV overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

GDEV Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Strong
Strong
Strong

GDEV's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, but its revenue is under pressure.

PLTR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

PLTR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

GDEV PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE44x87x131x175x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE44x87x131x175x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current2x$8.34—
Cheap4.2x$17.31+107%
Fair8.8x$36.22+334%
Expensive12x$51.03+512%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GDEV has the edge over PLTR in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

PLTR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE174x349x523x698x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE174x349x523x698x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward75x$172—
Current120x$172—
Cheap165x$236+37%
Fair251x$359+109%
Expensive452x$646+277%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PLTR's PE is in its cheap range at 120x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 75x next year's earnings.

GDEV Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for GDEV to show an outlook.

PLTR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for PLTR, with profitability improving.

GDEV Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+71%$14.26
Downside-39%$5.06

Calculated from the latest close: $8.34 on Nov 12.

GDEV trails PLTR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

PLTR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+112%$364.26
Downside-21%$136.16

Calculated from the latest close: $171.58 on Nov 12.

PLTR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GDEV, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GDEV Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-3.24Q4 2023: $2.39Q1 2024: $2.52Q2 2024: $2.30Q3 2024: $1.89Q4 2024: $1.20Q1 2025: $2.26Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.88Q4 2025: $3.78Q1 2026: $3.93Q2 2026: $4.11
Q3 2023: $-3.24Q4 2023: $2.39Q1 2024: $2.52Q2 2024: $2.30Q3 2024: $1.89Q4 2024: $1.20Q1 2025: $2.26Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.88Q4 2025: $3.78Q1 2026: $3.93Q2 2026: $4.11
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.11+75%
Q1 2026$3.93+74%
Q4 2025$3.78+215%
Q3 2025$2.88+52%
Q2 2025$2.35+2.2%
Q1 2025$2.26-10%
Q4 2024$1.20-50%
Q3 2024$1.89+$5.13

GDEV earned $4.11 per share over the past year, up 75% from the year before.

PLTR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.09Q1 2024: $0.12Q2 2024: $0.17Q3 2024: $0.20Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $0.23Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.42Q4 2025: $0.63Q1 2026: $0.89Q2 2026: $1.17Q3 2026: $1.43Forward: $2.30
Q4 2023: $0.09Q1 2024: $0.12Q2 2024: $0.17Q3 2024: $0.20Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $0.23Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.42Q4 2025: $0.63Q1 2026: $0.89Q2 2026: $1.17Q3 2026: $1.43Forward: $2.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.30+61%
Q3 2026$1.43+240%
Q2 2026$1.17+290%
Q1 2026$0.89+287%
Q4 2025$0.63+232%
Q3 2025$0.42+110%
Q2 2025$0.30+76%
Q1 2025$0.23+92%
Q4 2024$0.19+111%

PLTR has the edge over GDEV on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GDEV Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $121MQ4 2023: $109MQ1 2024: $107MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $111MQ4 2024: $98MQ1 2025: $97MQ2 2025: $120MQ3 2025: $98MQ4 2025: $90MQ1 2026: $99MQ2 2026: $94M
Q3 2023: $121MQ4 2023: $109MQ1 2024: $107MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $111MQ4 2024: $98MQ1 2025: $97MQ2 2025: $120MQ3 2025: $98MQ4 2025: $90MQ1 2026: $99MQ2 2026: $94M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$93.6M-22%
Q1 2026$99M+2%
Q4 2025$90M-7.7%
Q3 2025$97.6M-12%
Q2 2025$119.9M+13%
Q1 2025$97M-9.3%
Q4 2024$97.5M-11%
Q3 2024$110.7M-8.8%

GDEV's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $94M last quarter, down 22% from the same quarter a year ago.

PLTR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $608MQ1 2024: $634MQ2 2024: $678MQ3 2024: $726MQ4 2024: $828MQ1 2025: $884MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.3B
Q4 2023: $608MQ1 2024: $634MQ2 2024: $678MQ3 2024: $726MQ4 2024: $828MQ1 2025: $884MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.3B+96%
Q2 2026$1.9B+93%
Q1 2026$1.6B+85%
Q4 2025$1.4B+70%
Q3 2025$1.2B+63%
Q2 2025$1B+48%
Q1 2025$883.9M+39%
Q4 2024$827.5M+36%

PLTR has the edge over GDEV on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GDEV Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $8MQ4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $363,000Q2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $12MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: −$10MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $20MQ1 2026: $7MQ2 2026: $7M
Q3 2023: $8MQ4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $363,000Q2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $12MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: −$10MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $20MQ1 2026: $7MQ2 2026: $7M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$7.4M+$17.3M
Q1 2026$7.4M+16%
Q4 2025$20.3M+319%
Q3 2025$15.1M+28%
Q2 2025-$9.9M-186%
Q1 2025$6.4M+1654%
Q4 2024$4.8M-50%
Q3 2024$11.8M+46%

GDEV still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $50M over the past year.

PLTR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $296MQ1 2024: $127MQ2 2024: $141MQ3 2024: $416MQ4 2024: $457MQ1 2025: $304MQ2 2025: $532MQ3 2025: $501MQ4 2025: $764MQ1 2026: $892MQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $296MQ1 2024: $127MQ2 2024: $141MQ3 2024: $416MQ4 2024: $457MQ1 2025: $304MQ2 2025: $532MQ3 2025: $501MQ4 2025: $764MQ1 2026: $892MQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+139%
Q2 2026$1.2B+126%
Q1 2026$891.8M+193%
Q4 2025$764M+67%
Q3 2025$500.9M+20%
Q2 2025$531.6M+276%
Q1 2025$304.1M+140%
Q4 2024$457.2M+54%

PLTR has the edge over GDEV on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GDEV Total Shares

Q3 2023: 20MQ4 2023: 20MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 18MQ3 2024: 19MQ4 2024: 18MQ1 2025: 18MQ2 2025: 19MQ3 2025: 18MQ4 2025: 18MQ1 2026: 18MQ2 2026: 18M
Q3 2023: 20MQ4 2023: 20MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 18MQ3 2024: 19MQ4 2024: 18MQ1 2025: 18MQ2 2025: 19MQ3 2025: 18MQ4 2025: 18MQ1 2026: 18MQ2 2026: 18M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.9%+343K shares
1 year-0.3%-47.8K shares
3 years-2.3%-433K shares
5 years-6%-1.2M shares
Available history-6%-1.2M shares

GDEV has the edge over PLTR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PLTR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.3BQ1 2024: 2.4BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.5BQ4 2024: 2.5BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
Q4 2023: 2.3BQ1 2024: 2.4BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.5BQ4 2024: 2.5BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+5.2M shares
1 year+0.1%+2.9M shares
3 years+11%+248M shares
5 years+31%+610M shares
Available history+184%+1.7B shares

PLTR has 2.6B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

GDEV Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -1.9xQ4 2023: -1.6xQ1 2024: -1.3xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -2.0xQ4 2024: -2.3xQ1 2025: -1.0xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: -0.8xQ1 2026: 0.0xQ2 2026: -0.9x
Q3 2023: -1.9xQ4 2023: -1.6xQ1 2024: -1.3xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -2.0xQ4 2024: -2.3xQ1 2025: -1.0xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: -0.8xQ1 2026: 0.0xQ2 2026: -0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 20260.0xVery low
Q4 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.3xNet Cash
Q3 2024-2.0xNet Cash

GDEV has more cash than debt.

PLTR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -5.4xQ1 2024: -2.3xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.9xQ4 2024: -6.1xQ1 2025: -2.3xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -5.4xQ1 2024: -2.3xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.9xQ4 2024: -6.1xQ1 2025: -2.3xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-6.1xNet Cash

PLTR has the edge over GDEV on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

GDEV Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.5Neutral
Stochastic2.5Oversold

GDEV's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 3 (oversold).

PLTR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.4Neutral
Stochastic47.4Neutral

PLTR's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 47 (neutral).

GDEV PE vs Technology Sector

MetricGDEVSector medianRelative
PE2x28x93% below
PE %03838 pts below

GDEV has the edge over PLTR on valuation relative to its sector.

PLTR PE vs Technology Sector

MetricPLTRSector medianRelative
PE120x28x331% above
PE %13837 pts below

PLTR is trading at 120x earnings, a 331% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

GDEV Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.9516% below
20 week MA$11.125% below
50 week MA$13.739% below
100 week MA$15.647% below
200 week MA$26.569% below

GDEV is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 69% below its 200-week average.

PLTR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$185.87.6% below
20 week MA$167.62.4% above
50 week MA$157.19.2% above
100 week MA$143.819% above
200 week MA$83.3106% above

PLTR has the edge over GDEV on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GDEV Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$97.0$101.3+4.4%
2021$101.3$80.1-21%
2022$80.1$63.8-20%
2023$63.8$22.1-65%
2024$22.1$19.1-14%
2025$19.1$16.0-16%
2026 YTD$16.0$8.34-48%

GDEV has finished five years in a row lower, and it's down 48% so far in 2026.

PLTR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.20$27.8+202%
2021$27.8$18.9-32%
2022$18.9$6.29-67%
2023$6.29$17.2+173%
2024$17.2$79.1+361%
2025$79.1$188.7+139%
2026 YTD$188.7$171.6-9.1%

PLTR has the edge over GDEV on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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