GDEV
GDEV Inc.
GDEV offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over GDEV overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.
GDEV Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
GDEV's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, but its revenue is under pressure.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
GDEV PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 2x | $8.34 | — |
| Cheap | 4.2x | $17.31 | +107% |
| Fair | 8.8x | $36.22 | +334% |
| Expensive | 12x | $51.03 | +512% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GDEV has the edge over MSFT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.
GDEV Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for GDEV to show an outlook.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
GDEV Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.11 | +75% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.93 | +74% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.78 | +215% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.88 | +52% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.35 | +2.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.26 | -10% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.20 | -50% |
| Q3 2024 | $1.89 | +$5.13 |
GDEV earned $4.11 per share over the past year, up 75% from the year before.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over GDEV on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
GDEV Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $93.6M | -22% |
| Q1 2026 | $99M | +2% |
| Q4 2025 | $90M | -7.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $97.6M | -12% |
| Q2 2025 | $119.9M | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $97M | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $97.5M | -11% |
| Q3 2024 | $110.7M | -8.8% |
GDEV's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $94M last quarter, down 22% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 22% | +6.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | +4.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 14% | +1.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 26% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | 16% | +1.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 14% | +14 points |
| Q4 2024 | 13% | +5.3 points |
| Q3 2024 | 13% | -11 points |
GDEV's operating margin was 22% last quarter, up 6.2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over GDEV on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over GDEV on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
GDEV Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $7.4M | +$17.3M |
| Q1 2026 | $7.4M | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $20.3M | +319% |
| Q3 2025 | $15.1M | +28% |
| Q2 2025 | -$9.9M | -186% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.4M | +1654% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.8M | -50% |
| Q3 2024 | $11.8M | +46% |
GDEV has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
GDEV Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.9% | +343K shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -47.8K shares |
| 3 years | -2.3% | -433K shares |
| 5 years | -6% | -1.2M shares |
| Available history | -6% | -1.2M shares |
GDEV has 18M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
GDEV hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
GDEV Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -2.3x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
GDEV has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
GDEV Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 2.5 | Oversold |
GDEV's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 3 (oversold).
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
GDEV PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | GDEV | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 2x | 28x | 93% below |
| PE % | 0 | 38 | 38 pts below |
GDEV has the edge over MSFT on valuation relative to its sector.
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
GDEV Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.95 | 16% below |
| 20 week MA | $11.1 | 25% below |
| 50 week MA | $13.7 | 39% below |
| 100 week MA | $15.6 | 47% below |
| 200 week MA | $26.5 | 69% below |
GDEV is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 69% below its 200-week average.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT has the edge over GDEV on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
GDEV Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $97.0 | $101.3 | +4.4% |
| 2021 | $101.3 | $80.1 | -21% |
| 2022 | $80.1 | $63.8 | -20% |
| 2023 | $63.8 | $22.1 | -65% |
| 2024 | $22.1 | $19.1 | -14% |
| 2025 | $19.1 | $16.0 | -16% |
| 2026 YTD | $16.0 | $8.34 | -48% |
GDEV has finished five years in a row lower, and it's down 48% so far in 2026.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has the edge over GDEV on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.