GCTS

GCT Semiconductor Holding, Inc.

55
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

GCTS trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over GCTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

GCTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

GCTS's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

GCTS PE Valuation

GCTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

GCTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses steady
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect GCTS's revenue to grow, with its earnings and profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

GCTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+108%$3.21
Downside-52%$0.74

Calculated from the latest close: $1.54 on Nov 12.

GCTS trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GCTS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GCTS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2024: $-0.30Q1 2025: $-0.48Q2 2025: $-0.72Q3 2025: $-0.81Q4 2025: $-0.82Q1 2026: $-0.82Q2 2026: $-0.81Q3 2026: $-0.64
Q4 2024: $-0.30Q1 2025: $-0.48Q2 2025: $-0.72Q3 2025: $-0.81Q4 2025: $-0.82Q1 2026: $-0.82Q2 2026: $-0.81Q3 2026: $-0.64
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.64+$0.17
Q2 2026-$0.81-$0.09
Q1 2026-$0.82-$0.34
Q4 2025-$0.82-$0.52

GCTS lost $0.64 per share over the past year, a smaller loss than the year before.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over GCTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

GCTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $1MQ3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $496,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $430,000Q4 2025: $758,000Q1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $971,000Q3 2026: $1M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $1MQ3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $496,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $430,000Q4 2025: $758,000Q1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $971,000Q3 2026: $1M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.1M+149%
Q2 2026$971K-18%
Q1 2026$1.9M+287%
Q4 2025$758K-58%
Q3 2025$430K-84%
Q2 2025$1.2M-19%
Q1 2025$496K-85%

GCTS's revenue is recovering but still below its 2024 peak: $1M last quarter, up 149% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over GCTS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GCTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: −$5MQ4 2024: −$3MQ1 2025: −$8MQ2 2025: −$9MQ3 2025: −$8MQ4 2025: −$8MQ1 2026: −$7MQ2 2026: −$17MQ3 2026: −$10M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: −$5MQ4 2024: −$3MQ1 2025: −$8MQ2 2025: −$9MQ3 2025: −$8MQ4 2025: −$8MQ1 2026: −$7MQ2 2026: −$17MQ3 2026: −$10M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$10.3M-$2.5M
Q2 2026-$16.9M-$8.1M
Q1 2026-$7.5M+$575K
Q4 2025-$8.5M-$5.9M
Q3 2025-$7.8M-$3.1M

GCTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$43M over the past year, against −$27M the year before.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT has the edge over GCTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GCTS Total Shares

Q1 2024: 26MQ2 2024: 44MQ3 2024: 46MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 48MQ2 2025: 52MQ3 2025: 55MQ1 2026: 66MQ2 2026: 83MQ3 2026: 92M
Q1 2024: 26MQ2 2024: 44MQ3 2024: 46MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 48MQ2 2025: 52MQ3 2025: 55MQ1 2026: 66MQ2 2026: 83MQ3 2026: 92M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+11%+9.3M shares
1 year+78%+40.2M shares

GCTS has 92M diluted shares, up 78% from a year ago.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over GCTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GCTS Net Leverage

GCTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

GCTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.6Neutral
Stochastic15.3Oversold

GCTS's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

GCTS PE vs Technology Sector

GCTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

GCTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.656.7% below
20 week MA$1.9220% below
50 week MA$1.7311% below
100 week MA$1.688.3% below
200 week MA$4.9869% below

GCTS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 69% below its 200-week average.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over GCTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GCTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2022$9.90$10.2+2.8%
2023$10.2$10.6+3.7%
2024$10.6$2.35-78%
2025$2.35$1.22-48%
2026 YTD$1.22$1.54+26%

GCTS has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.

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