GBX

The Greenbrier Companies, Inc.

31
Fundamentals17/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential20/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

GBX trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB has the edge over GBX overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

GBX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Stable
Weak
Weak

GBX's profitability is currently stable, but its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are weak.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

GBX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1216x2432x3647x4863x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1216x2432x3647x4863x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.6x$23.84-43%
Forward13x$41.91—
Fair15x$36.86-12%
Current17x$41.91—
Expensive40x$99.65+138%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GBX's PE is in its fair range at 17x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GBX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GBX, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RKLB has the edge over GBX on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

GBX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+13%$47.55
Downside-55%$19.04

Calculated from the latest close: $41.91 on Nov 12.

GBX trails RKLB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GBX, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GBX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.36Q1 2024: $3.42Q2 2024: $3.84Q3 2024: $4.96Q4 2024: $5.72Q1 2025: $6.25Q2 2025: $7.05Q3 2025: $6.35Q4 2025: $5.77Q1 2026: $4.68Q2 2026: $3.42Q3 2026: $2.49Forward: $3.20
Q4 2023: $3.36Q1 2024: $3.42Q2 2024: $3.84Q3 2024: $4.96Q4 2024: $5.72Q1 2025: $6.25Q2 2025: $7.05Q3 2025: $6.35Q4 2025: $5.77Q1 2026: $4.68Q2 2026: $3.42Q3 2026: $2.49Forward: $3.20
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.20+29%
Q3 2026$2.49-61%
Q2 2026$3.42-51%
Q1 2026$4.68-25%
Q4 2025$5.77+0.9%
Q3 2025$6.35+28%
Q2 2025$7.05+84%
Q1 2025$6.25+83%
Q4 2024$5.72+70%

GBX has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

GBX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $809MQ1 2024: $863MQ2 2024: $820MQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $876MQ1 2025: $762MQ2 2025: $843MQ3 2025: $760MQ4 2025: $706MQ1 2026: $588MQ2 2026: $577MQ3 2026: $591M
Q4 2023: $809MQ1 2024: $863MQ2 2024: $820MQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $876MQ1 2025: $762MQ2 2025: $843MQ3 2025: $760MQ4 2025: $706MQ1 2026: $588MQ2 2026: $577MQ3 2026: $591M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$591M-22%
Q2 2026$576.5M-32%
Q1 2026$587.5M-23%
Q4 2025$706.1M-19%
Q3 2025$759.5M-28%
Q2 2025$842.7M+2.7%
Q1 2025$762.1M-12%
Q4 2024$875.9M+8.3%

GBX's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $591M last quarter, down 22% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over GBX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GBX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$113MQ1 2024: −$23MQ2 2024: −$50MQ3 2024: $118MQ4 2024: −$124MQ1 2025: $26MQ2 2025: $57MQ3 2025: $27MQ4 2025: $19MQ1 2026: $129MQ2 2026: −$286MQ3 2026: −$101M
Q4 2023: −$113MQ1 2024: −$23MQ2 2024: −$50MQ3 2024: $118MQ4 2024: −$124MQ1 2025: $26MQ2 2025: $57MQ3 2025: $27MQ4 2025: $19MQ1 2026: $129MQ2 2026: −$286MQ3 2026: −$101M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$100.6M-477%
Q2 2026-$286.4M-607%
Q1 2026$128.6M+389%
Q4 2025$18.7M+$142.9M
Q3 2025$26.7M-77%
Q2 2025$56.5M+$106.7M
Q1 2025$26.3M+$49.4M
Q4 2024-$124.2M-$11.2M

GBX has the edge over RKLB on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

GBX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 33MQ2 2024: 32MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 32MQ4 2025: 32MQ1 2026: 32MQ2 2026: 32MQ3 2026: 32M
Q4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 33MQ2 2024: 32MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 32MQ4 2025: 32MQ1 2026: 32MQ2 2026: 32MQ3 2026: 32M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+27K shares
1 year-1.1%-367K shares
3 years-6%-2M shares
5 years-5.6%-1.9M shares
Available history-4.5%-1.5M shares

GBX has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

GBX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.2xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 3.0xQ4 2025: 3.2xQ1 2026: 3.3xQ2 2026: 4.8xQ3 2026: 5.9x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.2xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 3.0xQ4 2025: 3.2xQ1 2026: 3.3xQ2 2026: 4.8xQ3 2026: 5.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.9xHigh
Q2 20264.8xHigh
Q1 20263.3xElevated
Q4 20253.2xElevated
Q3 20253.0xElevated
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.2xVery low
Q4 20240.3xVery low

GBX's net debt is about 5.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.0 years a year ago.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

GBX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.5Neutral
Stochastic34.6Neutral

GBX's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 35 (neutral).

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

GBX PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricGBXSector medianRelative
PE17x24x30% below
PE %5858Same percentile

GBX is trading at 17x earnings, a 30% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GBX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$40.24.4% above
20 week MA$44.04.8% below
50 week MA$47.812% below
100 week MA$48.914% below
200 week MA$46.49.7% below

GBX has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 9.7% below its 200-week average.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB has the edge over GBX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GBX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.6$37.3+14%
2021$37.3$44.7+20%
2022$44.7$34.6-22%
2023$34.6$44.2+28%
2024$44.2$62.0+40%
2025$62.0$46.9-24%
2026 YTD$46.9$41.9-11%

GBX has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB has the edge over GBX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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