GBX

The Greenbrier Companies, Inc.

31
Fundamentals17/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential20/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

GBX trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW has the edge over GBX overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

GBX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Stable
Weak
Weak

GBX's profitability is currently stable, but its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are weak.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

GBX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1216x2432x3647x4863x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1216x2432x3647x4863x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.6x$23.84-43%
Forward13x$41.91—
Fair15x$36.86-12%
Current17x$41.91—
Expensive40x$99.65+138%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GBX's PE is in its fair range at 17x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GBX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GBX, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

RDW has the edge over GBX on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

GBX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+13%$47.55
Downside-55%$19.04

Calculated from the latest close: $41.91 on Nov 12.

GBX trails RDW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GBX, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GBX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.36Q1 2024: $3.42Q2 2024: $3.84Q3 2024: $4.96Q4 2024: $5.72Q1 2025: $6.25Q2 2025: $7.05Q3 2025: $6.35Q4 2025: $5.77Q1 2026: $4.68Q2 2026: $3.42Q3 2026: $2.49Forward: $3.20
Q4 2023: $3.36Q1 2024: $3.42Q2 2024: $3.84Q3 2024: $4.96Q4 2024: $5.72Q1 2025: $6.25Q2 2025: $7.05Q3 2025: $6.35Q4 2025: $5.77Q1 2026: $4.68Q2 2026: $3.42Q3 2026: $2.49Forward: $3.20
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.20+29%
Q3 2026$2.49-61%
Q2 2026$3.42-51%
Q1 2026$4.68-25%
Q4 2025$5.77+0.9%
Q3 2025$6.35+28%
Q2 2025$7.05+84%
Q1 2025$6.25+83%
Q4 2024$5.72+70%

GBX has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

GBX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $809MQ1 2024: $863MQ2 2024: $820MQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $876MQ1 2025: $762MQ2 2025: $843MQ3 2025: $760MQ4 2025: $706MQ1 2026: $588MQ2 2026: $577MQ3 2026: $591M
Q4 2023: $809MQ1 2024: $863MQ2 2024: $820MQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $876MQ1 2025: $762MQ2 2025: $843MQ3 2025: $760MQ4 2025: $706MQ1 2026: $588MQ2 2026: $577MQ3 2026: $591M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$591M-22%
Q2 2026$576.5M-32%
Q1 2026$587.5M-23%
Q4 2025$706.1M-19%
Q3 2025$759.5M-28%
Q2 2025$842.7M+2.7%
Q1 2025$762.1M-12%
Q4 2024$875.9M+8.3%

GBX's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $591M last quarter, down 22% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW has the edge over GBX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GBX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$113MQ1 2024: −$23MQ2 2024: −$50MQ3 2024: $118MQ4 2024: −$124MQ1 2025: $26MQ2 2025: $57MQ3 2025: $27MQ4 2025: $19MQ1 2026: $129MQ2 2026: −$286MQ3 2026: −$101M
Q4 2023: −$113MQ1 2024: −$23MQ2 2024: −$50MQ3 2024: $118MQ4 2024: −$124MQ1 2025: $26MQ2 2025: $57MQ3 2025: $27MQ4 2025: $19MQ1 2026: $129MQ2 2026: −$286MQ3 2026: −$101M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$100.6M-477%
Q2 2026-$286.4M-607%
Q1 2026$128.6M+389%
Q4 2025$18.7M+$142.9M
Q3 2025$26.7M-77%
Q2 2025$56.5M+$106.7M
Q1 2025$26.3M+$49.4M
Q4 2024-$124.2M-$11.2M

GBX has the edge over RDW on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

GBX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 33MQ2 2024: 32MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 32MQ4 2025: 32MQ1 2026: 32MQ2 2026: 32MQ3 2026: 32M
Q4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 33MQ2 2024: 32MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 32MQ4 2025: 32MQ1 2026: 32MQ2 2026: 32MQ3 2026: 32M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+27K shares
1 year-1.1%-367K shares
3 years-6%-2M shares
5 years-5.6%-1.9M shares
Available history-4.5%-1.5M shares

GBX has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

GBX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.2xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 3.0xQ4 2025: 3.2xQ1 2026: 3.3xQ2 2026: 4.8xQ3 2026: 5.9x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.2xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 3.0xQ4 2025: 3.2xQ1 2026: 3.3xQ2 2026: 4.8xQ3 2026: 5.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.9xHigh
Q2 20264.8xHigh
Q1 20263.3xElevated
Q4 20253.2xElevated
Q3 20253.0xElevated
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.2xVery low
Q4 20240.3xVery low

GBX's net debt is about 5.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.0 years a year ago.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

GBX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.5Neutral
Stochastic34.6Neutral

GBX's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 35 (neutral).

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

GBX PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricGBXSector medianRelative
PE17x24x30% below
PE %5858Same percentile

GBX is trading at 17x earnings, a 30% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GBX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$40.24.4% above
20 week MA$44.04.8% below
50 week MA$47.812% below
100 week MA$48.914% below
200 week MA$46.49.7% below

GBX has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

GBX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.6$37.3+14%
2021$37.3$44.7+20%
2022$44.7$34.6-22%
2023$34.6$44.2+28%
2024$44.2$62.0+40%
2025$62.0$46.9-24%
2026 YTD$46.9$41.9-11%

GBX has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW has the edge over GBX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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