GBLI

Global Indemnity Group, LLC

54
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

GBLI has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over GBLI overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

GBLI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

GBLI's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GBLI.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

GBLI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x42x63x84x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x42x63x84x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$22.15—
Cheap12x$25.56+15%
Fair15x$31.97+44%
Expensive47x$100+352%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GBLI has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

GBLI Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for GBLI to show an outlook.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

GBLI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$25.63
Downside-13%$19.28

Calculated from the latest close: $22.15 on Nov 12.

GBLI trails GS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GBLI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GBLI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.83Q1 2024: $2.48Q2 2024: $2.54Q3 2024: $2.91Q4 2024: $3.12Q1 2025: $2.00Q2 2025: $1.98Q3 2025: $1.92Q4 2025: $1.75Q1 2026: $2.34Q2 2026: $2.39Q3 2026: $2.14
Q4 2023: $1.83Q1 2024: $2.48Q2 2024: $2.54Q3 2024: $2.91Q4 2024: $3.12Q1 2025: $2.00Q2 2025: $1.98Q3 2025: $1.92Q4 2025: $1.75Q1 2026: $2.34Q2 2026: $2.39Q3 2026: $2.14
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$2.14+11%
Q2 2026$2.39+21%
Q1 2026$2.34+17%
Q4 2025$1.75-44%
Q3 2025$1.92-34%
Q2 2025$1.98-22%
Q1 2025$2.00-19%
Q4 2024$3.12+70%

GBLI's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.14 over the past year, against $4.88 in late 2019.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over GBLI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GBLI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $109MQ1 2024: $112MQ2 2024: $109MQ3 2024: $112MQ4 2024: $108MQ1 2025: $109MQ2 2025: $111MQ3 2025: $114MQ4 2025: $117MQ1 2026: $109MQ2 2026: $116MQ3 2026: $113M
Q4 2023: $109MQ1 2024: $112MQ2 2024: $109MQ3 2024: $112MQ4 2024: $108MQ1 2025: $109MQ2 2025: $111MQ3 2025: $114MQ4 2025: $117MQ1 2026: $109MQ2 2026: $116MQ3 2026: $113M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.9M-1.1%
Q2 2026$116.1M+5.1%
Q1 2026$109.2M+0.5%
Q4 2025$116.7M+7.6%
Q3 2025$114.2M+2.2%
Q2 2025$110.5M+1.7%
Q1 2025$108.7M-3.2%
Q4 2024$108.4M-0.7%

GBLI's revenue fell from its 2022 peak and has held roughly level since: $113M last quarter, down 1.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS has the edge over GBLI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GBLI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $23MQ2 2024: $14MQ3 2024: $15MQ4 2024: −$13MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $7MQ3 2025: $6MQ4 2025: −$6MQ1 2026: −$18MQ2 2026: −$16MQ3 2026: $12M
Q4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $23MQ2 2024: $14MQ3 2024: $15MQ4 2024: −$13MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $7MQ3 2025: $6MQ4 2025: −$6MQ1 2026: −$18MQ2 2026: −$16MQ3 2026: $12M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$12.1M+112%
Q2 2026-$15.8M-326%
Q1 2026-$17.9M-845%
Q4 2025-$6M+$7.4M
Q3 2025$5.7M-63%
Q2 2025$7M-51%
Q1 2025$2.4M-89%
Q4 2024-$13.4M-319%

GBLI's free cash flow was −$28M over the past year, against $2M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GBLI.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS has the edge over GBLI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GBLI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 14MQ1 2024: 14MQ2 2024: 14MQ3 2024: 14MQ4 2024: 14MQ1 2025: 14MQ2 2025: 14MQ3 2025: 14MQ4 2025: 14MQ1 2026: 14MQ2 2026: 14MQ3 2026: 14M
Q4 2023: 14MQ1 2024: 14MQ2 2024: 14MQ3 2024: 14MQ4 2024: 14MQ1 2025: 14MQ2 2025: 14MQ3 2025: 14MQ4 2025: 14MQ1 2026: 14MQ2 2026: 14MQ3 2026: 14M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+32.8K shares
1 year+0.7%+101K shares
3 years+4.7%+644K shares
5 years+0.1%+13.2K shares
Available history+0.9%+124K shares

GBLI has 14M diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over GBLI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GBLI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.0xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -2.0xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.8xQ4 2025: -1.7xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -3.7x
Q4 2023: -1.0xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -2.0xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.8xQ4 2025: -1.7xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -3.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-3.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.3xNet Cash

GBLI has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GBLI.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over GBLI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

GBLI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.5Neutral
Stochastic27.2Neutral

GBLI's weekly RSI is 32 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

GBLI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGBLISector medianRelative
PE10x13x21% below
PE %76356 pts below

GBLI has the edge over GS on valuation relative to its sector.

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

GBLI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$23.86.9% below
20 week MA$26.115% below
50 week MA$27.118% below
100 week MA$29.425% below
200 week MA$30.628% below

GBLI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 28% below its 200-week average.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS has the edge over GBLI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GBLI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.0$27.9-4%
2021$27.9$25.1-10%
2022$25.1$23.6-5.8%
2023$23.6$32.2+37%
2024$32.2$35.7+11%
2025$35.7$27.9-22%
2026 YTD$27.9$22.2-21%

GBLI has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 21% so far in 2026.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has the edge over GBLI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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