GBFH

GBank Financial Holdings Inc.

41
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation60/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

GBFH offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS has the edge over GBFH overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

GBFH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Strong
N/A
N/A

GBFH's profitability is currently strong. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GBFH.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

GBFH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.9x20x30x39x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.9x20x30x39x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward8.1x$15.05—
Current12x$15.05—
Cheap13x$16.21+7.7%
Fair15x$19.52+30%
Expensive24x$30.59+103%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GBFH has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

GBFH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Stable
Stable
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect GBFH's profitability to weaken, with its earnings and revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

MS has the edge over GBFH on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

GBFH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+27%$19.11
Downside-23%$11.54

Calculated from the latest close: $15.05 on Nov 12.

GBFH trails MS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

MS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GBFH, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GBFH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2025: $1.44Q1 2026: $1.22Q2 2026: $1.27Forward: $1.87
Q4 2025: $1.44Q1 2026: $1.22Q2 2026: $1.27Forward: $1.87

GBFH and MS do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $12.60 over the past year, up 29% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row.

GBFH Quarterly Revenue

Q1 2025: $17MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: $20MQ4 2025: $21MQ1 2026: $20MQ2 2026: $22M
Q1 2025: $17MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: $20MQ4 2025: $21MQ1 2026: $20MQ2 2026: $22M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$22M+24%
Q1 2026$19.6M+13%

GBFH has the edge over MS in the latest year-over-year revenue comparison.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $20.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

GBFH Free Cash Flow

Q1 2025: −$6MQ2 2025: $840,000Q3 2025: −$12MQ4 2025: $26MQ1 2026: −$10MQ2 2026: $27M
Q1 2025: −$6MQ2 2025: $840,000Q3 2025: −$12MQ4 2025: $26MQ1 2026: −$10MQ2 2026: $27M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$27.3M+3151%
Q1 2026-$10.3M-$4.6M

GBFH and MS do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

GBFH Total Shares

Q1 2025: 15MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 15MQ4 2025: 14MQ1 2026: 15MQ2 2026: 15M
Q1 2025: 15MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 15MQ4 2025: 14MQ1 2026: 15MQ2 2026: 15M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+37.7K shares
1 year-0.1%-7.4K shares

GBFH has 15M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over GBFH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GBFH Net Leverage

Q4 2025: 0.8xQ1 2026: 1.1xQ2 2026: 1.0x
Q4 2025: 0.8xQ1 2026: 1.1xQ2 2026: 1.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20261.0xHealthy
Q1 20261.1xHealthy
Q4 20250.8xVery low

GBFH has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

GBFH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI27.0Oversold
Stochastic30.4Neutral

GBFH's weekly RSI is 27 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 30 (neutral).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

GBFH PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGBFHSector medianRelative
PE12x13x9% below
PE %116352 pts below

GBFH has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

GBFH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$16.911% below
20 week MA$21.229% below
50 week MA$27.044% below
100 week MA$32.454% below
200 week MA$24.338% below

GBFH is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 38% below its 200-week average.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS has the edge over GBFH on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GBFH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$9.00$10.2+13%
2022$10.2$10.1-0.5%
2023$10.1$14.1+39%
2024$14.1$36.0+156%
2025$36.0$36.00%
2026 YTD$36.0$15.1-58%

GBFH is down 58% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in three of the previous five years.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has the edge over GBFH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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