GAIA

Gaia, Inc.

37
Fundamentals35/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

GAIA offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

VZ

Verizon Communications Inc.

54
Fundamentals52/ 100
Valuation43/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

VZ has the edge over GAIA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

GAIA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

GAIA's balance sheet is currently healthy, but its revenue, profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

VZ Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Under pressure

VZ's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

GAIA PE Valuation

GAIA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VZ PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.3x$32.43-30%
Forward9x$46.55—
Fair11x$43.63-6.3%
Current12x$46.55—
Expensive14x$56.75+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VZ's PE is in its fair range at 12x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.0x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

GAIA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect GAIA's losses to grow, with revenue declining.

VZ Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

VZ has the edge over GAIA on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

GAIA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+46%$1.82
Downside-32%$0.85

Calculated from the latest close: $1.25 on Nov 12.

GAIA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than VZ, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

VZ Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$54.56
Downside-17%$38.49

Calculated from the latest close: $46.55 on Nov 12.

VZ trails GAIA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GAIA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.24Q1 2024: $-0.24Q2 2024: $-0.25Q3 2024: $-0.27Q4 2024: $-0.22Q1 2025: $-0.21Q2 2025: $-0.19Q3 2025: $-0.19Q4 2025: $-0.18Q1 2026: $-0.19Q2 2026: $-0.24Q3 2026: $-0.31
Q4 2023: $-0.24Q1 2024: $-0.24Q2 2024: $-0.25Q3 2024: $-0.27Q4 2024: $-0.22Q1 2025: $-0.21Q2 2025: $-0.19Q3 2025: $-0.19Q4 2025: $-0.18Q1 2026: $-0.19Q2 2026: $-0.24Q3 2026: $-0.31
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.31-$0.12
Q2 2026-$0.24-$0.05
Q1 2026-$0.19+$0.02
Q4 2025-$0.18+$0.04
Q3 2025-$0.19+$0.08
Q2 2025-$0.19+$0.06
Q1 2025-$0.21+$0.03
Q4 2024-$0.22+$0.02

GAIA is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.31 per share over the past year, against $1.01 at its worst in late 2019.

VZ Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.75Q1 2024: $2.67Q2 2024: $2.66Q3 2024: $2.31Q4 2024: $4.14Q1 2025: $4.20Q2 2025: $4.29Q3 2025: $4.68Q4 2025: $4.06Q1 2026: $4.11Q2 2026: $3.85Q3 2026: $3.93Forward: $5.19
Q4 2023: $2.75Q1 2024: $2.67Q2 2024: $2.66Q3 2024: $2.31Q4 2024: $4.14Q1 2025: $4.20Q2 2025: $4.29Q3 2025: $4.68Q4 2025: $4.06Q1 2026: $4.11Q2 2026: $3.85Q3 2026: $3.93Forward: $5.19
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.19+32%
Q3 2026$3.93-16%
Q2 2026$3.85-10%
Q1 2026$4.11-2.1%
Q4 2025$4.06-1.9%
Q3 2025$4.68+103%
Q2 2025$4.29+61%
Q1 2025$4.20+57%
Q4 2024$4.14+51%

VZ has the edge over GAIA on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

GAIA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $21MQ1 2024: $22MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: $22MQ4 2024: $24MQ1 2025: $24MQ2 2025: $25MQ3 2025: $25MQ4 2025: $25MQ1 2026: $24MQ2 2026: $23MQ3 2026: $22M
Q4 2023: $21MQ1 2024: $22MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: $22MQ4 2024: $24MQ1 2025: $24MQ2 2025: $25MQ3 2025: $25MQ4 2025: $25MQ1 2026: $24MQ2 2026: $23MQ3 2026: $22M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$22M-12%
Q2 2026$23.3M-5.3%
Q1 2026$24.3M+2%
Q4 2025$25.5M+4.4%
Q3 2025$25M+13%
Q2 2025$24.6M+12%
Q1 2025$23.8M+9.9%
Q4 2024$24.4M+18%

GAIA's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $22M last quarter, down 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

VZ Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $35.1BQ1 2024: $33BQ2 2024: $32.8BQ3 2024: $33.3BQ4 2024: $35.7BQ1 2025: $33.5BQ2 2025: $34.5BQ3 2025: $33.8BQ4 2025: $36.4BQ1 2026: $34.4BQ2 2026: $34.3BQ3 2026: $34.3B
Q4 2023: $35.1BQ1 2024: $33BQ2 2024: $32.8BQ3 2024: $33.3BQ4 2024: $35.7BQ1 2025: $33.5BQ2 2025: $34.5BQ3 2025: $33.8BQ4 2025: $36.4BQ1 2026: $34.4BQ2 2026: $34.3BQ3 2026: $34.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$34.3B+1.5%
Q2 2026$34.3B-0.7%
Q1 2026$34.4B+2.9%
Q4 2025$36.4B+2%
Q3 2025$33.8B+1.5%
Q2 2025$34.5B+5.2%
Q1 2025$33.5B+1.5%
Q4 2024$35.7B+1.6%

VZ's revenue has held roughly level: $34.3B last quarter, up 1.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

GAIA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $886,000Q1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: −$4MQ3 2024: −$952,000Q4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $268,000Q2 2025: $880,000Q3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: $76,000Q1 2026: −$131,000Q2 2026: −$8MQ3 2026: −$6M
Q4 2023: $886,000Q1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: −$4MQ3 2024: −$952,000Q4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $268,000Q2 2025: $880,000Q3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: $76,000Q1 2026: −$131,000Q2 2026: −$8MQ3 2026: −$6M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$6.1M-$4.5M
Q2 2026-$7.9M-997%
Q1 2026-$131K-149%
Q4 2025$76K-95%
Q3 2025-$1.6M-$649K
Q2 2025$880K+$4.4M
Q1 2025$268K-94%
Q4 2024$1.6M+76%

GAIA's free cash flow was −$14M over the past year, against $1M the year before.

VZ Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $8.7BQ1 2024: $7.1BQ2 2024: $9.5BQ3 2024: $9.9BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: $7.8BQ2 2025: $9BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $9.1BQ1 2026: $8BQ2 2026: $10.4BQ3 2026: $11.5B
Q4 2023: $8.7BQ1 2024: $7.1BQ2 2024: $9.5BQ3 2024: $9.9BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: $7.8BQ2 2025: $9BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $9.1BQ1 2026: $8BQ2 2026: $10.4BQ3 2026: $11.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$11.5B+2.2%
Q2 2026$10.4B+16%
Q1 2026$8B+2.6%
Q4 2025$9.1B-13%
Q3 2025$11.3B+14%
Q2 2025$9B-5.4%
Q1 2025$7.8B+9.9%
Q4 2024$10.4B+20%

VZ has the edge over GAIA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GAIA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 22MQ1 2024: 23MQ2 2024: 23MQ3 2024: 23MQ4 2024: 23MQ1 2025: 24MQ2 2025: 25MQ3 2025: 25MQ4 2025: 25MQ1 2026: 25MQ2 2026: 25MQ3 2026: 25M
Q4 2023: 22MQ1 2024: 23MQ2 2024: 23MQ3 2024: 23MQ4 2024: 23MQ1 2025: 24MQ2 2025: 25MQ3 2025: 25MQ4 2025: 25MQ1 2026: 25MQ2 2026: 25MQ3 2026: 25M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+57K shares
1 year-0.1%-25K shares
3 years+18%+3.9M shares
5 years+26%+5.2M shares
Available history+36%+6.6M shares

GAIA has 25M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

VZ Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.2BQ3 2024: 4.2BQ4 2024: 4.2BQ1 2025: 4.2BQ2 2025: 4.2BQ3 2025: 4.2BQ4 2025: 4.2BQ1 2026: 4.2BQ2 2026: 4.2BQ3 2026: 4.2B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.2BQ3 2024: 4.2BQ4 2024: 4.2BQ1 2025: 4.2BQ2 2025: 4.2BQ3 2025: 4.2BQ4 2025: 4.2BQ1 2026: 4.2BQ2 2026: 4.2BQ3 2026: 4.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-10M shares
1 year-1.7%-72M shares
3 years-1.3%-55M shares
5 years+0.4%+17M shares
Available history+0.5%+21M shares

VZ has the edge over GAIA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GAIA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.6xQ1 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -2.8xQ2 2025: -3.5xQ3 2025: -3.8xQ4 2025: -2.7xQ1 2026: -3.3xQ2 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: -0.6xQ1 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -2.8xQ2 2025: -3.5xQ3 2025: -3.8xQ4 2025: -2.7xQ1 2026: -3.3xQ2 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 2026-3.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.8xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-2.1xNet Cash

GAIA has the edge over VZ on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

VZ Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.7xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 3.7xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 3.0xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ1 2026: 3.4xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 3.3x
Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.7xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 3.7xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 3.0xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ1 2026: 3.4xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 3.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.3xElevated
Q2 20263.4xElevated
Q1 20263.4xElevated
Q4 20252.9xModerate
Q3 20252.8xModerate
Q2 20253.0xModerate
Q1 20253.0xElevated
Q4 20243.0xElevated

VZ's net debt is about 3.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.8 years a year ago.

GAIA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.0Oversold
Stochastic20.5Neutral

GAIA's weekly RSI is 30 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 20 (neutral).

VZ Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.9Neutral
Stochastic44.6Neutral

VZ's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

GAIA PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricGAIASector medianRelative
PEN/A16x—

GAIA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VZ PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricVZSector medianRelative
PE12x16x28% below
PE %582632 pts above

VZ is trading at 12x earnings, a 28% discount to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

GAIA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.357.4% below
20 week MA$1.5720% below
50 week MA$2.4749% below
100 week MA$3.6366% below
200 week MA$3.5765% below

GAIA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 65% below its 200-week average.

VZ Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$45.13.1% above
20 week MA$46.30.5% above
50 week MA$46.11.1% above
100 week MA$44.25.4% above
200 week MA$41.412% above

VZ has the edge over GAIA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GAIA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$8.28$9.35+13%
2021$9.35$9.03-3.4%
2022$9.03$2.29-75%
2023$2.29$2.70+18%
2024$2.70$4.44+64%
2025$4.44$3.76-15%
2026 YTD$3.76$1.25-67%

GAIA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 67% so far in 2026.

VZ Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$61.5$58.8-4.4%
2021$58.8$52.7-10%
2022$52.7$38.4-27%
2023$38.4$37.7-1.8%
2024$37.7$39.9+5.9%
2025$39.9$40.5+1.4%
2026 YTD$40.5$46.6+15%

VZ has the edge over GAIA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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