GAIA

Gaia, Inc.

37
Fundamentals35/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

GAIA trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

TMUS

T-Mobile US, Inc.

69
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation82/ 100
Upside potential82/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

TMUS has the edge over GAIA overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

GAIA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

GAIA's balance sheet is currently healthy, but its revenue, profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

TMUS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Strong

TMUS's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

GAIA PE Valuation

GAIA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TMUS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward13x$171—
Current16x$171—
Cheap21x$218+27%
Fair26x$274+60%
Expensive56x$581+240%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TMUS's PE is in its cheap range at 16x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings.

GAIA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect GAIA's losses to grow, with revenue declining.

TMUS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

TMUS has the edge over GAIA on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

GAIA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+46%$1.82
Downside-32%$0.85

Calculated from the latest close: $1.25 on Nov 12.

GAIA trails TMUS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TMUS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$240.82
Downside-9%$155.85

Calculated from the latest close: $171.03 on Nov 12.

TMUS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GAIA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GAIA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.24Q1 2024: $-0.24Q2 2024: $-0.25Q3 2024: $-0.27Q4 2024: $-0.22Q1 2025: $-0.21Q2 2025: $-0.19Q3 2025: $-0.19Q4 2025: $-0.18Q1 2026: $-0.19Q2 2026: $-0.24Q3 2026: $-0.31
Q4 2023: $-0.24Q1 2024: $-0.24Q2 2024: $-0.25Q3 2024: $-0.27Q4 2024: $-0.22Q1 2025: $-0.21Q2 2025: $-0.19Q3 2025: $-0.19Q4 2025: $-0.18Q1 2026: $-0.19Q2 2026: $-0.24Q3 2026: $-0.31
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.31-$0.12
Q2 2026-$0.24-$0.05
Q1 2026-$0.19+$0.02
Q4 2025-$0.18+$0.04
Q3 2025-$0.19+$0.08
Q2 2025-$0.19+$0.06
Q1 2025-$0.21+$0.03
Q4 2024-$0.22+$0.02

GAIA is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.31 per share over the past year, against $1.01 at its worst in late 2019.

TMUS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.93Q1 2024: $7.35Q2 2024: $7.98Q3 2024: $8.77Q4 2024: $9.66Q1 2025: $10.24Q2 2025: $10.59Q3 2025: $10.39Q4 2025: $9.72Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $9.56Q3 2026: $10.37Forward: $13.49
Q4 2023: $6.93Q1 2024: $7.35Q2 2024: $7.98Q3 2024: $8.77Q4 2024: $9.66Q1 2025: $10.24Q2 2025: $10.59Q3 2025: $10.39Q4 2025: $9.72Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $9.56Q3 2026: $10.37Forward: $13.49
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.49+30%
Q3 2026$10.37-0.2%
Q2 2026$9.56-9.7%
Q1 2026$9.41-8.1%
Q4 2025$9.72+0.6%
Q3 2025$10.39+18%
Q2 2025$10.59+33%
Q1 2025$10.24+39%
Q4 2024$9.66+39%

TMUS has the edge over GAIA on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

GAIA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $21MQ1 2024: $22MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: $22MQ4 2024: $24MQ1 2025: $24MQ2 2025: $25MQ3 2025: $25MQ4 2025: $25MQ1 2026: $24MQ2 2026: $23MQ3 2026: $22M
Q4 2023: $21MQ1 2024: $22MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: $22MQ4 2024: $24MQ1 2025: $24MQ2 2025: $25MQ3 2025: $25MQ4 2025: $25MQ1 2026: $24MQ2 2026: $23MQ3 2026: $22M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$22M-12%
Q2 2026$23.3M-5.3%
Q1 2026$24.3M+2%
Q4 2025$25.5M+4.4%
Q3 2025$25M+13%
Q2 2025$24.6M+12%
Q1 2025$23.8M+9.9%
Q4 2024$24.4M+18%

GAIA's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $22M last quarter, down 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

TMUS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $20.5BQ1 2024: $19.6BQ2 2024: $19.8BQ3 2024: $20.2BQ4 2024: $21.9BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $21.1BQ3 2025: $22BQ4 2025: $24.3BQ1 2026: $23.1BQ2 2026: $22.8BQ3 2026: $23.6B
Q4 2023: $20.5BQ1 2024: $19.6BQ2 2024: $19.8BQ3 2024: $20.2BQ4 2024: $21.9BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $21.1BQ3 2025: $22BQ4 2025: $24.3BQ1 2026: $23.1BQ2 2026: $22.8BQ3 2026: $23.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$23.6B+7.4%
Q2 2026$22.8B+7.9%
Q1 2026$23.1B+11%
Q4 2025$24.3B+11%
Q3 2025$22B+8.9%
Q2 2025$21.1B+6.9%
Q1 2025$20.9B+6.6%
Q4 2024$21.9B+6.8%

TMUS has the edge over GAIA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GAIA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $886,000Q1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: −$4MQ3 2024: −$952,000Q4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $268,000Q2 2025: $880,000Q3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: $76,000Q1 2026: −$131,000Q2 2026: −$8MQ3 2026: −$6M
Q4 2023: $886,000Q1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: −$4MQ3 2024: −$952,000Q4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $268,000Q2 2025: $880,000Q3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: $76,000Q1 2026: −$131,000Q2 2026: −$8MQ3 2026: −$6M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$6.1M-$4.5M
Q2 2026-$7.9M-997%
Q1 2026-$131K-149%
Q4 2025$76K-95%
Q3 2025-$1.6M-$649K
Q2 2025$880K+$4.4M
Q1 2025$268K-94%
Q4 2024$1.6M+76%

GAIA's free cash flow was −$14M over the past year, against $1M the year before.

TMUS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+5.3%
Q2 2026$4.8B+4.4%
Q1 2026$4.6B+4.6%
Q4 2025$4.2B+25%
Q3 2025$4.8B+15%
Q2 2025$4.6B+32%
Q1 2025$4.4B+79%
Q4 2024$3.3B+2%

TMUS has the edge over GAIA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GAIA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 22MQ1 2024: 23MQ2 2024: 23MQ3 2024: 23MQ4 2024: 23MQ1 2025: 24MQ2 2025: 25MQ3 2025: 25MQ4 2025: 25MQ1 2026: 25MQ2 2026: 25MQ3 2026: 25M
Q4 2023: 22MQ1 2024: 23MQ2 2024: 23MQ3 2024: 23MQ4 2024: 23MQ1 2025: 24MQ2 2025: 25MQ3 2025: 25MQ4 2025: 25MQ1 2026: 25MQ2 2026: 25MQ3 2026: 25M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+57K shares
1 year-0.1%-25K shares
3 years+18%+3.9M shares
5 years+26%+5.2M shares
Available history+36%+6.6M shares

GAIA has 25M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

TMUS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-10.8M shares
1 year-4.9%-55M shares
3 years-8.8%-103M shares
5 years-15%-182M shares
Available history+24%+207M shares

TMUS has the edge over GAIA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GAIA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.6xQ1 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -2.8xQ2 2025: -3.5xQ3 2025: -3.8xQ4 2025: -2.7xQ1 2026: -3.3xQ2 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: -0.6xQ1 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -2.8xQ2 2025: -3.5xQ3 2025: -3.8xQ4 2025: -2.7xQ1 2026: -3.3xQ2 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 2026-3.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.8xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-2.1xNet Cash

GAIA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

TMUS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.0x
Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.0xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 20252.5xModerate
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20242.4xModerate

TMUS has the edge over GAIA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

GAIA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.0Oversold
Stochastic20.5Neutral

GAIA's weekly RSI is 30 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 20 (neutral).

TMUS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.9Neutral
Stochastic42.1Neutral

TMUS's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).

GAIA PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricGAIASector medianRelative
PEN/A16x—

GAIA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TMUS PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricTMUSSector medianRelative
PE16x16xSame PE
PE %12625 pts below

TMUS is trading at 16x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

GAIA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.357.4% below
20 week MA$1.5720% below
50 week MA$2.4749% below
100 week MA$3.6366% below
200 week MA$3.5765% below

GAIA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 65% below its 200-week average.

TMUS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$159.17.5% above
20 week MA$172.00.5% below
50 week MA$187.88.9% below
100 week MA$212.920% below
200 week MA$188.79.4% below

TMUS has the edge over GAIA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GAIA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$8.28$9.35+13%
2021$9.35$9.03-3.4%
2022$9.03$2.29-75%
2023$2.29$2.70+18%
2024$2.70$4.44+64%
2025$4.44$3.76-15%
2026 YTD$3.76$1.25-67%

GAIA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 67% so far in 2026.

TMUS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$77.2$132.9+72%
2021$132.9$119.9-9.8%
2022$119.9$140.0+17%
2023$140.0$160.3+15%
2024$160.3$223.0+39%
2025$223.0$201.0-9.9%
2026 YTD$201.0$171.0-15%

TMUS has the edge over GAIA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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