GAIA
Gaia, Inc.
GAIA has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RDDT
Reddit, Inc.
RDDT has the edge over GAIA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
GAIA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
GAIA's balance sheet is currently healthy, but its revenue, profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
RDDT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
RDDT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
GAIA PE Valuation
GAIA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RDDT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 16x | $99.55 | — |
| Current | 20x | $99.55 | — |
| Cheap | 35x | $171 | +72% |
| Fair | 46x | $228 | +129% |
| Expensive | 53x | $262 | +163% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
RDDT's PE is 20x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
GAIA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Decline | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect GAIA's losses to grow, with revenue declining.
RDDT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
RDDT has the edge over GAIA on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
GAIA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.31 | -$0.12 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.24 | -$0.05 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.19 | +$0.02 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.18 | +$0.04 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.19 | +$0.08 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.19 | +$0.06 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.21 | +$0.03 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.22 | +$0.02 |
RDDT has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 263% for GAIA versus RDDT down 39%.
RDDT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.32 | +29% |
| Q3 2024 | -$7.98 | -$7.17 |
| Q2 2024 | -$8.19 | -$7.15 |
| Q1 2024 | -$8.38 | -$7.25 |
| Q4 2023 | -$0.56 | +$0.41 |
| Q3 2023 | -$0.81 | -$0.02 |
| Q2 2023 | -$1.04 | -$0.48 |
| Q1 2023 | -$1.13 | -$0.48 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.97 | -$0.19 |
RDDT has returned to profit: it earned $4.90 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
GAIA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $22M | -12% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.3M | -5.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $24.3M | +2% |
| Q4 2025 | $25.5M | +4.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $25M | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $24.6M | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $23.8M | +9.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $24.4M | +18% |
GAIA's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $22M last quarter, down 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -13% | -8.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | -14% | -4.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -5.9% | -1.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -2.6% | +4.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | -5% | +1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | -8.9% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | -4.3% | -0.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.9% | +0.3 points |
GAIA's operating margin was −13% last quarter, down 8.4 points from the same quarter a year ago.
RDDT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $895M | +53% |
| Q2 2026 | $804.9M | +61% |
| Q1 2026 | $663.4M | +69% |
| Q4 2025 | $725.6M | +70% |
| Q3 2025 | $584.9M | +68% |
| Q2 2025 | $499.6M | +78% |
| Q1 2025 | $392.4M | +61% |
| Q4 2024 | $427.7M | +71% |
RDDT has the edge over GAIA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 29% | +5.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 29% | +15 points |
| Q1 2026 | 28% | +27 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +20 points |
| Q3 2025 | 24% | +22 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | +25 points |
| Q1 2025 | 1% | +244 points |
| Q4 2024 | 12% | +11 points |
RDDT has the edge over GAIA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
GAIA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$6.1M | -$4.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$7.9M | -997% |
| Q1 2026 | -$131K | -149% |
| Q4 2025 | $76K | -95% |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.6M | -$649K |
| Q2 2025 | $880K | +$4.4M |
| Q1 2025 | $268K | -94% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.6M | +76% |
GAIA's free cash flow was −$14M over the past year, against $1M the year before.
RDDT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $362.6M | +98% |
| Q2 2026 | $260.7M | +135% |
| Q1 2026 | $311.2M | +146% |
| Q4 2025 | $263.6M | +196% |
| Q3 2025 | $183.1M | +161% |
| Q2 2025 | $110.8M | +308% |
| Q1 2025 | $126.6M | +333% |
| Q4 2024 | $89.2M | +$111.2M |
RDDT has the edge over GAIA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
GAIA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +57K shares |
| 1 year | -0.1% | -25K shares |
| 3 years | +18% | +3.9M shares |
| 5 years | +26% | +5.2M shares |
| Available history | +36% | +6.6M shares |
GAIA has 25M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $125,000 |
| Q1 2026 | $57,000 |
RDDT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -169K shares |
| 1 year | -0.4% | -868K shares |
| 3 years | +24% | +38.5M shares |
| 5 years | +24% | +38.5M shares |
RDDT has the edge over GAIA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $100.4M |
| Q2 2026 | $234.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $5M |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | $4.2M |
| Q4 2022 | — |
GAIA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | -3.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -2.7x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -3.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -2.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
GAIA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.
RDDT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -3.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -5.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -13.1x | Net Cash |
RDDT has the edge over GAIA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
GAIA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.0 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 20.5 | Neutral |
GAIA's weekly RSI is 30 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 20 (neutral).
RDDT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.5 | Oversold |
RDDT's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).
GAIA PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | GAIA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 16x | — |
GAIA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RDDT PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | RDDT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20x | 16x | 23% above |
| PE % | 5 | 23 | 18 pts below |
RDDT is trading at 20x earnings, a 23% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x, though its earnings don't support one.
GAIA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $1.35 | 7.4% below |
| 20 week MA | $1.57 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $2.47 | 49% below |
| 100 week MA | $3.63 | 66% below |
| 200 week MA | $3.57 | 65% below |
RDDT has stronger trend alignment. GAIA is above 0 of 5 weekly averages versus RDDT above 0 of 4.
RDDT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $130.6 | 24% below |
| 20 week MA | $151.7 | 34% below |
| 50 week MA | $165.0 | 40% below |
| 100 week MA | $167.1 | 40% below |
RDDT is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 40% below its 100-week average.
GAIA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $8.28 | $9.35 | +13% |
| 2021 | $9.35 | $9.03 | -3.4% |
| 2022 | $9.03 | $2.29 | -75% |
| 2023 | $2.29 | $2.70 | +18% |
| 2024 | $2.70 | $4.44 | +64% |
| 2025 | $4.44 | $3.76 | -15% |
| 2026 YTD | $3.76 | $1.25 | -67% |
GAIA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 67% so far in 2026.
RDDT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $46.0 | $173.5 | +277% |
| 2025 | $173.5 | $225.8 | +30% |
| 2026 YTD | $225.8 | $99.6 | -56% |
RDDT has the edge over GAIA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.