GAIA

Gaia, Inc.

37
Fundamentals35/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

GAIA trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

NFLX

Netflix, Inc.

79
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NFLX has the edge over GAIA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

GAIA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

GAIA's balance sheet is currently healthy, but its revenue, profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

NFLX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

NFLX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

GAIA PE Valuation

GAIA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NFLX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward17x$62.69—
Current18x$62.69—
Cheap27x$94.95+51%
Fair47x$161+157%
Expensive81x$281+348%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NFLX's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings.

GAIA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect GAIA's losses to grow, with revenue declining.

NFLX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

NFLX has the edge over GAIA on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

GAIA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+46%$1.82
Downside-32%$0.85

Calculated from the latest close: $1.25 on Nov 12.

GAIA trails NFLX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NFLX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+57%$98.20
Downside-9%$56.77

Calculated from the latest close: $62.69 on Nov 12.

NFLX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GAIA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GAIA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.24Q1 2024: $-0.24Q2 2024: $-0.25Q3 2024: $-0.27Q4 2024: $-0.22Q1 2025: $-0.21Q2 2025: $-0.19Q3 2025: $-0.19Q4 2025: $-0.18Q1 2026: $-0.19Q2 2026: $-0.24Q3 2026: $-0.31
Q4 2023: $-0.24Q1 2024: $-0.24Q2 2024: $-0.25Q3 2024: $-0.27Q4 2024: $-0.22Q1 2025: $-0.21Q2 2025: $-0.19Q3 2025: $-0.19Q4 2025: $-0.18Q1 2026: $-0.19Q2 2026: $-0.24Q3 2026: $-0.31
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.31-$0.12
Q2 2026-$0.24-$0.05
Q1 2026-$0.19+$0.02
Q4 2025-$0.18+$0.04
Q3 2025-$0.19+$0.08
Q2 2025-$0.19+$0.06
Q1 2025-$0.21+$0.03
Q4 2024-$0.22+$0.02

GAIA is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.31 per share over the past year, against $1.01 at its worst in late 2019.

NFLX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.58+3.5%
Q3 2026$3.46+45%
Q2 2026$3.18+35%
Q1 2026$3.10+46%
Q4 2025$2.53+28%
Q3 2025$2.39+35%
Q2 2025$2.35+47%
Q1 2025$2.12+47%
Q4 2024$1.98+65%

NFLX has the edge over GAIA on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

GAIA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $21MQ1 2024: $22MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: $22MQ4 2024: $24MQ1 2025: $24MQ2 2025: $25MQ3 2025: $25MQ4 2025: $25MQ1 2026: $24MQ2 2026: $23MQ3 2026: $22M
Q4 2023: $21MQ1 2024: $22MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: $22MQ4 2024: $24MQ1 2025: $24MQ2 2025: $25MQ3 2025: $25MQ4 2025: $25MQ1 2026: $24MQ2 2026: $23MQ3 2026: $22M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$22M-12%
Q2 2026$23.3M-5.3%
Q1 2026$24.3M+2%
Q4 2025$25.5M+4.4%
Q3 2025$25M+13%
Q2 2025$24.6M+12%
Q1 2025$23.8M+9.9%
Q4 2024$24.4M+18%

GAIA's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $22M last quarter, down 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

NFLX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$12.9B+12%
Q2 2026$12.6B+13%
Q1 2026$12.2B+16%
Q4 2025$12.1B+18%
Q3 2025$11.5B+17%
Q2 2025$11.1B+16%
Q1 2025$10.5B+13%
Q4 2024$10.2B+16%

NFLX has the edge over GAIA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GAIA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $886,000Q1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: −$4MQ3 2024: −$952,000Q4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $268,000Q2 2025: $880,000Q3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: $76,000Q1 2026: −$131,000Q2 2026: −$8MQ3 2026: −$6M
Q4 2023: $886,000Q1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: −$4MQ3 2024: −$952,000Q4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $268,000Q2 2025: $880,000Q3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: $76,000Q1 2026: −$131,000Q2 2026: −$8MQ3 2026: −$6M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$6.1M-$4.5M
Q2 2026-$7.9M-997%
Q1 2026-$131K-149%
Q4 2025$76K-95%
Q3 2025-$1.6M-$649K
Q2 2025$880K+$4.4M
Q1 2025$268K-94%
Q4 2024$1.6M+76%

GAIA's free cash flow was −$14M over the past year, against $1M the year before.

NFLX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.9B+8.4%
Q2 2026$1.5B-33%
Q1 2026$5.1B+91%
Q4 2025$1.9B+36%
Q3 2025$2.7B+21%
Q2 2025$2.3B+87%
Q1 2025$2.7B+25%
Q4 2024$1.4B-13%

NFLX has the edge over GAIA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GAIA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 22MQ1 2024: 23MQ2 2024: 23MQ3 2024: 23MQ4 2024: 23MQ1 2025: 24MQ2 2025: 25MQ3 2025: 25MQ4 2025: 25MQ1 2026: 25MQ2 2026: 25MQ3 2026: 25M
Q4 2023: 22MQ1 2024: 23MQ2 2024: 23MQ3 2024: 23MQ4 2024: 23MQ1 2025: 24MQ2 2025: 25MQ3 2025: 25MQ4 2025: 25MQ1 2026: 25MQ2 2026: 25MQ3 2026: 25M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+57K shares
1 year-0.1%-25K shares
3 years+18%+3.9M shares
5 years+26%+5.2M shares
Available history+36%+6.6M shares

GAIA has 25M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

NFLX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-66.2M shares
1 year-3.3%-145M shares
3 years-6.8%-305M shares
5 years-7.8%-354M shares
Available history-7.1%-323M shares

NFLX has the edge over GAIA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GAIA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.6xQ1 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -2.8xQ2 2025: -3.5xQ3 2025: -3.8xQ4 2025: -2.7xQ1 2026: -3.3xQ2 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: -0.6xQ1 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -2.8xQ2 2025: -3.5xQ3 2025: -3.8xQ4 2025: -2.7xQ1 2026: -3.3xQ2 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 2026-3.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.8xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-2.1xNet Cash

GAIA has the edge over NFLX on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NFLX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.4xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.7xVery low
Q4 20240.7xVery low

NFLX's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

GAIA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.0Oversold
Stochastic20.5Neutral

GAIA's weekly RSI is 30 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 20 (neutral).

NFLX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.2Neutral
Stochastic6.0Oversold

NFLX's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

GAIA PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricGAIASector medianRelative
PEN/A16x—

GAIA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NFLX PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricNFLXSector medianRelative
PE18x16x9.8% above
PE %42622 pts below

NFLX is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

GAIA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.357.4% below
20 week MA$1.5720% below
50 week MA$2.4749% below
100 week MA$3.6366% below
200 week MA$3.5765% below

GAIA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 65% below its 200-week average.

NFLX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$66.65.9% below
20 week MA$71.813% below
50 week MA$82.424% below
100 week MA$96.035% below
200 week MA$74.416% below

NFLX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 200-week average.

GAIA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$8.28$9.35+13%
2021$9.35$9.03-3.4%
2022$9.03$2.29-75%
2023$2.29$2.70+18%
2024$2.70$4.44+64%
2025$4.44$3.76-15%
2026 YTD$3.76$1.25-67%

GAIA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 67% so far in 2026.

NFLX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.9$51.4+56%
2021$51.4$61.4+19%
2022$61.4$29.5-52%
2023$29.5$48.7+65%
2024$48.7$90.8+86%
2025$90.8$94.5+4.1%
2026 YTD$94.5$62.7-34%

NFLX has the edge over GAIA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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