GAIA

Gaia, Inc.

37
Fundamentals35/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

GAIA trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

GOOGL

Alphabet Inc.

66
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

GOOGL has the edge over GAIA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

GAIA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

GAIA's balance sheet is currently healthy, but its revenue, profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

GOOGL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Under pressure
Healthy

GOOGL's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure.

GAIA PE Valuation

GAIA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GOOGL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current16x$299—
Cheap20x$378+27%
Forward22x$299—
Fair26x$497+66%
Expensive31x$586+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GOOGL's PE is in its cheap range at 16x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 22x.

GAIA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect GAIA's losses to grow, with revenue declining.

GOOGL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

GOOGL has the edge over GAIA on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

GAIA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+46%$1.82
Downside-32%$0.85

Calculated from the latest close: $1.25 on Nov 12.

GAIA trails GOOGL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GOOGL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$405.17
Downside-13%$260.15

Calculated from the latest close: $298.70 on Nov 12.

GOOGL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GAIA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GAIA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.24Q1 2024: $-0.24Q2 2024: $-0.25Q3 2024: $-0.27Q4 2024: $-0.22Q1 2025: $-0.21Q2 2025: $-0.19Q3 2025: $-0.19Q4 2025: $-0.18Q1 2026: $-0.19Q2 2026: $-0.24Q3 2026: $-0.31
Q4 2023: $-0.24Q1 2024: $-0.24Q2 2024: $-0.25Q3 2024: $-0.27Q4 2024: $-0.22Q1 2025: $-0.21Q2 2025: $-0.19Q3 2025: $-0.19Q4 2025: $-0.18Q1 2026: $-0.19Q2 2026: $-0.24Q3 2026: $-0.31
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.31-$0.12
Q2 2026-$0.24-$0.05
Q1 2026-$0.19+$0.02
Q4 2025-$0.18+$0.04
Q3 2025-$0.19+$0.08
Q2 2025-$0.19+$0.06
Q1 2025-$0.21+$0.03
Q4 2024-$0.22+$0.02

GAIA is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.31 per share over the past year, against $1.01 at its worst in late 2019.

GOOGL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.52Q2 2024: $6.97Q3 2024: $7.54Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.96Q2 2025: $9.38Q3 2025: $10.13Q4 2025: $10.81Q1 2026: $13.11Q2 2026: $19.91Q3 2026: $19.16Forward: $13.89
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.52Q2 2024: $6.97Q3 2024: $7.54Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.96Q2 2025: $9.38Q3 2025: $10.13Q4 2025: $10.81Q1 2026: $13.11Q2 2026: $19.91Q3 2026: $19.16Forward: $13.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.89-28%
Q3 2026$19.16+89%
Q2 2026$19.91+112%
Q1 2026$13.11+46%
Q4 2025$10.81+34%
Q3 2025$10.13+34%
Q2 2025$9.38+35%
Q1 2025$8.96+37%
Q4 2024$8.04+39%

GOOGL has the edge over GAIA on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

GAIA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $21MQ1 2024: $22MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: $22MQ4 2024: $24MQ1 2025: $24MQ2 2025: $25MQ3 2025: $25MQ4 2025: $25MQ1 2026: $24MQ2 2026: $23MQ3 2026: $22M
Q4 2023: $21MQ1 2024: $22MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: $22MQ4 2024: $24MQ1 2025: $24MQ2 2025: $25MQ3 2025: $25MQ4 2025: $25MQ1 2026: $24MQ2 2026: $23MQ3 2026: $22M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$22M-12%
Q2 2026$23.3M-5.3%
Q1 2026$24.3M+2%
Q4 2025$25.5M+4.4%
Q3 2025$25M+13%
Q2 2025$24.6M+12%
Q1 2025$23.8M+9.9%
Q4 2024$24.4M+18%

GAIA's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $22M last quarter, down 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

GOOGL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $86.3BQ1 2024: $80.5BQ2 2024: $84.7BQ3 2024: $88.3BQ4 2024: $96.5BQ1 2025: $90.2BQ2 2025: $96.4BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $114BQ1 2026: $110BQ2 2026: $120BQ3 2026: $128B
Q4 2023: $86.3BQ1 2024: $80.5BQ2 2024: $84.7BQ3 2024: $88.3BQ4 2024: $96.5BQ1 2025: $90.2BQ2 2025: $96.4BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $114BQ1 2026: $110BQ2 2026: $120BQ3 2026: $128B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$127.6B+25%
Q2 2026$119.8B+24%
Q1 2026$109.9B+22%
Q4 2025$113.8B+18%
Q3 2025$102.3B+16%
Q2 2025$96.4B+14%
Q1 2025$90.2B+12%
Q4 2024$96.5B+12%

GOOGL has the edge over GAIA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GAIA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $886,000Q1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: −$4MQ3 2024: −$952,000Q4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $268,000Q2 2025: $880,000Q3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: $76,000Q1 2026: −$131,000Q2 2026: −$8MQ3 2026: −$6M
Q4 2023: $886,000Q1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: −$4MQ3 2024: −$952,000Q4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $268,000Q2 2025: $880,000Q3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: $76,000Q1 2026: −$131,000Q2 2026: −$8MQ3 2026: −$6M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$6.1M-$4.5M
Q2 2026-$7.9M-997%
Q1 2026-$131K-149%
Q4 2025$76K-95%
Q3 2025-$1.6M-$649K
Q2 2025$880K+$4.4M
Q1 2025$268K-94%
Q4 2024$1.6M+76%

GAIA's free cash flow was −$14M over the past year, against $1M the year before.

GOOGL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $7.9BQ1 2024: $16.8BQ2 2024: $13.5BQ3 2024: $17.6BQ4 2024: $24.8BQ1 2025: $19BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $24.5BQ4 2025: $24.6BQ1 2026: $10.1BQ2 2026: −$5.9BQ3 2026: −$9.1B
Q4 2023: $7.9BQ1 2024: $16.8BQ2 2024: $13.5BQ3 2024: $17.6BQ4 2024: $24.8BQ1 2025: $19BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $24.5BQ4 2025: $24.6BQ1 2026: $10.1BQ2 2026: −$5.9BQ3 2026: −$9.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$9.1B-137%
Q2 2026-$5.9B-210%
Q1 2026$10.1B-47%
Q4 2025$24.6B-1.2%
Q3 2025$24.5B+39%
Q2 2025$5.3B-61%
Q1 2025$19B+13%
Q4 2024$24.8B+215%

GOOGL has the edge over GAIA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GAIA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 22MQ1 2024: 23MQ2 2024: 23MQ3 2024: 23MQ4 2024: 23MQ1 2025: 24MQ2 2025: 25MQ3 2025: 25MQ4 2025: 25MQ1 2026: 25MQ2 2026: 25MQ3 2026: 25M
Q4 2023: 22MQ1 2024: 23MQ2 2024: 23MQ3 2024: 23MQ4 2024: 23MQ1 2025: 24MQ2 2025: 25MQ3 2025: 25MQ4 2025: 25MQ1 2026: 25MQ2 2026: 25MQ3 2026: 25M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+57K shares
1 year-0.1%-25K shares
3 years+18%+3.9M shares
5 years+26%+5.2M shares
Available history+36%+6.6M shares

GAIA has the edge over GOOGL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GOOGL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 12.4BQ1 2024: 12.4BQ2 2024: 12.5BQ3 2024: 12.4BQ4 2024: 12.4BQ1 2025: 12.3BQ2 2025: 12.2BQ3 2025: 12.2BQ4 2025: 12.2BQ1 2026: 12.2BQ2 2026: 12.3BQ3 2026: 12.4B
Q4 2023: 12.4BQ1 2024: 12.4BQ2 2024: 12.5BQ3 2024: 12.4BQ4 2024: 12.4BQ1 2025: 12.3BQ2 2025: 12.2BQ3 2025: 12.2BQ4 2025: 12.2BQ1 2026: 12.2BQ2 2026: 12.3BQ3 2026: 12.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+59M shares
1 year+1.4%+165M shares
3 years-1.2%-148M shares
5 years-6.8%-907M shares
Available history-10%-1.4B shares

GOOGL has 12.4B diluted shares, up 1.4% from a year ago.

GAIA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.6xQ1 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -2.8xQ2 2025: -3.5xQ3 2025: -3.8xQ4 2025: -2.7xQ1 2026: -3.3xQ2 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: -0.6xQ1 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -2.8xQ2 2025: -3.5xQ3 2025: -3.8xQ4 2025: -2.7xQ1 2026: -3.3xQ2 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 2026-3.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.8xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-2.1xNet Cash

GAIA has the edge over GOOGL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

GOOGL Net Leverage

Q4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20250.0xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.1xNet Cash

GOOGL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

GAIA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.0Oversold
Stochastic20.5Neutral

GAIA's weekly RSI is 30 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 20 (neutral).

GOOGL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.2Neutral
Stochastic11.7Oversold

GOOGL's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

GAIA PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricGAIASector medianRelative
PEN/A16x—

GAIA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GOOGL PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricGOOGLSector medianRelative
PE16x16x6% below
PE %12625 pts below

GOOGL is trading at 16x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.

GAIA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.357.4% below
20 week MA$1.5720% below
50 week MA$2.4749% below
100 week MA$3.6366% below
200 week MA$3.5765% below

GAIA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 65% below its 200-week average.

GOOGL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$320.46.8% below
20 week MA$336.111% below
50 week MA$334.511% below
100 week MA$267.812% above
200 week MA$204.746% above

GOOGL has the edge over GAIA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GAIA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$8.28$9.35+13%
2021$9.35$9.03-3.4%
2022$9.03$2.29-75%
2023$2.29$2.70+18%
2024$2.70$4.44+64%
2025$4.44$3.76-15%
2026 YTD$3.76$1.25-67%

GAIA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 67% so far in 2026.

GOOGL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$67.7$86.7+28%
2021$86.7$146.9+69%
2022$146.9$89.2-39%
2023$89.2$139.7+57%
2024$139.7$192.8+38%
2025$192.8$313.5+63%
2026 YTD$313.5$298.7-4.7%

GOOGL has the edge over GAIA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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