FXNC

First National Corporation

61
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation37/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

FXNC's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 13x earnings, above its usual 10x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

FXNC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

FXNC's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like FXNC.

FXNC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.4x17x25x34x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.4x17x25x34x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.7x$18.45-39%
Fair10x$24.62-19%
Forward11x$30.27—
Current13x$30.27—
Expensive20x$48.17+59%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FXNC's PE is in its expensive range at 13x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

FXNC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for FXNC, with profitability improving.

FXNC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$37.62
Downside-12%$26.54

Calculated from the latest close: $30.27 on Nov 12.

FXNC's one-year upside scenario is about twice its downside: +24% against −12%.

FXNC Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.43Q4 2023: $1.53Q1 2024: $1.43Q2 2024: $1.26Q3 2024: $1.12Q4 2024: $1.00Q1 2025: $0.67Q2 2025: $0.84Q3 2025: $1.10Q4 2025: $1.96Q1 2026: $2.32Q2 2026: $2.39Forward: $2.78
Q3 2023: $2.43Q4 2023: $1.53Q1 2024: $1.43Q2 2024: $1.26Q3 2024: $1.12Q4 2024: $1.00Q1 2025: $0.67Q2 2025: $0.84Q3 2025: $1.10Q4 2025: $1.96Q1 2026: $2.32Q2 2026: $2.39Forward: $2.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.78+16%
Q2 2026$2.39+185%
Q1 2026$2.32+246%
Q4 2025$1.96+96%
Q3 2025$1.10-1.8%
Q2 2025$0.84-33%
Q1 2025$0.67-53%
Q4 2024$1.00-35%
Q3 2024$1.12-54%

FXNC earned $2.39 per share over the past year, up 185% from the year before.

FXNC Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $14MQ4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $15MQ2 2024: $14MQ3 2024: $15MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: $21MQ2 2025: $22MQ3 2025: $23MQ4 2025: $24MQ1 2026: $23MQ2 2026: $24M
Q3 2023: $14MQ4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $15MQ2 2024: $14MQ3 2024: $15MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: $21MQ2 2025: $22MQ3 2025: $23MQ4 2025: $24MQ1 2026: $23MQ2 2026: $24M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$24M+7%
Q1 2026$22.5M+6.8%
Q4 2025$24M-3.4%
Q3 2025$22.8M+52%
Q2 2025$22.4M+58%
Q1 2025$21.1M+41%
Q4 2024$24.8M+79%
Q3 2024$15M+8.9%

FXNC's revenue is growing: $24M last quarter, up 7% from the same quarter a year ago.

FXNC Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $3MQ4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: −$38MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $4MQ3 2025: $7MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $7M
Q3 2023: $3MQ4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: −$38MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $4MQ3 2025: $7MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $7M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.5M+58%
Q1 2026$5.9M+94%
Q4 2025$6.9M+$44.8M
Q3 2025$6.8M+38%
Q2 2025$4.1M+38%
Q1 2025$3M-31%
Q4 2024-$37.8M-1071%
Q3 2024$4.9M+52%

FXNC's free cash flow was $26M over the past year, against −$26M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like FXNC.

FXNC Total Shares

Q3 2023: 6MQ4 2023: 6MQ1 2024: 6MQ2 2024: 6MQ3 2024: 6MQ1 2025: 9MQ2 2025: 9MQ3 2025: 9MQ4 2025: 9MQ1 2026: 9MQ2 2026: 9M
Q3 2023: 6MQ4 2023: 6MQ1 2024: 6MQ2 2024: 6MQ3 2024: 6MQ1 2025: 9MQ2 2025: 9MQ3 2025: 9MQ4 2025: 9MQ1 2026: 9MQ2 2026: 9M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+20.9K shares
1 year+0.7%+66.4K shares
3 years+44%+2.8M shares
5 years+86%+4.2M shares
Available history+82%+4.1M shares

FXNC has 9M diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

FXNC Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 3.2xQ2 2024: -7.0xQ3 2024: -6.9xQ4 2024: -14.2xQ1 2025: -22.7xQ2 2025: -12.8xQ3 2025: -10.6xQ4 2025: -5.2xQ1 2026: -5.3xQ2 2026: -4.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 3.2xQ2 2024: -7.0xQ3 2024: -6.9xQ4 2024: -14.2xQ1 2025: -22.7xQ2 2025: -12.8xQ3 2025: -10.6xQ4 2025: -5.2xQ1 2026: -5.3xQ2 2026: -4.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-4.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-5.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-5.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-10.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-12.8xNet Cash
Q1 2025-22.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-14.2xNet Cash
Q3 2024-6.9xNet Cash

FXNC has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like FXNC.

FXNC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.9Neutral
Stochastic52.0Neutral

FXNC's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 52 (neutral).

FXNC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricFXNCSector medianRelative
PE13x13x2.7% below
PE %71638 pts above

FXNC is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

FXNC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$30.01.1% above
20 week MA$30.50.6% below
50 week MA$28.56.2% above
100 week MA$25.419% above
200 week MA$21.640% above

FXNC's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 40% above its 200-week average.

FXNC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$21.0$17.0-19%
2021$17.0$23.0+36%
2022$23.0$17.5-24%
2023$17.5$21.8+24%
2024$21.8$23.8+9.3%
2025$23.8$25.5+7.3%
2026 YTD$25.5$30.3+19%

FXNC has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 19% so far in 2026.

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