FUTU
Futu Holdings Limited
FUTU has a slight edge over MS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
MS
Morgan Stanley
MS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
FUTU Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
FUTU's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like FUTU.
MS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.
FUTU PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 9.5x | $95.62 | — |
| Cheap | 15x | $155 | +63% |
| Fair | 22x | $222 | +132% |
| Expensive | 73x | $731 | +664% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
FUTU has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $134 | -29% |
| Fair | 14x | $178 | -5.7% |
| Forward | 14x | $189 | — |
| Current | 15x | $189 | — |
| Expensive | 18x | $223 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.
FUTU Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for FUTU, with profitability improving.
MS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.
FUTU Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $10.07 | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | $9.06 | +52% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.24 | +107% |
| Q3 2025 | $8.89 | +119% |
| Q2 2025 | $7.18 | +86% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.95 | +58% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.95 | +27% |
| Q3 2022 | $2.14 | -13% |
FUTU's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $10.07 over the past year, up 40% from the year before, and higher year over year for 11 quarters in a row.
MS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.39 | +6.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.60 | +29% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.37 | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.04 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.21 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.76 | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.84 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.53 | +55% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.95 | +53% |
MS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $12.60 over the past year, up 29% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row.
FUTU Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $918.1M | +36% |
| Q1 2026 | $745.9M | +25% |
| Q4 2025 | $820.7M | +45% |
| Q3 2025 | $815.6M | +86% |
| Q2 2025 | $676.5M | +70% |
| Q1 2025 | $598M | +81% |
| Q4 2024 | $564.6M | +87% |
| Q3 2024 | $437.7M | +30% |
FUTU has the edge over MS on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 69% | +6.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 60% | +3.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 64% | +14 points |
| Q3 2025 | 61% | +11 points |
| Q2 2025 | 63% | +16 points |
| Q1 2025 | 57% | +11 points |
| Q4 2024 | 50% | +6.9 points |
| Q3 2024 | 50% | +0.6 points |
FUTU has the edge over MS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.3B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $21.3B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.6B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $17.9B | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $18.2B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.8B | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.7B | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | +26% |
MS's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $20.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 32% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 34% | +6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 34% | +2.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | +5.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 28% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +2.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 30% | +14 points |
MS's operating margin was 32% last quarter, down 1.2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
FUTU Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | $0 | $0 |
| Q3 2024 | $0 | $0 |
FUTU's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against $0 the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like FUTU.
MS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$46B | -$42.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.7B | -123% |
| Q1 2026 | -$7.1B | +$16.9B |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.4B | -120% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.3B | +$14B |
| Q2 2025 | $11.8B | +368% |
| Q1 2025 | -$24B | -650% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.8B | +$29.6B |
MS has the edge over FUTU on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
FUTU Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.2% | -1.6M shares |
| 1 year | -0.6% | -777K shares |
| 3 years | -0.1% | -75.5K shares |
| 5 years | -3.6% | -5.3M shares |
| Available history | +7.4% | +9.7M shares |
FUTU has 140M diluted shares, down 0.6% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
FUTU hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
MS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -3M shares |
| 1 year | -1.5% | -24M shares |
| 3 years | -4.7% | -77M shares |
| 5 years | -14% | -246M shares |
| Available history | -4.5% | -74M shares |
MS has the edge over FUTU on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
FUTU Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | -7.6x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
FUTU has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.8x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 7.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 8.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 8.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 8.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 7.9x | High |
MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
FUTU Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 17.6 | Oversold |
FUTU's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).
MS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.7 | Oversold |
MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
FUTU PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | FUTU | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.5x | 13x | 27% below |
| PE % | 0 | 63 | 63 pts below |
FUTU has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.
MS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 13x | 15% above |
| PE % | 59 | 63 | 4 pts below |
MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
FUTU Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $103.1 | 7.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $106.2 | 10% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.8 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $129.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $94.6 | 1.1% above |
FUTU has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 1.1% above its 200-week average.
MS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $186.5 | 1.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $203.3 | 6.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $191.9 | 1.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $164.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $129.3 | 46% above |
MS has the edge over FUTU on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
FUTU Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.93 | $37.9 | +281% |
| 2021 | $37.9 | $40.9 | +8% |
| 2022 | $40.9 | $62.1 | +52% |
| 2023 | $62.1 | $54.6 | -12% |
| 2024 | $54.6 | $82.8 | +52% |
| 2025 | $82.8 | $165.2 | +99% |
| 2026 YTD | $165.2 | $95.6 | -42% |
FUTU is down 42% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.
MS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $51.1 | $68.1 | +33% |
| 2021 | $68.1 | $99.3 | +46% |
| 2022 | $99.3 | $86.1 | -13% |
| 2023 | $86.1 | $93.3 | +8.3% |
| 2024 | $93.3 | $126.8 | +36% |
| 2025 | $126.8 | $181.9 | +43% |
| 2026 YTD | $181.9 | $189.2 | +4% |
MS has the edge over FUTU on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.